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Austin vs. San Jose Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Austin vs. San Jose at the MLS on April 22, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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MLS
Austin
1
5
Apr 23, 2:30AM PayPal Park
San Jose
Apr 23, 2:30AM PayPal Park
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
San JoseSJ
Score Summary
AustinAUS
J. Jasinski (58')
Soccer ball icon
T. Werner (pen.) (78')
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P. Judd (83')
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O. Bouda (85')
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P. Judd (88')
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J. Rosales (9')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
SJ
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
AUS
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: N. Fernandez replaces T. Werner
90'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: D. Romney replaces J. Ricketts
90'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza replaces R. Vieira
88'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by P. Judd, assisted by P. Marie
1-5
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Austin FC: E. Torres replaces N. Dubersarsky
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Austin FC: M. Burton replaces J. Rosales
85'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by O. Bouda, assisted by P. Marie
1-4
83'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by P. Judd, assisted by P. Marie
1-3
82'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: I. Harkes replaces B. Leroux
78'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by T. Werner (pen.)
1-2
74'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: P. Marie replaces J. Jasinski
71'
Yellow Card
J. Rosales (Austin FC) cautioned
68'
Yellow Card
J. Jasinski (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Austin FC: C. Ramirez replaces C. Fodrey
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Austin FC: M. Desler replaces J. Alastuey
58'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by J. Jasinski, assisted by N. Tsakiris
1-1
54'
Yellow Card
R. Roberts (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
45'
Yellow Card
E. Edwards (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
38'
Substitution
Substitution for Austin FC: Z. Kolmanic replaces Guilherme Biro
9'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Austin FC by J. Rosales
1-0

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Austin vs. San Jose: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Austin vs. San Jose prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Austin vs. San Jose
  • Date: Wednesday, April 22, 2026
  • Time: 10:30 PM ET
  • Venue: PayPal Park
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Austin +550, San Jose -210, draw +380

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Austin: 16.5%
  • San Jose: 63.5%
  • Draw: 20.0%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Austin 0-2 San Jose, with a probability of 10%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Austin is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 16.5% probability, while San Jose sits at 63.5%, with the draw at 20.0%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Austin vs. San Jose prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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