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Timberwolves vs. Rockets Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Timberwolves vs. Rockets NBA game on April 10, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
136
132
Apr 11, 1:30AM Toyota Center
Apr 11, 1:30AM Toyota Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Timberwolves | 37 | 99 | 0 | 0 | 136 |
Rockets | 36 | 96 | 0 | 0 | 132 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
71%
29%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Timberwolves | 37 | 99 | 0 | 0 | 136 |
Rockets | 36 | 96 | 0 | 0 | 132 |
Q4 00:02 Rockets makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:10 Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:50 Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:40 Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:52 Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:54 Terrence Shannon Jr. misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:20 Rockets makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:25 Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:48 Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:05 Rockets makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
136-132
Kyle Anderson defensive rebound
Timberwolves turnover
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Rockets personal foul
+1
Kyle Anderson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
136-130
Kyle Anderson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Rockets lineup change (Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant, Josh Okogie, Amen Thompson)
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Donte DiVincenzo, Anthony Edwards, Ayo Dosunmu, Kyle Anderson)
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant, Josh Okogie, Tari Eason, Amen Thompson)
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
136-132
+1
Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
136-132
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Timberwolves lineup change (Joan Beringer, Jaden McDaniels, Anthony Edwards, Ayo Dosunmu, Kyle Anderson)
Anthony Edwards turnover
Rockets turnover
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
136-132
Donte DiVincenzo shooting foul (Kevin Durant draws the foul)
Kevin Durant misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Rockets offensive rebound
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
136-132
Anthony Edwards personal foul (Josh Okogie draws the foul)
Anthony Edwards turnover (offensive foul)
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Donte DiVincenzo, Anthony Edwards, Ayo Dosunmu, Kyle Anderson)
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Terrence Shannon Jr. misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
136-132
Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
136-132
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
136-132
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Timberwolves turnover
Rockets 60 second timeout
Timberwolves lineup change (Terrence Shannon Jr., Jaden McDaniels, Anthony Edwards, Ayo Dosunmu, Kyle Anderson)
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Jaden McDaniels offensive rebound
Jaden McDaniels misses two point pullup jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
136-132
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
136-132
Timberwolves lineup change (Joan Beringer, Terrence Shannon Jr., Jaden McDaniels, Anthony Edwards, Ayo Dosunmu)
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
136-132
Timberwolves personal foul
Kevin Durant misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Rockets offensive rebound
Timberwolves lineup change (Terrence Shannon Jr., Jaden McDaniels, Anthony Edwards, Ayo Dosunmu, Kyle Anderson)
Rockets lineup change (Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant, Josh Okogie, Amen Thompson)
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
136-132
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
136-132
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
136-132
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
136-132
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
136-132
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
136-132
Timberwolves defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant, Josh Okogie, Jae'Sean Tate, Amen Thompson)
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Kyle Anderson offensive rebound
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
120-114
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Jaden McDaniels defensive rebound
Jaden McDaniels blocks Jabari Smith Jr.'s two point layup
Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Terrence Shannon Jr. defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
120-114
+2
Reed Sheppard makes two point jump shot (Amen Thompson assists)
120-114
+3
Mike Conley makes three point running jump shot (Donte DiVincenzo assists)
120-114
Rockets turnover
Alperen Sengun shooting foul (Terrence Shannon Jr. draws the foul)
+1
Terrence Shannon Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
112-112
Timberwolves lineup change (Terrence Shannon Jr., Mike Conley, Jaden McDaniels, Donte DiVincenzo, Kyle Anderson)
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant, Josh Okogie, Reed Sheppard, Amen Thompson)
+1
Terrence Shannon Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
136-132
Timberwolves defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Reed Sheppard misses three point pullup jump shot
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Rockets turnover
Timberwolves personal foul
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Rockets 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Rockets personal foul
+1
Donte DiVincenzo makes regular free throw 1 of 3
136-132
Rockets lineup change (Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr., Josh Okogie, Reed Sheppard, Amen Thompson)
Donte DiVincenzo misses regular free throw 2 of 3
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Donte DiVincenzo misses regular free throw 3 of 3
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
136-132
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
136-132
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
136-132
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
136-132
Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
Tari Eason misses three point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
136-132
Rockets personal foul
Rockets personal foul
Rockets personal foul
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
136-132
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves offensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Rockets lineup change (Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Reed Sheppard, Amen Thompson)
Timberwolves lineup change (Terrence Shannon Jr., Mike Conley, Donte DiVincenzo, Ayo Dosunmu, Kyle Anderson)
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
136-132
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
136-132
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 2
136-132
+1
Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 2 of 2
136-132
Kevin Durant blocks Terrence Shannon Jr.'s two point driving layup
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Rockets defensive rebound
Timberwolves lineup change (Terrence Shannon Jr., Mike Conley, Jaden McDaniels, Ayo Dosunmu, Kyle Anderson)
Ayo Dosunmu offensive rebound
Tari Eason blocks Timberwolves's two point jump shot
Joan Beringer defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
136-132
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
136-132
Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
136-132
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
136-132
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
136-132
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
136-132
Rockets turnover
Rockets lineup change (Alperen Sengun, Kevin Durant, Tari Eason, Reed Sheppard, Amen Thompson)
Timberwolves lineup change (Joan Beringer, Terrence Shannon Jr., Mike Conley, Jaden McDaniels, Ayo Dosunmu)
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Rockets offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Rockets 60 second timeout
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
136-132
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
136-132
Rockets personal foul
+1
Joan Beringer makes regular free throw 1 of 2
136-132
+1
Joan Beringer makes regular free throw 2 of 2
136-132
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
136-132
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
136-132
Joan Beringer defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
136-132
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant, Tari Eason, Jae'Sean Tate, Reed Sheppard)
Timberwolves lineup change (Joan Beringer, Mike Conley, Jaden McDaniels, Anthony Edwards, Ayo Dosunmu)
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
136-132
+1
Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
136-132
+1
Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
136-132
Timberwolves personal foul
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
136-132
+1
Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
136-132
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Rockets offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant, Tari Eason, Jae'Sean Tate, Amen Thompson)
Timberwolves turnover
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
136-132
Amen Thompson offensive rebound
Joan Beringer personal foul (Amen Thompson draws the foul)
Timberwolves personal foul
Timberwolves lineup change (Joan Beringer, Jaden McDaniels, Donte DiVincenzo, Anthony Edwards, Ayo Dosunmu)
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Rockets personal foul
Rockets personal foul
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 1 of 2
136-132
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 2 of 2
136-132
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
136-132
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Alperen Sengun blocks Jaden McDaniels's two point driving layup
Joan Beringer offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Timberwolves personal foul
Jabari Smith Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Rockets offensive rebound
Jabari Smith Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Jaden McDaniels defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
136-132
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
136-132
Anthony Edwards turnover (bad pass) (Amen Thompson steals)
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
136-132
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
136-132
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
136-132
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
136-132
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
136-132
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Rockets turnover
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
136-132
Jaden McDaniels defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Joan Beringer offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Rockets turnover
Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Amen Thompson offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Amen Thompson offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
136-132
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
136-132
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Jae'Sean Tate offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Timberwolves lineup change (Joan Beringer, Jaden McDaniels, Donte DiVincenzo, Anthony Edwards, Kyle Anderson)
Rockets lineup change (Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant, Josh Okogie, Amen Thompson)
Tari Eason defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
136-132
Rockets personal foul
Kyle Anderson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Kyle Anderson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
136-132
Jae'Sean Tate offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Jae'Sean Tate defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Jump ball. (Timberwolves gains possession)
Tari Eason turnover (lost ball)
Tari Eason offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Timberwolves personal foul
Jae'Sean Tate defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Rockets turnover
Timberwolves turnover
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant, Tari Eason, Jae'Sean Tate, Amen Thompson)
Rockets turnover
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
136-132
Kyle Anderson offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+3
Reed Sheppard makes three point jump shot (Kevin Durant assists)
120-114
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
136-132
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 3
136-132
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 3
136-132
Timberwolves lineup change (Terrence Shannon Jr., Mike Conley, Jaden McDaniels, Jaylen Clark, Kyle Anderson)
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 3 of 3
136-132
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
136-132
Rockets personal foul
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 1 of 2
136-132
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 2 of 2
136-132
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
136-132
Rockets personal foul
Donte DiVincenzo misses regular free throw 1 of 3
Timberwolves offensive rebound
+1
Donte DiVincenzo makes regular free throw 2 of 3
120-114
Rockets lineup change (Clint Capela, Kevin Durant, Josh Okogie, Tari Eason, Reed Sheppard)
+1
Donte DiVincenzo makes regular free throw 3 of 3
136-132
Jaden McDaniels defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
+2
Jaden McDaniels makes two point cutting layup (Kyle Anderson assists)
120-114
Rockets personal foul
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Rockets personal foul
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Clint Capela, Kevin Durant, Josh Okogie, Reed Sheppard)
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
136-132
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
136-132
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
136-132
Rockets lineup change (Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant, Josh Okogie, Amen Thompson)
Timberwolves lineup change (Terrence Shannon Jr., Jaden McDaniels, Donte DiVincenzo, Anthony Edwards, Kyle Anderson)
+1
Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
136-132
Josh Okogie defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
136-132
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
136-132
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
136-132
Rockets personal foul
+1
Ayo Dosunmu makes regular free throw 1 of 2
136-132
+1
Ayo Dosunmu makes regular free throw 2 of 2
136-132
Timberwolves lineup change (Joan Beringer, Terrence Shannon Jr., Donte DiVincenzo, Anthony Edwards, Ayo Dosunmu)
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
136-132
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
136-132
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
136-132
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
136-132
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Rockets offensive rebound
Rockets turnover
Rockets lineup change (Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr., Josh Okogie, Amen Thompson, Aaron Holiday)
Rockets lineup change (Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr., Josh Okogie, Amen Thompson, Aaron Holiday)
Aaron Holiday offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves turnover
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
120-114
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
120-114
Rockets turnover
Rockets 60 second timeout
+2
Anthony Edwards makes two point driving finger roll layup
45-44
Timberwolves lineup change (Joan Beringer, Donte DiVincenzo, Jaylen Clark, Anthony Edwards, Ayo Dosunmu)
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Joan Beringer misses two point tip layup
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 13 | A. Dosunmu | 15 | 0 | 4 |
| F | 12 | K. Anderson | 17 | 6 | 9 |
| F | 3 | J. McDaniels | 16 | 7 | 2 |
| G | 0 | D. DiVincenzo | 18 | 4 | 2 |
| G | 5 | A. Edwards | 22 | 2 | 3 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 20 | J. Okogie | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| F | 10 | J. Smith Jr. | 16 | 6 | 2 |
| G | 1 | A. Thompson | 41 | 9 | 7 |
| F | 7 | K. Durant | 33 | 7 | 7 |
| C | 28 | A. Sengun | 22 | 6 | 8 |
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Timberwolves vs. Rockets: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Timberwolves vs. Rockets
- Date: Friday, April 10, 2026
- Time: 9:30 PM ET
- Venue: Toyota Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Rockets favored at -9.5
- Total (Over/Under): 227.5
- Moneyline Odds: Timberwolves +410, Rockets -426
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Timberwolves: 24%
- Rockets: 76%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Timberwolves 109-118 Rockets.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Timberwolves a win probability of 24%, while the Rockets have a win probability of 76%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Rockets are more likely to beat the Timberwolves in the NBA game at Toyota Center on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Timberwolves vs. Rockets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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