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Minnesota vs. Dallas Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Minnesota vs. Dallas at the MLS on April 22, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Minnesota
1
0
Apr 23, 12:30AM Toyota Stadium
Dallas
Apr 23, 12:30AM Toyota Stadium
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
DallasFCD
Score Summary
MinnesotaMIN
A. Markanich (31')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
FCD
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
MIN
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
89'
Substitution
Substitution for Minnesota United: W. Trapp replaces J. Pereyra
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Minnesota United: M. Dieng replaces T. Chancalay
82'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: N. Simmonds replaces H. Johansson
73'
Yellow Card
N. Romero (Minnesota United) cautioned
70'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: P. Delgado replaces P. Musa
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Minnesota United: D. Padelford replaces A. Markanich
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Minnesota United: M. Gonzalez replaces K. Yeboah
62'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: L. Farrington replaces S. Moreno
62'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: S. Sarver replaces S. Ibeagha
61'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: Ramiro replaces C. Cappis
56'
Yellow Card
N. Norris (FC Dallas) cautioned
49'
Yellow Card
M. Duggan (Minnesota United) cautioned
41'
Yellow Card
S. Moreno (FC Dallas) cautioned
31'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Minnesota United by A. Markanich
1-0
4'
Yellow Card
A. Markanich (Minnesota United) cautioned

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Minnesota vs. Dallas: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Minnesota vs. Dallas prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Minnesota vs. Dallas
  • Date: Wednesday, April 22, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Toyota Stadium
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Minnesota +250, Dallas +105, draw +275
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-150/+135)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Minnesota: 26.3%
  • Dallas: 50.7%
  • Draw: 23.0%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Minnesota 1-1 Dallas, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Minnesota is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 26.3% probability, while Dallas sits at 50.7%, with the draw at 23.0%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Minnesota vs. Dallas prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

Bet responsibly and within your limits. For support, see our responsible gambling resources.

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