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Queretaro vs. Monterrey Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Queretaro vs. Monterrey Liga MX game on March 4, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Queretaro
0
4
Mar 5, 1AM Estadio BBVA
Monterrey
Mar 5, 1AM Estadio BBVA
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
MonterreyMON
Score Summary
QueretaroQUT
L. Orellano (40')
S. Canales (69')
J. Corona (84')
L. Orellano (90')
F. Venegas (45')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
MON
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
QUT
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
C. Salcedo (Monterrey) cautioned
90'
Goal scored for Monterrey by L. Orellano, assisted by J. Corona
0-4
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Queretaro: J. Cazares replaces A. Avila
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Queretaro: B. Parra replaces C. Garcia
84'
Goal scored for Monterrey by J. Corona, assisted by L. Orellano
0-3
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: A. Rojas replaces S. Canales
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Queretaro: J. Unjanque replaces J. Gomez
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Queretaro: C. Villanueva replaces Jhojan Julio
69'
Goal scored for Monterrey by S. Canales, assisted by L. Orellano
0-2
67'
Yellow Card
S. Homenchenko (Queretaro) cautioned
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: C. Salcedo replaces J. Rodriguez
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: J. Corona replaces C. Reyes
51'
Yellow Card
G. Allison (Queretaro) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Queretaro: D. Parra replaces F. Pena
45'
Red Card
F. Venegas (Queretaro) sent off for a second yellow card
40'
Goal scored for Monterrey by L. Orellano, assisted by S. Canales
0-1
22'
Yellow Card
F. Venegas (Queretaro) cautioned
16'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: S. Canales replaces O. Torres

Game Prediction Article

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Queretaro vs. Monterrey: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Queretaro vs. Monterrey
  • Date: Wednesday, March 4, 2026
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio BBVA

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Queretaro +575, Monterrey -180, Draw +340
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-142/+116)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Queretaro: 13.3%
  • Monterrey: 68.2%
  • Draw: 18.5%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Queretaro 0-2 Monterrey, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Monterrey a win probability of 68.2%, while Queretaro has a win probability of 13.3%. The chance of a draw is 18.5%.

Summary

Our Queretaro vs. Monterrey predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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