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Heat vs. Wizards Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Heat vs. Wizards NBA game on April 10, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
140
117
Apr 10, 11PM Capital One Arena
Apr 10, 11PM Capital One Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 34 | 33 | 38 | 35 | 140 |
Wizards | 23 | 27 | 35 | 32 | 117 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 34 | 33 | 38 | 35 | 140 |
Wizards | 23 | 27 | 35 | 32 | 117 |
Q4 00:24 Will Riley misses two point driving floating jump shot
Q4 00:39 Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:07 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:33 Wizards misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:53 Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving floating jump shot
Q4 2:11 Wizards makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:34 Wizards makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:46 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:04 Wizards makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:26 Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point layup (Pelle Larsson assists)
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Heat turnover
End of 4th Quarter.
Myron Gardner defensive rebound
Will Riley misses two point driving floating jump shot
Anthony Gill defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Wizards offensive rebound
Anthony Gill misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Anthony Gill makes regular free throw 2 of 2
140-117
Heat lineup change (Vladislav Goldin, Myron Gardner, Trevor Keels, Keshad Johnson, Jahmir Young)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
140-117
Will Riley turnover
Wizards personal foul
Heat lineup change (Vladislav Goldin, Trevor Keels, Keshad Johnson, Jahmir Young, Pelle Larsson)
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
138-115
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
140-117
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
+2
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving floating jump shot
140-117
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
134-115
Heat turnover
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
140-117
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
140-117
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
140-117
Wizards personal foul
Heat personal foul
Heat 60 second timeout
Jamir Watkins defensive goaltending violation
+2
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point layup (Pelle Larsson assists)
138-115
Bub Carrington turnover
Jamir Watkins defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point turnaround jump shot
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
140-117
Jamir Watkins misses two point cutting layup
Wizards offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
130-106
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
140-117
Sharife Cooper defensive rebound
Wizards personal foul
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
140-117
Pelle Larsson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
140-117
Anthony Gill defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
140-117
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
140-117
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
140-117
+2
Julian Reese makes two point cutting layup (Sharife Cooper assists)
140-117
Heat 60 second timeout
Wizards lineup change (Sharife Cooper, Bub Carrington, Will Riley, Jamir Watkins, Anthony Gill)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
140-117
+2
Sharife Cooper makes two point pullup jump shot
138-115
Wizards turnover
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
140-117
Wizards personal foul
+1
Keshad Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
140-117
+1
Keshad Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
140-117
Wizards lineup change (Sharife Cooper, Bub Carrington, Will Riley, Jamir Watkins, Julian Reese)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
140-117
Will Riley defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Will Riley misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
140-117
Wizards turnover
Heat turnover
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
Wizards misses two point jump shot
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
138-115
Heat personal foul
Wizards 60 second timeout
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
138-115
Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
Keshad Johnson misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Julian Reese misses two point hook shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
138-115
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
138-115
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
138-115
Wizards turnover
Keshad Johnson personal foul (Sharife Cooper draws the foul)
Leaky Black defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Will Riley makes two point driving dunk
138-115
Julian Reese defensive rebound
Keshad Johnson misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
138-115
Heat personal foul
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
138-115
Wizards turnover
Anthony Gill misses two point driving layup
Julian Reese offensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Wizards lineup change (Sharife Cooper, Will Riley, Jamir Watkins, Julian Reese, Leaky Black)
Heat personal foul
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
138-115
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Bam Adebayo blocks Sharife Cooper's two point stepback jump shot
Wizards offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Julian Reese defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Wizards lineup change (Sharife Cooper, Will Riley, Jamir Watkins, Anthony Gill, Julian Reese)
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
138-115
Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
136-115
Wizards personal foul
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
136-115
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
136-115
Kasparas Jakucionis offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Leaky Black personal foul
Heat defensive rebound
Wizards 60 second timeout
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
130-108
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Jaime Jaquez Jr. personal foul (Anthony Gill draws the foul)
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kasparas Jakucionis, Bam Adebayo, Keshad Johnson, Pelle Larsson)
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
130-108
Anthony Gill misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Heat turnover
Keshad Johnson offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Simone Fontecchio offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Will Riley defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
112-91
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Wizards lineup change (Will Riley, Jamir Watkins, Anthony Gill, Julian Reese, Leaky Black)
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Keshad Johnson, Simone Fontecchio, Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson)
Julian Reese defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jump ball. (Kel'el Ware gains possession)
Heat misses three point jump shot
Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
112-91
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
112-91
Jump ball. (Heat gains possession)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
112-91
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
112-91
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Heat turnover
Wizards turnover
Heat misses two point jump shot
Wizards defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins, Simone Fontecchio, Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson)
Andrew Wiggins turnover (out of bounds step)
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
112-91
Heat 60 second timeout
Bub Carrington defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
87-71
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
112-91
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
105-85
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
105-85
Heat personal foul
+1
Bub Carrington makes regular free throw 1 of 2
105-85
+1
Bub Carrington makes regular free throw 2 of 2
105-85
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
105-85
Heat personal foul
+1
Bilal Coulibaly makes regular free throw 1 of 2
105-85
+1
Bilal Coulibaly makes regular free throw 2 of 2
105-85
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
105-85
Wizards turnover
Anthony Gill defensive rebound
Simone Fontecchio misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
105-85
Wizards personal foul
Kasparas Jakucionis misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
+1
Kasparas Jakucionis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
95-82
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
95-82
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
95-82
Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Other)
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
95-82
Julian Reese offensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Bilal Coulibaly defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Bilal Coulibaly makes two point jump shot
67-50
Heat turnover
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Wizards offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Heat lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo, Simone Fontecchio, Kel'el Ware)
Wizards lineup change (Bub Carrington, Anthony Gill, Bilal Coulibaly, Julian Reese, Leaky Black)
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
67-50
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
67-50
Wizards lineup change (Bub Carrington, Will Riley, Jamir Watkins, Bilal Coulibaly, Julian Reese)
Wizards personal foul
+2
Julian Reese makes two point pullup jump shot
67-50
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
67-50
+1
Jamir Watkins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
67-50
Heat personal foul
Jamir Watkins misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Wizards offensive rebound
Heat turnover
+2
Bilal Coulibaly makes two point layup (Bub Carrington assists)
67-49
Jamir Watkins defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Julian Reese shooting foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
67-50
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
67-50
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Simone Fontecchio, Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson)
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
67-50
Heat turnover
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
67-50
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Keshad Johnson, Simone Fontecchio, Pelle Larsson)
Bilal Coulibaly offensive rebound
Heat personal foul
+1
Bilal Coulibaly makes regular free throw 1 of 1
67-50
Wizards misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
67-50
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
62-41
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
62-38
Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
Bilal Coulibaly misses two point floating jump shot
Bub Carrington defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Julian Reese offensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Wizards lineup change (Bub Carrington, Jamir Watkins, Bilal Coulibaly, Julian Reese, Leaky Black)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
60-38
Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
57-38
Wizards personal foul
+1
Simone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 1 of 2
56-36
Wizards lineup change (Bub Carrington, Jamir Watkins, Anthony Gill, Bilal Coulibaly, Julian Reese)
+1
Simone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 2 of 2
57-36
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
55-36
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
55-34
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Bilal Coulibaly offensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
52-34
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
50-34
Wizards personal foul
Wizards 60 second timeout
Instant replay
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
49-31
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo, Keshad Johnson, Simone Fontecchio)
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
50-31
Wizards personal foul
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
48-31
Keshad Johnson offensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
48-29
Heat misses two point jump shot
Wizards turnover
Heat turnover
Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Wizards personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
45-29
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
46-29
Wizards lineup change (Sharife Cooper, Bub Carrington, Will Riley, Anthony Gill, Bilal Coulibaly)
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Heat turnover
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
44-29
Wizards 60 second timeout
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
44-27
Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
40-27
Wizards personal foul
Wizards lineup change (Sharife Cooper, Bub Carrington, Will Riley, Jamir Watkins, Anthony Gill)
Heat lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo, Keshad Johnson, Simone Fontecchio)
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 1
41-27
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Jamir Watkins defensive rebound
Heat personal foul
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kasparas Jakucionis, Bam Adebayo, Keshad Johnson, Simone Fontecchio)
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Heat personal foul
Heat turnover
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Jamir Watkins offensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Wizards personal foul
+1
Kasparas Jakucionis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
37-27
+1
Kasparas Jakucionis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
38-27
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
36-27
Heat turnover
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
36-25
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
36-23
Heat personal foul
Wizards turnover
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kasparas Jakucionis, Myron Gardner, Bam Adebayo, Keshad Johnson)
Will Riley defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Wizards lineup change (Sharife Cooper, Bub Carrington, Will Riley, Jamir Watkins, Julian Reese)
Keshad Johnson defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
34-23
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
32-23
Heat personal foul
Jamir Watkins misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Wizards offensive rebound
Wizards lineup change (Sharife Cooper, Will Riley, Jamir Watkins, Anthony Gill, Leaky Black)
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kasparas Jakucionis, Bam Adebayo, Keshad Johnson, Pelle Larsson)
+1
Jamir Watkins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
30-23
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
30-22
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
28-22
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
28-19
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
26-19
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
26-16
Wizards turnover
Wizards 60 second timeout
+2
Kasparas Jakucionis makes two point jump shot
24-16
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
22-16
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kasparas Jakucionis, Keshad Johnson, Simone Fontecchio, Pelle Larsson)
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kasparas Jakucionis, Keshad Johnson, Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson)
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Wizards personal foul
Andrew Wiggins misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
20-16
Wizards turnover
Jamir Watkins defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Heat turnover
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Wizards misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
18-16
Wizards personal foul
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 1
19-16
Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Wizards lineup change (Will Riley, Jamir Watkins, Anthony Gill, Julian Reese, Leaky Black)
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Bub Carrington turnover (bad pass)
Wizards offensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Wizards personal foul
Andrew Wiggins misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
16-16
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
15-16
Heat turnover
Stoppage (Court cleanup)
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins, Simone Fontecchio, Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson)
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
15-13
Julian Reese defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
15-11
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
15-8
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
12-8
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
12-6
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
Wizards turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
10-6
Heat personal foul
+1
Bilal Coulibaly makes regular free throw 1 of 2
8-5
+1
Bilal Coulibaly makes regular free throw 2 of 2
8-6
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
8-4
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
5-4
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
2-4
Heat personal foul
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo, Simone Fontecchio, Kel'el Ware)
Heat turnover
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
2-2
Bilal Coulibaly offensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Anthony Gill defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Wizards offensive rebound
Heat personal foul
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Heat misses two point jump shot
Wizards defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
2-0
Wizards turnover
Leaky Black defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
Bub Carrington misses two point jump shot
Kel'el Ware vs. Julian Reese (Anthony Gill gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 16 | K. Johnson | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| F | 15 | M. Gardner | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| G | 17 | J. Young | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| G | 8 | T. Keels | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| C | 50 | V. Goldin | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 13 | S. Cooper | 11 | 1 | 7 |
| G | 7 | B. Carrington | 30 | 2 | 4 |
| F | 5 | J. Watkins | 7 | 5 | 1 |
| F | 16 | A. Gill | 10 | 3 | 1 |
| F | 27 | W. Riley | 16 | 3 | 2 |
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Heat vs. Wizards: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Heat vs. Wizards
- Date: Friday, April 10, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Capital One Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Heat favored at -15.5
- Total (Over/Under): 243.5
- Moneyline Odds: Heat -1199, Wizards +1063
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Heat: 89%
- Wizards: 11%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Heat 129-114 Wizards.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Heat a win probability of 89%, while the Wizards have a win probability of 11%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Heat are more likely to beat the Wizards in the NBA game at Capital One Arena on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Heat vs. Wizards predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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