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Bournemouth vs. Leeds Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Bournemouth vs. Leeds at the Premier League on April 22, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Leeds
2
:
2
Apr 22, 7PM Vitality Stadium
Bournemouth
Apr 22, 7PM Vitality Stadium
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
BournemouthAFC
Score Summary
LeedsLU
E. J. Kroupi (60')
Soccer ball icon
Rayan (85')
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J. Hill (o.g.) (68')
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S. Longstaff (90')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
AFC
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
LU
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Bournemouth: A. Toth replaces M. Tavernier
90'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
90'
Yellow Card
Evanilson (Bournemouth) cautioned
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Leeds by S. Longstaff
2-2
89'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: J. Piroe replaces A. Tanaka
85'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Bournemouth by Rayan, assisted by T. Adams
1-2
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: S. Longstaff replaces B. Aaronson
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Bournemouth: T. Adams replaces E. J. Kroupi
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Bournemouth: A. Adli replaces R. Christie
68'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Leeds by J. Hill (o.g.)
1-1
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Bournemouth: Rayan replaces D. Brooks
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: W. Gnonto replaces N. Okafor
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: L. Nmecha replaces J. Bijol
60'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Bournemouth by E. J. Kroupi, assisted by M. Senesi
0-1
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: J. Rodon replaces J. Bogle
41'
Yellow Card
A. Jimenez (Bournemouth) cautioned
25'
Yellow Card
E. J. Kroupi (Bournemouth) cautioned

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Bournemouth vs. Leeds: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Bournemouth vs. Leeds prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Premier League matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Bournemouth vs. Leeds
  • Date: Wednesday, April 22, 2026
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Vitality Stadium
  • Tournament: Premier League

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Bournemouth -105, Leeds +300, draw +290
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-150/+130)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Bournemouth: 48.3%
  • Leeds: 27.6%
  • Draw: 24.1%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Bournemouth 1-1 Leeds, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Bournemouth is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 48.3% probability, while Leeds sits at 27.6%, with the draw at 24.1%.

For full access to Premier League predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Premier League best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Bournemouth vs. Leeds prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Premier League and the latest Premier League news.

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