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Read Article Mystics vs. Wings prediction: Paige Bueckers projected to score 17 points in Monday's WNBA game [5/18/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Washington Mystics vs Dallas Wings predictions for WNBA Monday.
WNBA action continues on Monday at 8:00 PM ET as the Washington Mystics take on the Dallas Wings at College Park Center.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven WNBA model projects the Wings as the most likely winner of the Mystics vs. Wings game.
The Wings, who have the likes of Paige Bueckers, Arike Ogunbowale and Jessica Shepard, are set to take on the Mystics, whose lineup includes Shakira Austin, Sonia Citron and Kiki Iriafen.
Bueckers, the Wings' No. 1 pick in the 2025 WNBA draft, is expected to shine with a projected 17 points and 1 three.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Mystics vs. Wings prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's WNBA matchup between the Mystics and Wings, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Wings a 73% chance of defeating the Mystics.
According to our model, the Wings (-4.5) have a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the 170.5-point over/under has a 58% chance of going over.
Mystics vs. Wings odds
We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mystics | Wings |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +4.5 (-114) | -4.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +158 | -185 |
| Total | o170.5 (-110) | u170.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mystics vs. Wings picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Wings -4.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Wings | -185 |
| Total | Over 170.5 | -110 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Wings to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mystics vs. Wings player props
Betting on Washington vs. Dallas WNBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at College Park Center.
Shakira Austin is expected to lead the Mystics with 21 points, 8 rebounds and 3 assists, while Paige Bueckers is projected to have 17 points, 3 rebounds and 5 assists for the Wings.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's WNBA first basket picks.
Mystics prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Mystics are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shakira Austin | 21 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 43 |
| Sonia Citron | 18 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 35 |
| Kiki Iriafen | 16 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 34 |
| Cotie McMahon | 14 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 26 |
| Lauren Betts | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 18 |
Wings prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Wings:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paige Bueckers | 17 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 35 |
| A. Ogunbowale | 15 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 30 |
| Jessica Shepard | 12 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 34 |
| Alanna Smith | 10 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 28 |
| Odyssey Sims | 9 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 20 |
Mystics vs. Wings game-day updates and essential details
Monday's matchup between the Wings and Mystics at College Park Center is scheduled to start at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Washington Mystics vs. Dallas Wings
- Date: Monday, May 18, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: College Park Center
Conclusion
We predict the Wings, with a 73% win probability, will likely beat the Mystics in Monday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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