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Astros vs. Red Sox Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Astros vs. Red Sox MLB game on May 1, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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May 1, 11:10PM Fenway Park
May 1, 11:10PM Fenway Park
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Astros | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | |
Red Sox | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | X | 3 | 8 | 0 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Win %
11%
89%
Win Probability
I. Paredes
RHP G. Whitlock
Last At Bat
Outs
Willson Contreras strikes out swinging.
4 Pitches
| W-L | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 2-1 | 11.0 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 51 | 3.273 |
| Today | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Quick Box Score
Hitting
Pitching
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | C. Correa | SS | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.750 |
| 2 | Y. Alvarez | DH | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 3 | I. Paredes | 3B | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.000 |
| 4 | C. Walker | 1B | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | 0.333 |
| 5 | J. Altuve | 2B | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .333 | 0.666 |
| 6 | Y. Diaz | C | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .333 | 0.666 |
| 7 | C. Smith | RF | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 8 | B. Matthews | CF | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .333 | 0.666 |
| 9 | D. Johnson | LF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Duran | LF | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .250 | 1.250 |
| 2 | W. Contreras | 1B | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .333 | 0.833 |
| 3 | R. Anthony | DH | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .667 | 1.667 |
| 4 | W. Abreu | RF | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 5 | T. Story | SS | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .333 | 0.666 |
| 6 | M. Mayer | 2B | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .333 | 0.666 |
| 7 | C. Rafaela | CF | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .333 | 0.666 |
| 8 | C. Narváez | C | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | 0.333 |
| 9 | C. Durbin | 3B | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .333 | 0.666 |
Game Prediction Article
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Astros vs. Red Sox: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Astros vs. Red Sox
- Date: Friday, May 1, 2026
- Time: 7:10 PM ET
- Venue: Fenway Park
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Red Sox favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 8.5
- Moneyline Odds: Astros +110, Red Sox -113
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Astros: 45%
- Red Sox: 55%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Astros a win probability of 45%, while the Red Sox have a win probability of 55%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Red Sox are more likely to beat the Astros in the MLB game at Fenway Park on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Astros vs. Red Sox predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.
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