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Mavericks vs. Spurs Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mavericks vs. Spurs NBA game on April 10, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
120
139
Apr 11, 12AM Frost Bank Center
Apr 11, 12AM Frost Bank Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mavericks | 47 | 23 | 48 | 2 | 120 |
Spurs | 55 | 15 | 66 | 3 | 139 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
<1%
>99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mavericks | 47 | 23 | 48 | 2 | 120 |
Spurs | 55 | 15 | 66 | 3 | 139 |
Q4 00:06 Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:30 Mavericks makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:45 Spurs makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:05 Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:26 Spurs makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:48 Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:13 Spurs makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:34 Tyler Smith makes two point tip layup
Q4 2:35 Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:43 Keldon Johnson misses two point driving hook shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
AJ Johnson defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
120-139
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
118-139
Jordan McLaughlin defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
118-136
Carter Bryant defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
120-139
Tyler Smith offensive rebound
+2
Tyler Smith makes two point tip layup
118-136
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Dwight Powell defensive rebound
Keldon Johnson misses two point driving hook shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
118-136
Dwight Powell defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Jordan McLaughlin offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
120-139
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
120-139
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
118-136
Dwight Powell defensive rebound
Jordan McLaughlin misses two point pullup bank jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
120-139
Spurs turnover
Mavericks turnover
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
118-136
Mavericks personal foul
Spurs lineup change (Carter Bryant, Keldon Johnson, Harrison Ingram, Harrison Barnes, Jordan McLaughlin)
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
118-136
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
118-136
Spurs violation
Mavericks lineup change (AJ Johnson, Dwight Powell, John Poulakidas, Ryan Nembhard, Tyler Smith)
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 1 of 2
118-136
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Dwight Powell, John Poulakidas, Ryan Nembhard, Tyler Smith)
+1
Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 2 of 2
118-136
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
118-136
Spurs turnover
Luke Kornet offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Moussa Cisse defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Mavericks turnover
+2
Keldon Johnson makes two point jump shot (Dylan Harper assists)
100-122
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson, Harrison Barnes, Luke Kornet)
+2
Moussa Cisse makes two point reverse layup (Khris Middleton assists)
118-136
Spurs 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Carter Bryant, Devin Vassell, Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson, Luke Kornet)
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Khris Middleton misses three point jump shot
Moussa Cisse defensive rebound
Julian Champagnie misses three point running jump shot
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
118-136
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
118-136
Spurs lineup change (Carter Bryant, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama, Luke Kornet)
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Cooper Flagg, Khris Middleton, Moussa Cisse, John Poulakidas)
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
118-136
+3
Khris Middleton makes three point jump shot (Cooper Flagg assists)
118-136
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Luke Kornet misses two point turnaround hook shot
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Spurs defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Harrison Barnes, Victor Wembanyama, Luke Kornet)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
118-136
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 1
118-136
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
118-136
Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
118-136
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Dwight Powell turnover (bad pass)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Carter Bryant makes three point jump shot (Victor Wembanyama assists)
118-136
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
End of 3rd Quarter.
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Cooper Flagg, Khris Middleton, Dwight Powell, Ryan Nembhard)
Spurs lineup change (Carter Bryant, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Harrison Barnes, Victor Wembanyama)
+2
Moussa Cisse makes two point tip layup
118-134
Moussa Cisse offensive rebound
Ryan Nembhard misses two point driving finger roll layup
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
118-136
+1
Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
118-136
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot (De'Aaron Fox assists)
100-122
+2
Cooper Flagg makes two point jump shot
100-122
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
118-136
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Mavericks personal foul
Victor Wembanyama misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Spurs offensive rebound
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
118-136
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Cooper Flagg, Moussa Cisse, John Poulakidas, Ryan Nembhard)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
118-136
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
118-136
Spurs personal foul
+1
AJ Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
118-136
Spurs 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Cooper Flagg, AJ Johnson, Moussa Cisse, John Poulakidas)
Spurs lineup change (Carter Bryant, Keldon Johnson, Harrison Barnes, Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox)
+1
AJ Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
118-136
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
118-136
Luke Kornet offensive rebound
Moussa Cisse blocks Keldon Johnson's two point driving layup
Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
118-136
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Carter Bryant, Keldon Johnson, Harrison Barnes, De'Aaron Fox, Luke Kornet)
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, AJ Johnson, Moussa Cisse, John Poulakidas, Tyler Smith)
Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+2
De'Aaron Fox makes two point jump shot
118-136
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Dwight Powell offensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Julian Champagnie makes regular free throw 1 of 3
85-99
+1
Julian Champagnie makes regular free throw 2 of 3
118-136
+1
Julian Champagnie makes regular free throw 3 of 3
118-136
Spurs lineup change (Carter Bryant, Julian Champagnie, Harrison Barnes, De'Aaron Fox, Luke Kornet)
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, AJ Johnson, Dwight Powell, John Poulakidas, Tyler Smith)
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Dwight Powell defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Mavericks turnover
Devin Vassell turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Spurs personal foul
+1
Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 1 of 2
118-136
Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, AJ Johnson, Dwight Powell, John Poulakidas, Tyler Smith)
+1
Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 2 of 2
118-136
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
118-136
Spurs personal foul
+1
Khris Middleton makes regular free throw 1 of 2
118-136
Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Khris Middleton, Dwight Powell, John Poulakidas, Ryan Nembhard)
+1
Khris Middleton makes regular free throw 2 of 2
118-136
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks 60 second timeout
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
85-99
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Khris Middleton personal foul
+2
Dylan Harper makes two point layup
85-99
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie, Luke Kornet)
+1
Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 1 of 1
85-99
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Cooper Flagg offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Moussa Cisse offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
100-122
Mavericks personal foul
Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Khris Middleton, Moussa Cisse, John Poulakidas, Ryan Nembhard)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
100-122
Ryan Nembhard defensive rebound
De'Aaron Fox misses two point layup
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
100-122
+2
Victor Wembanyama makes two point tip layup
85-99
Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
De'Aaron Fox misses two point driving finger roll layup
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
100-122
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
100-122
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
100-122
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Ryan Nembhard makes two point jump shot
100-122
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
100-122
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
85-99
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
70-70
Dwight Powell offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
65-68
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
100-122
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Spurs turnover
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
100-122
Spurs offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
End of 1st Half.
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox)
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Cooper Flagg, Khris Middleton, Dwight Powell, Ryan Nembhard)
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Mavericks offensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
Moussa Cisse misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Mavericks offensive rebound
Moussa Cisse misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Cooper Flagg, Khris Middleton, Moussa Cisse, Tyler Smith)
+2
Victor Wembanyama makes two point driving finger roll layup (De'Aaron Fox assists)
65-68
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Carter Bryant defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Khris Middleton defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+1
Ryan Nembhard makes regular free throw 2 of 2
65-68
Spurs personal foul
+1
Ryan Nembhard makes regular free throw 1 of 2
70-70
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
63-66
Spurs defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
65-68
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
65-68
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Cooper Flagg, Khris Middleton, Moussa Cisse, Ryan Nembhard)
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
65-68
Dwight Powell defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Mavericks turnover
Spurs turnover
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
65-68
Ryan Nembhard defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
65-68
Dwight Powell offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Cooper Flagg, Khris Middleton, Dwight Powell, Ryan Nembhard)
Spurs lineup change (Carter Bryant, Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes, Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox)
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Max Christie defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Mavericks turnover
De'Aaron Fox turnover (bad pass) (Max Christie steals)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
65-68
Julian Champagnie personal foul (Max Christie draws the foul)
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Cooper Flagg, Dwight Powell, John Poulakidas, Tyler Smith)
+1
Max Christie makes regular free throw 2 of 2
65-68
+1
Max Christie makes regular free throw 1 of 2
65-68
Spurs turnover
Carter Bryant offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Tyler Smith offensive rebound
+2
Tyler Smith makes two point jump shot
65-68
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
65-68
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Moussa Cisse offensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
Moussa Cisse misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Mavericks offensive rebound
+1
Moussa Cisse makes regular free throw 2 of 2
65-68
Spurs lineup change (Carter Bryant, Devin Vassell, Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox)
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
65-68
+1
AJ Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
65-68
Spurs lineup change (Carter Bryant, Devin Vassell, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama)
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, AJ Johnson, Moussa Cisse, John Poulakidas, Tyler Smith)
Spurs personal foul
+1
AJ Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
65-68
AJ Johnson defensive rebound
Devin Vassell misses two point pullup jump shot
Dylan Harper offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Spurs turnover
Mavericks lineup change (AJ Johnson, Khris Middleton, Moussa Cisse, John Poulakidas, Tyler Smith)
Julian Champagnie blocks Moussa Cisse's two point putback layup
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Moussa Cisse misses two point tip dunk
Moussa Cisse offensive rebound
Moussa Cisse offensive rebound
AJ Johnson misses three point jump shot
Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, AJ Johnson, Khris Middleton, Moussa Cisse, John Poulakidas)
+1
Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 2 of 2
65-68
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 1 of 2
65-68
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
65-68
Max Christie defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
AJ Johnson makes two point jump shot (Khris Middleton assists)
44-53
Dwight Powell offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Dwight Powell offensive rebound
Khris Middleton misses two point pullup jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
65-68
+2
Cooper Flagg makes two point pullup jump shot
41-50
Spurs personal foul
Instant replay
+1
Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 1 of 1
65-68
Mavericks 60 second timeout
+2
Dylan Harper makes two point running finger roll layup
41-50
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Cooper Flagg, AJ Johnson, Khris Middleton, Dwight Powell)
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie, Luke Kornet)
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Cooper Flagg misses two point driving finger roll layup
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
65-68
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Harrison Barnes makes regular free throw 1 of 1
65-68
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Harrison Barnes, Luke Kornet)
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Dwight Powell defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
65-68
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
65-68
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
65-68
Spurs personal foul
+1
Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 1 of 1
65-68
Mavericks personal foul
+1
De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 1 of 2
65-68
+1
De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 2 of 2
65-68
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Cooper Flagg, Khris Middleton, Dwight Powell, Ryan Nembhard)
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
65-68
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
63-66
Spurs 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Julian Champagnie, Harrison Barnes, De'Aaron Fox, Luke Kornet)
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
52-60
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
52-60
Mavericks defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Ryan Nembhard personal foul (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
52-60
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Cooper Flagg, Moussa Cisse, John Poulakidas, Ryan Nembhard)
Spurs lineup change (Carter Bryant, Julian Champagnie, Harrison Barnes, Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox)
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
47-55
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
47-55
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
47-55
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
AJ Johnson offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+3
Carter Bryant makes three point jump shot (De'Aaron Fox assists)
23-32
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Spurs turnover
AJ Johnson personal foul (De'Aaron Fox draws the foul)
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Carter Bryant, Keldon Johnson, Harrison Barnes, Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox)
Dylan Harper personal foul (Loose ball) (Moussa Cisse draws the foul)
Dylan Harper turnover
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 8 | A. Johnson | 13 | 1 | 2 |
| F-C | 7 | D. Powell | 4 | 11 | 5 |
| F | 23 | T. Smith | 6 | 2 | 1 |
| G | 1 | J. Poulakidas | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| G | 9 | R. Nembhard | 13 | 1 | 7 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 0 | J. McLaughlin | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| F | 55 | H. Ingram | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| F | 11 | C. Bryant | 12 | 4 | 2 |
| F | 40 | H. Barnes | 15 | 2 | 1 |
| F-G | 3 | K. Johnson | 17 | 6 | 2 |
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Mavericks vs. Spurs: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Mavericks vs. Spurs
- Date: Friday, April 10, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Frost Bank Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Spurs favored at -18.5
- Total (Over/Under): 236.5
- Moneyline Odds: Mavericks +1567, Spurs -1667
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Mavericks: 9%
- Spurs: 91%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Mavericks 110-126 Spurs.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mavericks a win probability of 9%, while the Spurs have a win probability of 91%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Spurs are more likely to beat the Mavericks in the NBA game at Frost Bank Center on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Mavericks vs. Spurs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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