Austin vs. Minnesota Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Austin vs. Minnesota at the MLS on May 10, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Austin
2
:
2
May 10, 11PM Allianz Field
Minnesota
May 10, 11PM Allianz Field
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
MinnesotaMIN
Score Summary
AustinAUS
A. Markanich (69')
Soccer ball icon
J. Pereyra (77')
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M. Uzuni (pen.) (14')
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C. Ramirez (79')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
MIN
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
AUS
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Austin FC: Z. Kolmanic replaces J. Bell
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Minnesota United: M. Gonzalez replaces O. Gene
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Austin FC: B. Vazquez replaces C. Ramirez
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Minnesota United: M. Boxall replaces D. Padelford
79'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Austin FC by C. Ramirez, assisted by F. Torres
2-2
77'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Minnesota United by J. Pereyra, assisted by J. Rodriguez
1-2
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Austin FC: D. Pereira replaces I. Sanchez
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Austin FC: O. Wolff replaces J. Gallagher
69'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Minnesota United by A. Markanich, assisted by J. Rodriguez
1-1
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Minnesota United: J. Rodriguez replaces T. Chancalay
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Minnesota United: W. Trapp replaces N. Triantis
47'
Yellow Card
O. Gene (Minnesota United) cautioned
45'
Yellow Card
F. Torres (Austin FC) cautioned
45'
Yellow Card
J. Pereyra (Minnesota United) cautioned
45'
Yellow Card
J. Gallagher (Austin FC) cautioned
44'
Substitution
Substitution for Austin FC: J. Bell replaces B. Hines-Ike
42'
Yellow Card
T. Chancalay (Minnesota United) cautioned
40'
Yellow Card
N. Triantis (Minnesota United) cautioned
29'
Yellow Card
J. Diaz (Minnesota United) cautioned
27'
Penalty missed by K. Yeboah for Minnesota United
21'
Penalty missed by K. Yeboah for Minnesota United
14'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Austin FC by M. Uzuni (pen.)
1-0

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Austin vs. Minnesota: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Austin vs. Minnesota prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Austin vs. Minnesota
  • Date: Sunday, May 10, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Allianz Field
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Austin +380, Minnesota -130, draw +300
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-155/+125)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Austin: 19.0%
  • Minnesota: 58.8%
  • Draw: 22.2%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Austin 0-1 Minnesota, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Austin is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 19.0% probability, while Minnesota sits at 58.8%, with the draw at 22.2%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Austin vs. Minnesota prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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