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Read Article St Louis City vs. Los Angeles FC prediction, odds, MLS picks [5/13/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get St Louis City vs Los Angeles FC predictions for MLS Wednesday.
St Louis City will take on LAFC in MLS action at CITYPARK on Wednesday, beginning at 8:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven MLS model projects LAFC as the most likely winner of the St Louis City vs. LAFC game.
This article offers further insights into Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.
St Louis City vs. Los Angeles FC prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's MLS matchup between St Louis City and LAFC, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently indicates a 35.1% chance of St Louis City winning, a 39.8% chance for LAFC, and a 25.2% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 54% chance of going over, according to our model.
St Louis City vs. Los Angeles FC odds
We have sourced the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| St Louis City | LAFC | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +180 | +145 | +260 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -160 | +110 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
St Louis City vs. Los Angeles FC picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | St Louis City | +180 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | +110 |
According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is St Louis City to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
St Louis City vs. Los Angeles FC: Correct score predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| STL 1-1 LAF | 11.8% |
| STL 0-1 LAF | 8.7% |
| STL 1-2 LAF | 8.6% |
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
St Louis City vs. Los Angeles FC game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's matchup between St Louis City and LAFC in MLS at CITYPARK is scheduled to begin at 8:30 PM ET.
- Who: St Louis City vs. Los Angeles FC
- Date: Wednesday, May 13, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
- Venue: CITYPARK
Conclusion
According to our computer model, St Louis City has a 35.1% win probability on Wednesday, LAFC has a 39.8% win probability, and there is a 25.2% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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