Crows vs. Hawks Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Crows vs. Hawks AFL game on May 21, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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AFL
Crows
Predicted score
72
:
86
May 21, 9:30AM University of Tasmania Stadium
Hawks
May 21, 9:30AM University of Tasmania Stadium
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Pre-Game Probabilities Last Updated: 2:23AM, May 21
Moneyline
Spread
Over / Under
Crows ADE
Moneyline
Win %
33%
67%
Hawks HAW
Player Props
Anytime Goal
First Goal
Crows
Probability
Riley Thilthorpe
87.4%
Josh Rachele
80.9%
Darcy Fogarty
71.4%
Izak Rankine
Ben Keays
Hawks
Probability
Nick Watson
94.8%
Mabior Chol
85.8%
Mitch Lewis
85.8%
Dylan Moore
Jack Ginnivan

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Crows vs. Hawks: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Crows vs. Hawks
  • Date: Thursday, May 21, 2026
  • Time: 5:30 AM ET
  • Venue: University of Tasmania Stadium

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Hawks favored at -11.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 158.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Crows +155, Hawks -196

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Crows: 33%
  • Hawks: 67%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this AFL matchup is Crows 72-86 Hawks.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Crows a win probability of 33%, while the Hawks have a win probability of 67%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Hawks are more likely to beat the Crows in the AFL game at University of Tasmania Stadium on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Crows vs. Hawks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert AFL predictions, the best AFL bets today, and the latest AFL news.