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Philadelphia vs. Atlanta Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Philadelphia vs. Atlanta MLS game on March 14, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Philadelphia
1
3
Mar 14, 7:15PM Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Atlanta
Mar 14, 7:15PM Mercedes-Benz Stadium
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
AtlantaATL
Score Summary
PhiladelphiaPHI
E. Latte Lath (28')
Soccer ball icon
T. Jacob (47')
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A. Miranchuk (68')
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A. Anello (87')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ATL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
PHI
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlanta Utd: M. Edwards replaces C. Sanchez
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlanta Utd: P. Amador replaces M. Almiron
87'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by A. Anello
1-3
85'
Yellow Card
T. Jacob (Atlanta Utd) cautioned
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: J. Bueno replaces D. Jean Jacques
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlanta Utd: S. Lobjanidze replaces A. Miranchuk
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: J. Sery Larsen replaces P. Ndinga
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlanta Utd: F. Picault replaces E. Latte Lath
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlanta Utd: S. Alzate replaces M. Galarza
68'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atlanta Utd by A. Miranchuk
0-3
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: E. Alladoh replaces S. Korzeniowski
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: A. Anello replaces I. Vassilev
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: A. Bedoya replaces M. Iloski
49'
Yellow Card
M. Galarza (Atlanta Utd) cautioned
47'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atlanta Utd by T. Jacob
0-2
45'
Yellow Card
S. Gregersen (Atlanta Utd) cautioned
43'
Penalty missed by M. Iloski for Philadelphia Union
41'
Yellow Card
E. Baez (Atlanta Utd) cautioned
28'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atlanta Utd by E. Latte Lath
0-1

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Philadelphia vs. Atlanta: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Philadelphia vs. Atlanta
  • Date: Saturday, March 14, 2026
  • Time: 3:15 PM ET
  • Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Philadelphia +175, Atlanta +160, Draw +250
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-115/-105)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Philadelphia: 37.8%
  • Atlanta: 36.7%
  • Draw: 25.5%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this MLS game is Philadelphia 1-1 Atlanta, which has a correct score probability of 12%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Atlanta a win probability of 36.7%, while Philadelphia has a win probability of 37.8%. The chance of a draw is 25.5%.

Summary

Our Philadelphia vs. Atlanta predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLS predictions and the best MLS bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLS futures, MLS odds, and the latest MLS news.

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