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Sporting KC vs. San Jose Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Sporting KC vs. San Jose MLS game on February 21, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLS
Sporting KC
0
3
Feb 22, 3:30AM PayPal Park
San Jose
Feb 22, 3:30AM PayPal Park
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
San JoseSJ
Score Summary
Sporting KCSKC
D. Munie (42')
P. Judd (45')
D. Munie (54')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
SJ
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
SKC
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: T. Calheira replaces C. Harris
83'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: P. Marie replaces J. Ricketts
83'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza replaces B. Leroux
71'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: J. Skahan replaces P. Judd
71'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: Vitor Costa replaces D. Jones
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: J. Miller replaces S. Suleymanov
66'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: I. Harkes replaces R. Vieira
54'
Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by D. Munie
0-3
45'
Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by P. Judd
0-2
42'
Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by D. Munie
0-1
38'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: K. Agyabeng replaces J. Reynolds
36'
Yellow Card
D. Munie (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned

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Sporting KC vs. San Jose: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Sporting KC vs. San Jose
  • Date: Saturday, February 21, 2026
  • Time: 10:30 PM ET
  • Venue: PayPal Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Sporting KC +340, San Jose -135, Draw +340

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Sporting KC: 21.0%
  • San Jose: 59.4%
  • Draw: 19.6%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this MLS game is Sporting KC 1-2 San Jose, which has a correct score probability of 9%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives San Jose a win probability of 59.4%, while Sporting KC has a win probability of 21.0%. The chance of a draw is 19.6%.

Summary

Our Sporting KC vs. San Jose predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLS predictions and the best MLS bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLS futures, MLS odds, and the latest MLS news.

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