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Mazatlan vs. San Luis Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mazatlan vs. San Luis Liga MX game on March 3, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Mazatlan
1
4
Mar 4, 3AM Estadio Alfonso Lastras
San Luis
Mar 4, 3AM Estadio Alfonso Lastras
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
San LuisASL
Score Summary
MazatlanMAZ
L. Merolla (o.g.) (50')
Joao Pedro Galvao (57')
S. Salles-Lamonge (79')
Joao Pedro Galvao (90')
J. Ovalle (75')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ASL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
MAZ
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Goal scored for Atl. San Luis by Joao Pedro Galvao, assisted by M. Garcia
1-4
90'
Yellow Card
S. Salles-Lamonge (Atl. San Luis) cautioned
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: B. Galdames replaces Lucas Esteves
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: D. Rodriguez replaces J. Medina
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: M. Garcia replaces R. Torres
79'
Goal scored for Atl. San Luis by S. Salles-Lamonge
1-3
78'
Yellow Card
J. Esquivel (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
75'
Goal scored for Mazatlan FC by J. Ovalle, assisted by M. Lainez
1-2
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: R. Meraz replaces O. Macias
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: D. Hernandez replaces B. Rubio
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: B. Arce replaces Dudu
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: M. Lainez replaces M. Zaleta
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: A. A. Saavedra Nevarez replaces I. Gonzalez
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: J. Esquivel replaces S. Godinez
57'
Goal scored for Atl. San Luis by Joao Pedro Galvao, assisted by J. Medina
0-2
50'
Goal scored for Atl. San Luis by L. Merolla (o.g.)
0-1
47'
Yellow Card
Lucas Esteves (Atl. San Luis) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: S. Munoz replaces L. Flores
34'
Yellow Card
F. Almada (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
17'
Yellow Card
L. Merolla (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
10'
Yellow Card
O. Macias (Atl. San Luis) cautioned

Game Prediction Article

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Mazatlan vs. San Luis: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Mazatlan vs. San Luis
  • Date: Tuesday, March 3, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Alfonso Lastras

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Mazatlan +420, San Luis -160, Draw +300
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-120/+105)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Mazatlan: 22.2%
  • San Luis: 53.3%
  • Draw: 24.5%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Mazatlan 0-1 San Luis, which has a correct score probability of 12%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives San Luis a win probability of 53.3%, while Mazatlan has a win probability of 22.2%. The chance of a draw is 24.5%.

Summary

Our Mazatlan vs. San Luis predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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