Spurs vs. Thunder prediction: Oklahoma City favored to win Game 7 of WCF 2026
NBA
Pistons vs. Cavaliers Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pistons vs. Cavaliers NBA game on May 9, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
Start your FREE 3-Day trial of Dimers Pro 
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
109
116
May 9, 7PM Rocket Arena
May 9, 7PM Rocket Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pistons | 30 | 79 | -28 | 28 | 109 |
Cavaliers | 32 | 84 | -33 | 33 | 116 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
20%
80%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pistons | 30 | 79 | -28 | 28 | 109 |
Cavaliers | 32 | 84 | -33 | 33 | 116 |
Q3 00:05 Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
Q2 00:00 Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Q2 2:10 Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Q2 2:26 Pistons makes two point jump shot
Q2 2:40 Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
Q2 3:00 Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
Q2 3:26 Pistons makes two point jump shot
Q2 3:33 Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Q2 4:01 Pistons makes two point jump shot
Q2 4:25 Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
+1
Tobias Harris makes regular free throw 1 of 2
109-116
Tobias Harris misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Instant replay
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
109-116
Pistons lineup change (Ausar Thompson, Tobias Harris, Paul Reed, Javonte Green, Caris LeVert)
Pistons lineup change (Ausar Thompson, Tobias Harris, Paul Reed, Javonte Green, Caris LeVert)
Max Strus personal foul
Pistons lineup change (Ausar Thompson, Tobias Harris, Paul Reed, Javonte Green, Caris LeVert)
+1
Tobias Harris makes regular free throw 1 of 1
109-116
+1
Tobias Harris makes regular free throw 1 of 2
109-116
Pistons lineup change (Ausar Thompson, Tobias Harris, Paul Reed, Javonte Green, Caris LeVert)
Pistons offensive rebound
+1
Tobias Harris makes regular free throw 1 of 1
109-116
Cavaliers turnover
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Cavaliers 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Isaiah Stewart turnover
Tobias Harris defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
46-57
Pistons 60 second timeout
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
44-57
Pistons turnover
Pistons lineup change (Jalen Duren, Duncan Robinson, Tobias Harris, Daniss Jenkins, Caris LeVert)
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
44-55
Pistons personal foul
Jalen Duren turnover (offensive foul)
Pistons personal foul
+1
Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
44-51
+1
Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
44-52
Pistons lineup change (Jalen Duren, Duncan Robinson, Tobias Harris, Daniss Jenkins, Cade Cunningham)
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
44-50
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
42-50
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
40-50
Evan Mobley offensive rebound
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
40-48
Pistons personal foul
James Harden misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers offensive rebound
Pistons personal foul
Pistons lineup change (Isaiah Stewart, Duncan Robinson, Tobias Harris, Daniss Jenkins, Cade Cunningham)
Cavaliers personal foul
+1
Tobias Harris makes regular free throw 1 of 2
39-45
+1
Tobias Harris makes regular free throw 2 of 2
40-45
Pistons lineup change (Ausar Thompson, Isaiah Stewart, Duncan Robinson, Tobias Harris, Daniss Jenkins)
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
38-45
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
38-43
Cade Cunningham offensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Cavaliers lineup change (Dennis Schroder, Jarrett Allen, Max Strus, Evan Mobley, Donovan Mitchell)
Cavaliers lineup change (Jarrett Allen, Max Strus, Evan Mobley, James Harden, Donovan Mitchell)
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Pistons lineup change (Isaiah Stewart, Duncan Robinson, Tobias Harris, Daniss Jenkins, Cade Cunningham)
Pistons personal foul
Cade Cunningham turnover (offensive foul)
Pistons lineup change (Isaiah Stewart, Duncan Robinson, Tobias Harris, Daniss Jenkins, Cade Cunningham)
Pistons 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Pistons lineup change (Ausar Thompson, Jalen Duren, Duncan Robinson, Tobias Harris, Cade Cunningham)
Cavaliers turnover
Pistons personal foul
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
36-43
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
34-43
Dean Wade defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Jalen Duren offensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Ausar Thompson offensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons 60 second timeout
Pistons lineup change (Ausar Thompson, Jalen Duren, Duncan Robinson, Tobias Harris, Cade Cunningham)
Cavaliers lineup change (Dean Wade, Dennis Schroder, Jarrett Allen, Sam Merrill, James Harden)
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
34-41
Cavaliers personal foul
Ausar Thompson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pistons offensive rebound
+1
Ausar Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
34-38
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
33-38
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
33-36
Pistons personal foul
+1
Sam Merrill makes regular free throw 1 of 2
31-35
Pistons lineup change (Ausar Thompson, Jalen Duren, Duncan Robinson, Tobias Harris, Daniss Jenkins)
+1
Sam Merrill makes regular free throw 2 of 2
31-36
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Javonte Green offensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Javonte Green defensive rebound
Cavaliers personal foul
Cavaliers lineup change (Dean Wade, Evan Mobley, Sam Merrill, James Harden, Donovan Mitchell)
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Daniss Jenkins offensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers personal foul
Pistons lineup change (Jalen Duren, Duncan Robinson, Daniss Jenkins, Cade Cunningham, Javonte Green)
Cavaliers turnover
Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Javonte Green offensive rebound
Cavaliers personal foul
+1
Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
31-34
Jalen Duren misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Cavaliers lineup change (Jaylon Tyson, Evan Mobley, Sam Merrill, James Harden, Donovan Mitchell)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Cavaliers violation
Pistons lineup change (Jalen Duren, Daniss Jenkins, Cade Cunningham, Javonte Green, Caris LeVert)
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
30-34
Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Pistons defensive rebound
Cavaliers personal foul
Pistons personal foul
Evan Mobley misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Cavaliers offensive rebound
Evan Mobley misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Jaylon Tyson defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Ronald Holland II defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Pistons lineup change (Ronald Holland II, Jalen Duren, Cade Cunningham, Javonte Green, Caris LeVert)
Cavaliers lineup change (Jaylon Tyson, Max Strus, Evan Mobley, Sam Merrill, Donovan Mitchell)
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Cade Cunningham offensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pistons turnover
Cavaliers lineup change (Dean Wade, Dennis Schroder, Jaylon Tyson, Evan Mobley, Donovan Mitchell)
Pistons lineup change (Ausar Thompson, Ronald Holland II, Isaiah Stewart, Javonte Green, Caris LeVert)
Cavaliers lineup change (Dennis Schroder, Jaylon Tyson, Max Strus, Evan Mobley, Donovan Mitchell)
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
30-32
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Caris LeVert offensive rebound
Pistons turnover
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
30-30
Cade Cunningham offensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
28-27
Cavaliers 60 second timeout
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Max Strus turnover
Dennis Schroder defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
28-27
Cavaliers turnover
Cavaliers personal foul
+1
Caris LeVert makes regular free throw 1 of 2
25-27
Pistons lineup change (Ronald Holland II, Isaiah Stewart, Cade Cunningham, Javonte Green, Caris LeVert)
Cavaliers lineup change (Dennis Schroder, Jaylon Tyson, Max Strus, Evan Mobley, Donovan Mitchell)
+1
Caris LeVert makes regular free throw 2 of 2
26-27
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
24-27
Jaylon Tyson defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
24-25
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
24-23
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
22-23
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
22-21
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Max Strus defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Max Strus defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons 60 second timeout
Pistons lineup change (Ausar Thompson, Isaiah Stewart, Tobias Harris, Cade Cunningham, Caris LeVert)
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
20-21
Pistons personal foul
Jalen Duren turnover (offensive foul)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pistons lineup change (Ausar Thompson, Jalen Duren, Tobias Harris, Daniss Jenkins, Caris LeVert)
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
20-19
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
20-16
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
18-15
Pistons personal foul
+1
Jarrett Allen makes regular free throw 1 of 1
18-16
Cavaliers 60 second timeout
Cavaliers lineup change (Dennis Schroder, Jarrett Allen, Jaylon Tyson, Max Strus, James Harden)
Pistons lineup change (Ausar Thompson, Jalen Duren, Duncan Robinson, Tobias Harris, Daniss Jenkins)
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
18-13
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
16-13
Cavaliers personal foul
+1
Tobias Harris makes regular free throw 1 of 2
15-11
+1
Tobias Harris makes regular free throw 2 of 2
16-11
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
14-11
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
14-9
Ausar Thompson offensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
12-9
Pistons turnover
Pistons personal foul
Evan Mobley misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Cavaliers offensive rebound
+1
Evan Mobley makes regular free throw 2 of 2
12-6
Cavaliers personal foul
Pistons offensive rebound
Duncan Robinson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Duncan Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
12-5
Cavaliers turnover
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
11-5
Cavaliers turnover
Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
Cavaliers personal foul
+1
Cade Cunningham makes regular free throw 1 of 2
9-5
Cade Cunningham misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Cavaliers turnover
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
8-5
Ausar Thompson offensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+3
James Harden makes three point jump shot
5-5
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
5-2
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
3-2
Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
Cade Cunningham offensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers turnover
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
3-0
Start of 1st Quarter
Cavaliers lineup change (Dean Wade, Jarrett Allen, Evan Mobley, James Harden, Donovan Mitchell)
(Duncan Robinson gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 55 | D. Robinson | 15 | 3 | 4 |
| F | 12 | T. Harris | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| C | 0 | J. Duren | 11 | 4 | 1 |
| G | 2 | C. Cunningham | 27 | 10 | 10 |
| G | 24 | D. Jenkins | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 1 | J. Harden | 19 | 2 | 7 |
| C | 31 | J. Allen | 18 | 4 | 1 |
| F | 4 | E. Mobley | 13 | 8 | 4 |
| G | 45 | D. Mitchell | 35 | 10 | 4 |
| F | 32 | D. Wade | 3 | 1 | 0 |
Best Sportsbook Promotions
Swipe across to view more offers
FEATURED
New DraftKings Customers: Bet $5+ Get $100 in Bonus Bets Instantly!
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
RECOMMENDED
Double Your Winnings on your Next 10 Wagers. Up to $25 Max Bet Per Boost
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
NEW PLAYERS
Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets if your bet wins!
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
RECOMMENDED
Deposit $20, Get $50 in Trading Bonus!
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
LIMITED-TIME
Register with code DIMERS150 to unlock $150 in bonus bets by winning your first $10 bet
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
NEW PLAYERS
Bet $5 Get $150 If Your Bet Wins!
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
RECOMMENDED
Use Code DIMERS to Get up to $100 in Bonuses by Trading in Your First 7 Days!
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
TRENDING
Bet $10 Get $200 Win or Lose
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
NEW PLAYERS
Get Up To $250 Back in Bonus Bets If Your First Bet Loses
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Pistons vs. Cavaliers
- Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
- Time: 3:00 PM ET
- Venue: Rocket Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Cavaliers favored at -5.5
- Total (Over/Under): 211.5
- Moneyline Odds: Pistons +167, Cavaliers -160
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Pistons: 32%
- Cavaliers: 68%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Pistons 104-109 Cavaliers.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pistons a win probability of 32%, while the Cavaliers have a win probability of 68%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Cavaliers are more likely to beat the Pistons in the NBA game at Rocket Arena on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Pistons vs. Cavaliers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
