Samford vs. Citadel prediction: Why Samford is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [2/19/2026]

Men's college basketball action continues on Thursday at 7:00 PM ET as the favored Samford squares off with Citadel in men's college basketball action at McAlister Field House.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model predicts Samford as the most likely winner of the Samford vs. Citadel game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Samford vs. Citadel prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NCAA basketball matchup between Samford and Citadel 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Samford an 84% chance of beating Citadel. Our predicted final score has Samford winning 77-67.

According to our model, Citadel (+10.5) has a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 143.5 points has a 52% chance of going over.

Samford vs. Citadel odds

We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Samford vs. Citadel picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our best men's college basketball bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 143.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Samford vs. Citadel game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's men's college basketball game between Citadel and Samford at McAlister Field House is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Samford vs. Citadel
• Date: Thursday, February 19, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: McAlister Field House

Conclusion

We predict Samford, with an 84% win probability, will likely beat Citadel on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Samford vs. Citadel insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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