Shintaro Mochizuki vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas prediction, odds, picks for 2026 Australian Open

Shintaro Mochizuki will take on Stefanos Tsitsipas in the first round of the 2026 Australian Open on Tuesday.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model projects Stefanos Tsitsipas as the most likely winner of the Mochizuki vs. Tsitsipas match.

This article offers further insights into Tuesday's match, including best bets and picks.

Mochizuki vs. Tsitsipas prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's Mochizuki-Tsitsipas men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Tsitsipas an 84% chance of winning against Mochizuki in the 2026 Australian Open.

Additionally, Tsitsipas has a 75% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Mochizuki (+7.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 34.5 games has a 56% chance of hitting**, according to our model.

Shintaro Mochizuki vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Mochizuki vs. Tsitsipas picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: