Houston vs. LAFC Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Houston vs. LAFC at the MLS on May 10, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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MLS
Houston
4
1
May 11, 1AM BMO Stadium
LAFC
May 11, 1AM BMO Stadium
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
LAFCLAFC
Score Summary
HoustonHOU
N. Ordaz (45')
Soccer ball icon
J. McGlynn (25')
Soccer ball icon
Guilherme (34')
Soccer ball icon
M. Bogusz (51')
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J. McGlynn (55')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
LAFC
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
HOU
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
Felipe Andrade (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
R. Raposo (Los Angeles FC) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
Nkosi Tafari (Los Angeles FC) cautioned
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: I. Aliyu replaces Guilherme
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: O. Lingr replaces E. Ponce
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: D. Holmes replaces M. Bogusz
86'
Yellow Card
T. Boyd (Los Angeles FC) cautioned
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: H. Herrera replaces D. Samassekou
80'
Yellow Card
D. Martinez (Los Angeles FC) cautioned
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Los Angeles FC: J. Ebobisse replaces N. Ordaz
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: A. Bouzat replaces J. McGlynn
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Los Angeles FC: T. Tillman replaces S. Eustaquio
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Los Angeles FC: T. Boyd replaces J. Shaffelburg
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Los Angeles FC: M. Choiniere replaces M. Delgado
55'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by J. McGlynn
4-1
51'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by M. Bogusz
3-1
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Los Angeles FC by N. Ordaz
2-1
45'
Yellow Card
J. McGlynn (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
43'
Substitution
Substitution for Los Angeles FC: R. Raposo replaces S. Palencia
34'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by Guilherme
2-0
27'
Yellow Card
Guilherme (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
25'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by J. McGlynn, assisted by L. Ennali
1-0

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Houston vs. LAFC: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Houston vs. LAFC prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Houston vs. LAFC
  • Date: Sunday, May 10, 2026
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: BMO Stadium
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Houston +390, LAFC -145, draw +300
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-143/+120)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Houston: 16.0%
  • LAFC: 62.9%
  • Draw: 21.1%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Houston 0-1 LAFC, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Houston is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 16.0% probability, while LAFC sits at 62.9%, with the draw at 21.1%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Houston vs. LAFC prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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