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Orioles vs. Yankees Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Orioles vs. Yankees MLB game on May 1, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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May 1, 11:05PM Yankee Stadium
May 1, 11:05PM Yankee Stadium
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Orioles | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | ||
Yankees | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 1 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Win %
4%
96%
Win Probability
C. Bellinger
A. Judge
C. Bellinger
RHP A. Suárez
Last At Bat
Outs
Cody Bellinger walks. Aaron Judge to second.
56 Pitches
| W-L | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 1-0 | 13.0 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 43 | 3.462 |
| Today | 2.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Quick Box Score
Hitting
Pitching
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | G. Henderson | SS | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 2 | T. Ward | LF | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 3 | A. Rutschman | DH | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 4 | P. Alonso | 1B | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .500 | 2.667 |
| 5 | S. Basallo | C | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .333 | 0.666 |
| 6 | D. Beavers | RF | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 7 | L. Taveras | CF | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 8 | C. Mayo | 3B | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 9 | B. Alexander | 2B | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.000 |
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | P. Goldschmidt | 1B | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .000 | 0.250 |
| 2 | B. Rice | DH | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .250 | 1.250 |
| 3 | A. Judge | RF | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | .500 | 1.250 |
| 4 | C. Bellinger | LF | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .667 | 2.083 |
| 5 | A. Rosario | 3B | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .000 | 0.333 |
| 6 | J. Chisholm | 2B | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .333 | 0.666 |
| 7 | J. Caballero | SS | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .333 | 1.666 |
| 8 | A. Wells | C | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 9 | T. Grisham | CF | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .333 | 1.000 |
Game Prediction Article
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Orioles vs. Yankees: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Orioles vs. Yankees
- Date: Friday, May 1, 2026
- Time: 7:05 PM ET
- Venue: Yankee Stadium
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Yankees favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 8.5
- Moneyline Odds: Orioles +163, Yankees -163
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Orioles: 39%
- Yankees: 61%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Orioles a win probability of 39%, while the Yankees have a win probability of 61%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Yankees are more likely to beat the Orioles in the MLB game at Yankee Stadium on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Orioles vs. Yankees predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.
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