Phillies vs. Pirates Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Phillies vs. Pirates MLB game on May 16, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Phillies
vs.
May 16, 8:05PM PNC Park
Pirates
May 16, 8:05PM PNC Park
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Pre-Game Probabilities Last Updated: 3:34AM, May 16
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Phillies PHI
Moneyline
Win %
59%
41%
Pirates PIT
Cristopher Sánchez 4-2, 2.11 ERA
Bubba Chandler 1-4, 4.62 ERA

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Phillies vs. Pirates: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Phillies vs. Pirates
  • Date: Saturday, May 16, 2026
  • Time: 4:05 PM ET
  • Venue: PNC Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Phillies favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Phillies -159, Pirates +156

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Phillies: 59%
  • Pirates: 41%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Phillies a win probability of 59%, while the Pirates have a win probability of 41%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Phillies are more likely to beat the Pirates in the MLB game at PNC Park on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Phillies vs. Pirates predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.