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Cavaliers vs. Raptors Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Cavaliers vs. Raptors NBA game on May 1, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Cavaliers
56
:
65
May 1, 11:30PM Scotiabank Arena
Raptors
May 1, 11:30PM Scotiabank Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM12 3 4 T
Cavaliers
32 19 5 0 56
Raptors
32 29 4 0 65
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
CavaliersCLE
Win %
47%
53%
RaptorsTOR
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Cavaliers
32 19 5 0 56
Raptors
32 29 4 0 65
Q3 9:22 Raptors misses three point jump shot
Q3 9:29 Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Q3 9:36 Raptors misses three point jump shot
Q3 9:54 Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
Q3 10:04 Raptors misses two point jump shot
Q3 10:15 Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Q3 10:47 Raptors misses three point jump shot
Q3 11:11 Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
Q3 11:29 Raptors makes two point jump shot
Q3 11:37 Raptors misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Q3 9:22
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Q3 9:27
RJ Barrett defensive rebound
Q3 9:29
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Q3 9:34
Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
Q3 9:36
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Q3 9:54
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
56-65
Q3 10:02
Max Strus defensive rebound
Q3 10:04
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Q3 10:12
Ja'Kobe Walter defensive rebound
Q3 10:15
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Q3 10:30
Cavaliers personal foul
Q3 10:30
+1
Ja'Kobe Walter makes regular free throw 1 of 2
53-64
Q3 10:30
+1
Ja'Kobe Walter makes regular free throw 2 of 2
53-65
Q3 10:33
Cavaliers turnover
Q3 10:44
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Q3 10:47
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Q3 11:11
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
53-63
Q3 11:29
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
51-63
Q3 11:35
Jakob Poeltl offensive rebound
Q3 11:37
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Q3 11:38
RJ Barrett offensive rebound
Q3 11:42
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:00
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:00
Cavaliers offensive rebound
Q2 00:00
End of 1st Half.
Q3 12:00
Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, Max Strus, Jarrett Allen, James Harden, Evan Mobley)
Q3 12:00
Raptors lineup change (Scottie Barnes, Ja'Kobe Walter, Jamal Shead, Jakob Poeltl, RJ Barrett)
Q2 00:01
Raptors turnover
Q2 00:23
Collin Murray-Boyles defensive rebound
Q2 00:25
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:32
Raptors violation
Q2 00:32
Raptors lineup change (Scottie Barnes, Ja'Kobe Walter, Sandro Mamukelashvili, Collin Murray-Boyles, A.J. Lawson)
Q2 00:32
Cavaliers lineup change (Sam Merrill, Donovan Mitchell, Max Strus, James Harden, Evan Mobley)
Q2 00:51
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
51-61
Q2 1:02
RJ Barrett defensive rebound
Q2 1:06
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Q2 1:15
Evan Mobley offensive rebound
Q2 1:18
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Q2 1:28
James Harden defensive rebound
Q2 1:30
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Q2 1:35
RJ Barrett defensive rebound
Q2 1:39
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Q2 1:45
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Q2 1:45
Cavaliers offensive rebound
Q2 1:45
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 1:45
Cavaliers lineup change (Sam Merrill, Dennis Schroder, Max Strus, James Harden, Evan Mobley)
Q2 1:58
James Harden defensive rebound
Q2 1:59
Scottie Barnes offensive rebound
Q2 1:59
Scottie Barnes misses two point tip layup
Q2 2:03
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Q2 2:31
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
51-58
Q2 2:40
Raptors turnover
Q2 2:40
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
49-58
Q2 2:43
Cavaliers turnover
Q2 2:48
Raptors turnover
Q2 2:48
Cavaliers violation
Q2 2:53
Raptors turnover
Q2 3:05
Scottie Barnes defensive rebound
Q2 3:08
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Q2 3:19
Cavaliers 60 second timeout
Q2 3:19
Cavaliers lineup change (Sam Merrill, Donovan Mitchell, Max Strus, James Harden, Evan Mobley)
Q2 3:37
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
49-55
Q2 3:50
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
49-52
Q2 4:04
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Q2 4:04
Raptors offensive rebound
Q2 4:04
Cavaliers personal foul
Q2 4:04
+1
Collin Murray-Boyles makes regular free throw 1 of 2
47-51
Q2 4:04
Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, Jaylon Tyson, Max Strus, James Harden, Evan Mobley)
Q2 4:04
+1
Collin Murray-Boyles makes regular free throw 2 of 2
47-52
Q2 4:27
Raptors personal foul
Q2 4:27
+1
James Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 2
46-50
Q2 4:27
+1
James Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 2
47-50
Q2 4:27
Raptors lineup change (Scottie Barnes, Ja'Kobe Walter, Jamal Shead, Collin Murray-Boyles, RJ Barrett)
Q2 4:45
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
45-50
Q2 4:58
Dean Wade offensive rebound
Q2 4:58
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
45-47
Q2 5:02
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Q2 5:16
Collin Murray-Boyles offensive rebound
Q2 5:16
Raptors personal foul
Q2 5:16
Collin Murray-Boyles turnover (offensive foul)
Q2 5:16
Instant replay
Q2 5:16
Cavaliers lineup change (Dean Wade, Jaylon Tyson, Max Strus, Jarrett Allen, James Harden)
Q2 5:18
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Q2 5:35
Raptors personal foul
Q2 5:35
Jarrett Allen misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q2 5:35
Cavaliers offensive rebound
Q2 5:35
Raptors lineup change (Ja'Kobe Walter, Jamal Shead, Jamison Battle, Collin Murray-Boyles, RJ Barrett)
Q2 5:35
+1
Jarrett Allen makes regular free throw 2 of 2
43-47
Q2 5:42
Dean Wade defensive rebound
Q2 5:44
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Q2 5:45
Collin Murray-Boyles offensive rebound
Q2 5:47
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Q2 6:03
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
42-47
Q2 6:20
Raptors turnover
Q2 6:37
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
40-47
Q2 6:52
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Q2 6:52
Cavaliers offensive rebound
Q2 6:52
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 7:04
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
38-47
Q2 7:09
Scottie Barnes defensive rebound
Q2 7:11
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Q2 7:24
Cavaliers 60 second timeout
Q2 7:24
Cavaliers lineup change (Dean Wade, Sam Merrill, Jaylon Tyson, Jarrett Allen, James Harden)
Q2 7:26
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
38-45
Q2 7:31
Cavaliers turnover
Q2 7:41
Cavaliers personal foul
Q2 7:41
+1
Ja'Kobe Walter makes regular free throw 1 of 2
38-42
Q2 7:41
+1
Ja'Kobe Walter makes regular free throw 2 of 2
38-43
Q2 7:41
Raptors lineup change (Scottie Barnes, Ja'Kobe Walter, Jamison Battle, Jakob Poeltl, Collin Murray-Boyles)
Q2 7:45
Cavaliers turnover
Q2 7:53
Thomas Bryant defensive rebound
Q2 7:56
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Q2 8:02
Jakob Poeltl defensive rebound
Q2 8:05
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Q2 8:17
Cavaliers personal foul
Q2 8:17
+1
Scottie Barnes makes regular free throw 1 of 2
38-40
Q2 8:17
Cavaliers lineup change (Sam Merrill, Jaylon Tyson, Jarrett Allen, James Harden, Thomas Bryant)
Q2 8:17
+1
Scottie Barnes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
38-41
Q2 8:32
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
38-39
Q2 8:44
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
35-39
Q2 8:49
Cavaliers personal foul
Q2 8:59
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
35-37
Q2 9:03
James Harden offensive rebound
Q2 9:04
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Q2 9:09
Evan Mobley offensive rebound
Q2 9:12
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Q2 9:22
Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
Q2 9:25
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Q2 9:44
Cavaliers personal foul
Q2 9:44
Jaylon Tyson turnover (offensive foul)
Q2 9:44
Cavaliers 60 second timeout
Q2 9:44
Instant replay
Q2 9:44
Raptors lineup change (Scottie Barnes, Ja'Kobe Walter, Jamison Battle, Jakob Poeltl, Sandro Mamukelashvili)
Q2 9:58
Raptors turnover
Q2 10:07
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Q2 10:07
Raptors defensive rebound
Q2 10:07
Cavaliers personal foul
Q2 10:13
Raptors turnover
Q2 10:16
Cavaliers turnover
Q2 10:26
Raptors personal foul
Q2 10:26
Raptors lineup change (Scottie Barnes, Ja'Kobe Walter, Jamal Shead, Jakob Poeltl, Sandro Mamukelashvili)
Q2 10:26
Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, Jaylon Tyson, James Harden, Evan Mobley, Thomas Bryant)
Q2 10:28
Jaylon Tyson defensive rebound
Q2 10:31
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Q2 10:47
Sandro Mamukelashvili defensive rebound
Q2 10:49
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Q2 11:03
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
32-37
Q2 11:08
Sandro Mamukelashvili offensive rebound
Q2 11:11
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Q2 11:20
Scottie Barnes defensive rebound
Q2 11:23
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Q2 11:34
Raptors personal foul
Q2 11:42
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
32-34
Q1 00:00
Sandro Mamukelashvili defensive rebound
Q1 00:00
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:00
Cavaliers offensive rebound
Q1 00:00
End of 1st Quarter.
Q2 12:00
Raptors lineup change (Scottie Barnes, Jamal Shead, Jakob Poeltl, Sandro Mamukelashvili, RJ Barrett)
Q2 12:00
Cavaliers lineup change (Dennis Schroder, Donovan Mitchell, Jaylon Tyson, Evan Mobley, Thomas Bryant)
Q1 00:01
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Q1 00:24
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
32-32
Q1 00:35
Cavaliers turnover
Q1 00:47
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Q1 00:47
RJ Barrett offensive rebound
Q1 00:47
Raptors personal foul
Q1 00:47
Cavaliers personal foul
Q1 00:47
+1
RJ Barrett makes regular free throw 1 of 2
32-29
Q1 00:47
+1
RJ Barrett makes regular free throw 2 of 2
32-30
Q1 00:48
RJ Barrett offensive rebound
Q1 00:50
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Q1 1:05
Raptors personal foul
Q1 1:05
+1
Dennis Schroder makes regular free throw 1 of 2
31-28
Q1 1:05
+1
Dennis Schroder makes regular free throw 2 of 2
32-28
Q1 1:05
Raptors lineup change (Scottie Barnes, Ja'Kobe Walter, Sandro Mamukelashvili, Collin Murray-Boyles, RJ Barrett)
Q1 1:20
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
30-28
Q1 1:25
Sandro Mamukelashvili defensive rebound
Q1 1:27
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Q1 1:49
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
30-26
Q1 2:05
Cavaliers personal foul
Q1 2:05
Cavaliers 60 second timeout
Q1 2:05
Raptors lineup change (Scottie Barnes, Jamal Shead, Sandro Mamukelashvili, Collin Murray-Boyles, RJ Barrett)
Q1 2:08
Sandro Mamukelashvili defensive rebound
Q1 2:10
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Q1 2:21
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Q1 2:25
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Q1 2:38
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
30-24
Q1 2:52
Dean Wade defensive rebound
Q1 2:57
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Q1 3:07
Cavaliers personal foul
Q1 3:07
Dean Wade turnover (offensive foul)
Q1 3:16
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
28-24
Q1 3:30
Raptors personal foul
Q1 3:30
+1
Evan Mobley makes regular free throw 1 of 2
27-22
Q1 3:30
+1
Evan Mobley makes regular free throw 2 of 2
28-22
Q1 3:30
Cavaliers lineup change (Dean Wade, Sam Merrill, Dennis Schroder, Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley)
Q1 3:39
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Q1 3:42
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Q1 3:51
Raptors personal foul
Q1 3:51
+1
James Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 2
25-22
Q1 3:51
Cavaliers lineup change (Dean Wade, Sam Merrill, Dennis Schroder, James Harden, Evan Mobley)
Q1 3:51
Raptors lineup change (Scottie Barnes, Ja'Kobe Walter, Jamal Shead, Sandro Mamukelashvili, Collin Murray-Boyles)
Q1 3:51
+1
James Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 2
26-22
Q1 3:56
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
24-22
Q1 4:15
Stoppage (Other)
Q1 4:18
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
24-20
Q1 4:26
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
21-20
Q1 4:36
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
21-18
Q1 4:54
Raptors turnover
Q1 5:13
Raptors personal foul
Q1 5:13
Jarrett Allen misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q1 5:13
Cavaliers offensive rebound
Q1 5:13
+1
Jarrett Allen makes regular free throw 2 of 2
19-18
Q1 5:13
Raptors lineup change (Scottie Barnes, Ja'Kobe Walter, Jamal Shead, Jamison Battle, Collin Murray-Boyles)
Q1 5:17
James Harden defensive rebound
Q1 5:20
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Q1 5:39
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
18-18
Q1 5:53
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
16-18
Q1 6:06
Dean Wade offensive rebound
Q1 6:06
Cavaliers personal foul
Q1 6:06
Dean Wade turnover
Q1 6:07
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Q1 6:27
Max Strus defensive rebound
Q1 6:29
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Q1 6:43
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
16-15
Q1 6:43
Raptors 60 second timeout
Q1 6:43
Raptors lineup change (Ja'Kobe Walter, Jamal Shead, Jamison Battle, Collin Murray-Boyles, RJ Barrett)
Q1 6:43
Cavaliers lineup change (Dean Wade, Sam Merrill, Max Strus, Jarrett Allen, James Harden)
Q1 6:56
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
14-15
Q1 7:14
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
14-13
Q1 7:36
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
12-13
Q1 7:40
Cavaliers turnover
Q1 7:50
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Q1 7:54
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Q1 8:17
RJ Barrett defensive rebound
Q1 8:19
Raptors personal foul
Q1 8:19
Jarrett Allen misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q1 8:19
Cavaliers offensive rebound
Q1 8:19
Raptors lineup change (Scottie Barnes, Ja'Kobe Walter, Jamison Battle, Collin Murray-Boyles, RJ Barrett)
Q1 8:19
Jarrett Allen misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q1 8:33
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
12-10
Q1 8:42
Stoppage (Other)
Q1 8:44
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
12-7
Q1 8:49
Max Strus offensive rebound
Q1 8:52
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Q1 8:59
Max Strus defensive rebound
Q1 9:02
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Q1 9:13
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
9-7
Q1 9:34
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
6-7
Q1 9:38
Cavaliers turnover
Q1 9:40
Jarrett Allen offensive rebound
Q1 9:45
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Q1 10:01
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Q1 10:05
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Q1 10:09
Cavaliers turnover
Q1 10:18
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
6-5
Q1 10:33
Cavaliers personal foul
Q1 10:33
Instant replay
Q1 10:33
RJ Barrett technical foul (Double)
Q1 10:34
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
6-3
Q1 10:35
James Harden offensive rebound
Q1 10:37
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Q1 10:56
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
4-3
Q1 11:19
Raptors personal foul
Q1 11:19
+1
Evan Mobley makes regular free throw 1 of 2
3-0
Q1 11:19
+1
Evan Mobley makes regular free throw 2 of 2
4-0
Q1 11:28
Raptors personal foul
Q1 11:30
Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
Q1 11:33
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Q1 11:42
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
2-0
Q1 12:00
Jarrett Allen vs. Jakob Poeltl (Max Strus gains possession)
Q1 12:00
Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, Max Strus, Jarrett Allen, James Harden, Evan Mobley)
Q1 12:00
Raptors lineup change (Scottie Barnes, Ja'Kobe Walter, Jamal Shead, Jakob Poeltl, RJ Barrett)
Q1 12:00
Start of 1st Quarter
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
On Court
On Court
Cavaliers
PosPlayerPts Reb Ast
G45 D. Mitchell 7 3 0
G1 J. Harden 8 5 5
F2 M. Strus 6 5 1
C31 J. Allen 10 0 0
F4 E. Mobley 14 7 2
Raptors
PosPlayerPts Reb Ast
G14 J. Walter 17 1 0
C19 J. Poeltl 0 3 1
G23 J. Shead 6 0 3
F4 S. Barnes 14 3 10
F9 R. Barrett 15 6 2

Game Prediction Article

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Cavaliers vs. Raptors: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Cavaliers vs. Raptors
  • Date: Friday, May 1, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Scotiabank Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Cavaliers favored at -4.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 219.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Cavaliers -175, Raptors +172

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Cavaliers: 68%
  • Raptors: 32%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Cavaliers 112-107 Raptors.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Cavaliers a win probability of 68%, while the Raptors have a win probability of 32%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Cavaliers are more likely to beat the Raptors in the NBA game at Scotiabank Arena on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Cavaliers vs. Raptors predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.

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