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Real Sociedad vs. Barcelona Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Real Sociedad vs. Barcelona La Liga game on January 18, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
LA LIGA
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LA LIGA
Barcelona
1
2
Jan 18, 8PM Reale Arena
Real Sociedad
Jan 18, 8PM Reale Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Real SociedadRSO
Score Summary
BarcelonaFCB
M. Oyarzabal (32')
G. Guedes (71')
C. Soler (88')
M. Rashford (70')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
RSO
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
FCB
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
88'
Red Card
C. Soler (Real Sociedad) sent off with a straight red card
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Barcelona: G. Martin replaces P. Cubarsi
85'
Yellow Card
Fermin (Barcelona) cautioned
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Barcelona: R. Bardghji replaces J. Kounde
84'
Yellow Card
R. Lewandowski (Barcelona) cautioned
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: D. Caleta-Car replaces J. Aramburu
78'
Yellow Card
I. Zubeldia (Real Sociedad) cautioned
76'
Yellow Card
E. Garcia (Barcelona) cautioned
71'
Goal scored for Real Sociedad by G. Guedes, assisted by C. Soler
1-2
70'
Goal scored for Barcelona by M. Rashford, assisted by Lamine Yamal
1-1
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: A. Barrenetxea replaces T. Kubo
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: A. Munoz replaces S. Gomez
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Barcelona: M. Rashford replaces D. Olmo
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Barcelona: R. Lewandowski replaces F. Torres
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Barcelona: J. Cancelo replaces A. Balde
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: J. Gorrotxategi replaces B. Turrientes
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: A. Odriozola replaces B. Mendez
51'
Yellow Card
J. Aramburu (Real Sociedad) cautioned
37'
Yellow Card
B. Turrientes (Real Sociedad) cautioned
32'
Goal scored for Real Sociedad by M. Oyarzabal, assisted by G. Guedes
0-1
28'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
7'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - Foul

Game Prediction Article

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Real Sociedad vs. Barcelona: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Real Sociedad vs. Barcelona
  • Date: Sunday, January 18, 2026
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Reale Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Real Sociedad +390, Barcelona -145, Draw +340

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Real Sociedad: 21.1%
  • Barcelona: 57.7%
  • Draw: 21.2%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this La Liga game is Real Sociedad 1-2 Barcelona, which has a correct score probability of 10%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Real Sociedad a win probability of 21.1%, while Barcelona has a win probability of 57.7%. The chance of a draw is 21.2%.

Summary

Our Real Sociedad vs. Barcelona predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert La Liga predictions and the best La Liga bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes La Liga futures, La Liga odds, and the latest La Liga news.

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