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Sporting KC vs. Chicago Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Sporting KC vs. Chicago at the MLS on April 25, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Sporting KC
0
5
Apr 26, 12:30AM Soldier Field
Chicago
Apr 26, 12:30AM Soldier Field
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
ChicagoCHI
Score Summary
Sporting KCSKC
P. Zinckernagel (51')
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P. Zinckernagel (65')
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H. Cuypers (73')
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M. Haile-Selassie (79')
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H. Cuypers (90')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
CHI
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
SKC
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by H. Cuypers
0-5
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: J. Bartlett replaces Capita
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: V. Radojevic replaces A. Gutman
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: M. Pineda replaces D. D'Avilla
79'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by M. Haile-Selassie
0-4
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: S. Oregel replaces A. Saletros
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: J. Shokalook replaces P. Zinckernagel
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: S. Afrifa replaces C. Harris
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: W. Meyer replaces I. James
73'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by H. Cuypers
0-3
65'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by P. Zinckernagel
0-2
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: R. Lod replaces P. Dithejane
51'
Penalty missed by H. Cuypers for Chicago Fire
51'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by P. Zinckernagel
0-1
10'
Yellow Card
A. Gutman (Chicago Fire) cautioned

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Sporting KC vs. Chicago: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Sporting KC vs. Chicago prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Sporting KC vs. Chicago
  • Date: Saturday, April 25, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Soldier Field
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Sporting KC +700, Chicago -250, draw +450
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-275/+210)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Sporting KC: 12.0%
  • Chicago: 71.8%
  • Draw: 16.2%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Sporting KC 0-2 Chicago, with a probability of 10%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Sporting KC is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 12.0% probability, while Chicago sits at 71.8%, with the draw at 16.2%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Sporting KC vs. Chicago prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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