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Sebastian Baez vs. Jakub Mensik prediction, odds, picks for ATP Auckland Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Baez vs Mensik predictions for ATP Auckland Open.
Sebastian Baez and Jakub Mensik will meet in the final of the ATP Auckland Open event on Friday.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Jakub Mensik as the most likely winner of the Baez vs. Mensik match.
This article offers further insights into Friday's match, including best bets and picks.
Baez vs. Mensik prediction: Who will win the final?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's Baez-Mensik men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives Mensik a 65% chance of winning against Baez at the ATP Auckland Open tournament.
Additionally, Mensik has a 61% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Baez (+3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 52% chance of hitting**, according to our model.
Sebastian Baez vs. Jakub Mensik odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Baez | Mensik |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +184 | -209 |
| First Set | +162 | -200 |
| Game Spread | -3.5 (+100) | +3.5 (-160) |
| Total Games | o22.5 (-120) | u22.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Baez vs. Mensik picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Baez | +184 |
| First Set | Mensik | -110 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 22.5 total games.
Baez vs. Mensik updates and essential details
The ATP Auckland Open match between Sebastian Baez and Jakub Mensik is scheduled to commence on Friday at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Sebastian Baez vs. Jakub Mensik
- Date: Friday, January 16, 2026
- Approx. Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Tournament: ATP Auckland, New Zealand Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Final
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Jakub Mensik, with a 65% win probability, will likely beat Sebastian Baez at the ATP Auckland Open tournament.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Baez vs. Mensik insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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