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Cincinnati vs. NY City Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our prediction and analysis for Cincinnati vs. NY City at the MLS on April 22, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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MLS
FINAL
MLS
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Apr 22, 11:30PM Yankee Stadium
Apr 22, 11:30PM Yankee Stadium
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
N. Mercau (20')
N. Mercau (35')
A. Ojeda (53')
Talles Magno (79')
K. Denkey (32')
K. Denkey (65')
A. Chirila (90')
Evander (pen.) (90')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Substitution for New York City: S. Tanasijevic replaces T. Gray
Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by A. Chirila, assisted by P. Bucha
3-4
Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by Evander (pen.)
4-4
T. Anunga (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
Substitution for New York City: J. Shore replaces A. Ojeda
Substitution for New York City: A. Farnos replaces N. Mercau
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: A. Jabbari replaces T. Barlow
Goal scored for New York City by Talles Magno, assisted by A. Ojeda
2-4
Substitution for New York City: Talles Magno replaces M. Moralez
Substitution for New York City: K. Parks replaces H. Wolf
K. Smith (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by K. Denkey, assisted by G. Valenzuela
2-3
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: G. Valenzuela replaces E. Echenique
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: T. Anunga replaces G. Flores
Goal scored for New York City by A. Ojeda, assisted by A. O'Neill
1-3
G. Flores (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: A. Chirila replaces A. Powell
Goal scored for New York City by N. Mercau, assisted by M. Moralez
1-2
Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by K. Denkey, assisted by E. Echenique
1-1
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: A. Powell replaces T. Hadebe
Goal scored for New York City by N. Mercau
0-1
Game Prediction Article
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Cincinnati vs. NY City: Detailed breakdown
Dimers' Cincinnati vs. NY City prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.
Match overview
- Teams: Cincinnati vs. NY City
- Date: Wednesday, April 22, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Yankee Stadium
- Tournament: MLS
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Cincinnati +290, NY City -115, draw +300
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-188/+140)
Dimers' win probabilities
- Cincinnati: 21.7%
- NY City: 58.0%
- Draw: 20.3%
These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.
Projected score
The most likely correct score for this matchup is Cincinnati 1-2 NY City, with a probability of 10%.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction: Who wins?
Cincinnati is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 21.7% probability, while NY City sits at 58.0%, with the draw at 20.3%.
For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.
Summary
Dimers' Cincinnati vs. NY City prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.
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