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NY City vs. Montreal Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for NY City vs. Montreal at the MLS on April 25, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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NY City
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Apr 25, 6:30PM Saputo Stadium
Montreal
Apr 25, 6:30PM Saputo Stadium
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
MontrealMTL
Score Summary
NY CityNYC
P. Owusu (18')
Soccer ball icon
T. Gray (77')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
MTL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
NYC
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
K. Trewin (New York City) cautioned
88'
Yellow Card
D. Bugaj (CF Montreal) cautioned
87'
Substitution
Substitution for CF Montreal: E. Morales replaces J. Neal
87'
Yellow Card
M. Longstaff (CF Montreal) cautioned
84'
Yellow Card
B. Vera (CF Montreal) cautioned
82'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: A. Perea replaces M. Moralez
81'
Yellow Card
O. Escobar (CF Montreal) cautioned
81'
Yellow Card
N. Mercau (New York City) cautioned
77'
Red Card
T. Gray (New York City) sent off for a second yellow card
75'
Substitution
Substitution for CF Montreal: D. Rios replaces P. Owusu
74'
Yellow Card
T. Gray (New York City) cautioned
70'
Substitution
Substitution for CF Montreal: F. Herbers replaces S. Piette
65'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: Raul Gustavo replaces K. Parks
65'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: S. Reid replaces A. Ojeda
65'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: Talles Magno replaces A. Farnos
63'
Yellow Card
S. Piette (CF Montreal) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for CF Montreal: O. Escobar replaces N. Streit
18'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for CF Montreal by P. Owusu, assisted by M. Longstaff
0-1

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NY City vs. Montreal: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' NY City vs. Montreal prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: NY City vs. Montreal
  • Date: Saturday, April 25, 2026
  • Time: 2:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Saputo Stadium
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: NY City +145, Montreal +200, draw +240
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-115/-105)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • NY City: 41.6%
  • Montreal: 33.8%
  • Draw: 24.6%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is NY City 1-1 Montreal, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

NY City is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 41.6% probability, while Montreal sits at 33.8%, with the draw at 24.6%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' NY City vs. Montreal prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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