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Warriors vs. Kings Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Warriors vs. Kings NBA game on April 10, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
118
124
Apr 11, 2AM Golden 1 Center
Apr 11, 2AM Golden 1 Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Warriors | 27 | 24 | 38 | 29 | 118 |
Kings | 32 | 31 | 19 | 42 | 124 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
72%
28%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Warriors | 27 | 24 | 38 | 29 | 118 |
Kings | 32 | 31 | 19 | 42 | 124 |
Q4 7:33 Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 9:51 Kings misses two point jump shot
Q4 9:58 Kings misses three point jump shot
Q4 10:09 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 10:39 Kings makes three point jump shot
Q4 11:01 Daeqwon Plowden misses three point jump shot
Q4 11:17 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 11:18 Kings makes two point jump shot
Q4 11:23 Kings misses two point jump shot
Q4 11:26 Kings misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Devin Carter defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Nique Clifford misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Kings offensive rebound
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Charles Bassey, Gui Santos, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski)
+1
Nique Clifford makes regular free throw 2 of 2
98-93
Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Al Horford, Gui Santos, Stephen Curry, Kristaps Porzingis)
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 3 of 3
98-92
Kristaps Porzingis turnover
De'Anthony Melton personal foul
+1
Nique Clifford makes regular free throw 1 of 2
98-93
+1
Nique Clifford makes regular free throw 2 of 2
98-93
Dylan Cardwell offensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
Dylan Cardwell offensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
Maxime Raynaud defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
98-93
Kings personal foul
+1
Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 1 of 2
98-93
Kings lineup change (Nique Clifford, Dylan Cardwell, Daeqwon Plowden, Devin Carter, Maxime Raynaud)
+1
Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 2 of 2
98-93
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
Daeqwon Plowden misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
98-93
Daeqwon Plowden offensive rebound
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
98-93
Kings misses two point jump shot
Daeqwon Plowden offensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
98-93
Kings misses three point jump shot
Kings offensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Al Horford, Stephen Curry, Kristaps Porzingis, Brandin Podziemski)
Kings lineup change (Doug McDermott, Nique Clifford, Dylan Cardwell, Killian Hayes, Daeqwon Plowden)
+3
Malevy Leons makes three point jump shot
98-93
Malevy Leons offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
Kings personal foul
+2
Brandin Podziemski makes two point driving layup
98-93
+1
Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 1 of 1
98-93
Kings misses three point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
Warriors 60 second timeout
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
98-93
Warriors violation
+2
Maxime Raynaud makes two point driving floating jump shot
98-93
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
98-93
Gary Payton II defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
Dylan Cardwell defensive rebound
Kristaps Porzingis misses two point tip dunk
Maxime Raynaud defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
De'Anthony Melton defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
98-93
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
72-75
Warriors personal foul
Maxime Raynaud misses technical free throw 1 of 1
Kings offensive rebound
Jump ball. (Al Horford gains possession)
Kings turnover
Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Al Horford, Gary Payton II, Kristaps Porzingis, Brandin Podziemski)
De'Anthony Melton misses three point jump shot
Devin Carter defensive rebound
+2
Maxime Raynaud makes two point floating jump shot (Killian Hayes assists)
98-92
Warriors personal foul
Stoppage (Other)
Kings lineup change (Doug McDermott, Dylan Cardwell, Killian Hayes, Devin Carter, Maxime Raynaud)
Devin Carter turnover (bad pass) (Stephen Curry steals)
+2
Gary Payton II makes two point cutting layup (Draymond Green assists)
98-93
+2
Gary Payton II makes two point driving layup (Draymond Green assists)
98-93
Precious Achiuwa turnover (traveling)
Draymond Green turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Gary Payton II offensive foul (Devin Carter draws the foul)
+1
Devin Carter makes flagrant free throw 1 of 2
72-75
Kings lineup change (Killian Hayes, Precious Achiuwa, Daeqwon Plowden, Devin Carter, Maxime Raynaud)
Daeqwon Plowden turnover (lost ball) (Gary Payton II steals)
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
Kristaps Porzingis turnover (bad pass) (Maxime Raynaud steals)
Daeqwon Plowden misses two point driving layup
End of 1st Half.
Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Pat Spencer, Malevy Leons, Charles Bassey, Will Richard)
Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Pat Spencer, Malevy Leons, Charles Bassey, Will Richard)
Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Pat Spencer, Malevy Leons, Charles Bassey, Will Richard)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors turnover
Warriors personal foul
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 61 | P. Spencer | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| F | 15 | G. Santos | 7 | 3 | 6 |
| C-F | 28 | C. Bassey | 6 | 4 | 1 |
| G | 2 | B. Podziemski | 30 | 3 | 1 |
| F | 33 | M. Leons | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 42 | M. Raynaud | 23 | 9 | 4 |
| C | 32 | D. Cardwell | 7 | 7 | 1 |
| F | 29 | D. Plowden | 20 | 9 | 3 |
| G | 5 | N. Clifford | 20 | 6 | 6 |
| G | 22 | D. Carter | 29 | 9 | 4 |
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Warriors vs. Kings: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Warriors vs. Kings
- Date: Friday, April 10, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Golden 1 Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Warriors favored at -10.5
- Total (Over/Under): 229.5
- Moneyline Odds: Warriors -456, Kings +449
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Warriors: 79%
- Kings: 21%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Warriors 119-110 Kings.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Warriors a win probability of 79%, while the Kings have a win probability of 21%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Warriors are more likely to beat the Kings in the NBA game at Golden 1 Center on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Warriors vs. Kings predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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