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Chicago vs. Houston Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Chicago vs. Houston MLS game on February 21, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLS
Chicago
1
2
Feb 22, 1:30AM Shell Energy Stadium
Houston
Feb 22, 1:30AM Shell Energy Stadium
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
HoustonHOU
Score Summary
ChicagoCHI
Guilherme (67')
Guilherme (78')
H. Cuypers (31')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
HOU
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
CHI
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: N. Markanich replaces L. Ennali
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: S. Oregel replaces D. D'Avilla
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: P. Dithejane replaces M. Mbokazi
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: D. Samassekou replaces J. McGlynn
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: F. Negri replaces Guilherme
85'
Yellow Card
E. Sviatchenko (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
84'
Yellow Card
C. Mueller (Chicago Fire) cautioned
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: O. Lingr replaces D. Holmes
78'
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by Guilherme
1-2
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: C. Mueller replaces R. Lod
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: C. Cupps replaces S. Rogers
75'
Yellow Card
Lucas Halter (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
67'
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by Guilherme
1-1
31'
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by H. Cuypers
1-0
26'
Yellow Card
J. Waterman (Chicago Fire) cautioned
13'
Yellow Card
D. Holmes (Houston Dynamo) cautioned

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Chicago vs. Houston: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Chicago vs. Houston
  • Date: Saturday, February 21, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Shell Energy Stadium

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Chicago +200, Houston +135, Draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-140/+115)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Chicago: 34.3%
  • Houston: 42.2%
  • Draw: 23.5%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this MLS game is Chicago 1-1 Houston, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Houston a win probability of 42.2%, while Chicago has a win probability of 34.3%. The chance of a draw is 23.5%.

Summary

Our Chicago vs. Houston predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLS predictions and the best MLS bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLS futures, MLS odds, and the latest MLS news.

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