NBA Playoffs player props today: Saturday's best props include Stephon Castle [5/30/2026]
NBA
Spurs vs. Timberwolves Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Spurs vs. Timberwolves NBA game on May 10, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
109
114
May 10, 11:30PM Target Center
May 10, 11:30PM Target Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Spurs | 30 | 26 | 28 | 25 | 109 |
Timberwolves | 34 | 26 | 20 | 34 | 114 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
1%
99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Spurs | 30 | 26 | 28 | 25 | 109 |
Timberwolves | 34 | 26 | 20 | 34 | 114 |
Q4 00:00 Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:05 Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:31 Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:39 Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:40 Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:05 Spurs makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:12 Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:46 Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:56 Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:24 Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Julian Champagnie offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Dylan Harper offensive rebound
End of 4th Quarter.
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
+1
Ayo Dosunmu makes regular free throw 1 of 2
109-113
+1
Ayo Dosunmu makes regular free throw 2 of 2
109-114
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Devin Vassell, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson)
Spurs 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie)
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Julian Champagnie makes regular free throw 1 of 2
108-112
+1
Julian Champagnie makes regular free throw 2 of 2
109-112
Timberwolves turnover
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 1 of 2
106-112
+1
Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 2 of 2
107-112
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Naz Reid offensive rebound
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
105-112
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
105-110
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
103-109
Spurs personal foul
+1
Ayo Dosunmu makes regular free throw 1 of 1
103-110
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 1 of 2
102-107
Timberwolves lineup change (Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Ayo Dosunmu, Julius Randle, Jaden McDaniels)
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie)
+1
Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 2 of 2
103-107
Timberwolves turnover
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
101-107
Timberwolves personal foul
Spurs personal foul
Stephon Castle turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
101-105
Jaden McDaniels offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Julius Randle offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
101-102
+1
Rudy Gobert makes regular free throw 1 of 1
101-103
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
101-100
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
99-102
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Jaden McDaniels defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves personal foul
Spurs 60 second timeout
Timberwolves lineup change (Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Rudy Gobert, Julius Randle, Jaden McDaniels)
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox)
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
99-100
Terrence Shannon Jr. defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
99-98
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
97-98
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie)
Spurs personal foul
Timberwolves personal foul
Spurs personal foul
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 1 of 2
97-94
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 2 of 2
97-95
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie)
Spurs turnover
Spurs personal foul
+1
Jaden McDaniels makes regular free throw 1 of 2
97-92
+1
Jaden McDaniels makes regular free throw 2 of 2
97-93
Timberwolves lineup change (Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle, Jaden McDaniels, Terrence Shannon Jr.)
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
97-91
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
Spurs 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Devin Vassell, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson)
Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Rudy Gobert, Julius Randle, Jaden McDaniels, Terrence Shannon Jr.)
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
94-91
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
De'Aaron Fox offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
94-88
Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
Julius Randle offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
94-86
Spurs offensive rebound
Timberwolves personal foul
Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Rudy Gobert, Ayo Dosunmu, Julius Randle, Jaden McDaniels)
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
91-86
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
91-84
Stephon Castle misses regular free throw 2 of 2
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
90-84
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
88-84
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
88-82
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
86-82
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
86-80
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie, Harrison Barnes)
Timberwolves lineup change (Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Rudy Gobert, Ayo Dosunmu, Jaden McDaniels)
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
84-80
Timberwolves turnover
Ayo Dosunmu defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Spurs turnover
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
82-80
Spurs personal foul
Spurs personal foul
Carter Bryant turnover (offensive foul)
Spurs 60 second timeout
Timberwolves lineup change (Naz Reid, Ayo Dosunmu, Julius Randle, Jaden McDaniels, Terrence Shannon Jr.)
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
82-78
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
82-75
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
80-75
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
80-72
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
78-72
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
78-70
Jump ball. (Dylan Harper gains possession)
Mike Conley turnover (lost ball)
Spurs turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Carter Bryant, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson)
Spurs personal foul
+1
Mike Conley makes regular free throw 1 of 2
76-69
+1
Mike Conley makes regular free throw 2 of 2
76-70
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Timberwolves lineup change (Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle, Terrence Shannon Jr., Mike Conley)
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Carter Bryant, Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
76-68
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Timberwolves violation
Timberwolves lineup change (Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Rudy Gobert, Terrence Shannon Jr., Mike Conley)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
74-68
Spurs defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
71-68
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 1
72-68
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
69-68
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
68-66
Timberwolves personal foul
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
+1
Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 1 of 1
69-66
Timberwolves lineup change (Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Rudy Gobert, Jaden McDaniels, Terrence Shannon Jr.)
Timberwolves turnover
Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
66-66
Jaden McDaniels offensive rebound
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
64-66
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves personal foul
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson)
Timberwolves lineup change (Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Rudy Gobert, Ayo Dosunmu, Jaden McDaniels)
Timberwolves turnover
Ayo Dosunmu defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Luke Kornet offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
64-64
Spurs personal foul
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
64-62
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
62-62
Timberwolves personal foul
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Luke Kornet offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
60-62
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 1 of 2
59-60
+1
De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 2 of 2
60-60
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
58-60
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
56-63
Timberwolves turnover
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Ayo Dosunmu defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Luke Kornet offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves turnover
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Carter Bryant, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson)
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Carter Bryant, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson)
Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Rudy Gobert, Ayo Dosunmu, Julius Randle, Jaden McDaniels)
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie)
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Instant replay
Spurs challenge timeout
Timberwolves personal foul
Naz Reid turnover
+1
Julian Champagnie makes regular free throw 1 of 2
54-60
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Carter Bryant, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson)
+1
Julian Champagnie makes regular free throw 2 of 2
54-60
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie)
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie)
Spurs offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie)
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie)
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie)
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Carter Bryant, Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox)
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
54-60
Naz Reid defensive rebound
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
54-58
Timberwolves personal foul
Keldon Johnson misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Timberwolves lineup change (Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle, Jaden McDaniels, Terrence Shannon Jr.)
Timberwolves turnover
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves turnover
Spurs turnover
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
52-58
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
52-56
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Carter Bryant, Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson)
Timberwolves turnover
Stephon Castle offensive rebound
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
50-56
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
48-56
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
48-54
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
48-52
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Timberwolves lineup change (Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Ayo Dosunmu, Julius Randle, Jaden McDaniels)
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
45-52
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
43-52
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Luke Kornet makes regular free throw 1 of 2
43-50
Luke Kornet misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Spurs personal foul
Anthony Edwards misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Spurs 60 second timeout
Timberwolves lineup change (Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Rudy Gobert, Ayo Dosunmu, Jaden McDaniels)
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 2 of 2
42-50
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Carter Bryant, Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox)
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves turnover
Spurs turnover
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
42-49
Luke Kornet offensive rebound
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
42-46
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
40-46
Stephon Castle offensive rebound
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
40-44
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Stephon Castle offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves personal foul
Timberwolves personal foul
Timberwolves turnover
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
38-44
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
36-44
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
36-42
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
Rudy Gobert misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Harrison Barnes)
+1
Rudy Gobert makes regular free throw 2 of 2
34-42
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
34-41
Spurs turnover
Timberwolves turnover
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Timberwolves personal foul
Jaden McDaniels turnover (offensive foul)
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Harrison Barnes)
Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Rudy Gobert, Ayo Dosunmu, Julius Randle, Jaden McDaniels)
Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Rudy Gobert, Ayo Dosunmu, Julius Randle, Jaden McDaniels)
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Harrison Barnes)
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Harrison Barnes)
Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Rudy Gobert, Ayo Dosunmu, Julius Randle, Jaden McDaniels)
Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
Victor Wembanyama turnover (offensive foul)
Instant replay
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Carter Bryant, Julian Champagnie)
Timberwolves lineup change (Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Rudy Gobert, Ayo Dosunmu, Jaden McDaniels)
+1
Naz Reid makes flagrant free throw 1 of 2
34-37
+1
Naz Reid makes flagrant free throw 2 of 2
34-38
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
34-36
Carter Bryant defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
32-36
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Terrence Shannon Jr. defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Timberwolves personal foul
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Carter Bryant, Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie)
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Carter Bryant, Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie)
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Jaden McDaniels defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Jaden McDaniels defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
30-36
Spurs personal foul
Jaden McDaniels offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Jaden McDaniels defensive rebound
Timberwolves personal foul
De'Aaron Fox misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Spurs offensive rebound
De'Aaron Fox misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Spurs lineup change (Carter Bryant, Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson)
Timberwolves lineup change (Naz Reid, Julius Randle, Jaden McDaniels, Terrence Shannon Jr., Mike Conley)
Timberwolves lineup change (Naz Reid, Julius Randle, Jaden McDaniels, Terrence Shannon Jr., Mike Conley)
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Carter Bryant, Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie)
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
30-34
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
30-31
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
27-31
Naz Reid offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
27-29
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
25-29
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 1 of 2
24-26
Timberwolves lineup change (Naz Reid, Ayo Dosunmu, Julius Randle, Terrence Shannon Jr., Mike Conley)
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson)
+1
De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 2 of 2
25-26
Timberwolves turnover
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
23-26
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Ayo Dosunmu defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
21-25
Spurs personal foul
+1
Naz Reid makes regular free throw 1 of 1
21-26
Spurs turnover
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
21-23
Spurs turnover
Spurs 60 second timeout
Timberwolves lineup change (Naz Reid, Rudy Gobert, Ayo Dosunmu, Terrence Shannon Jr., Mike Conley)
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
21-20
Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 1 of 2
21-18
De'Aaron Fox misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
20-18
Spurs turnover
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 1 of 2
19-16
+1
De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 2 of 2
20-16
Timberwolves lineup change (Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Rudy Gobert, Terrence Shannon Jr., Mike Conley)
Spurs defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson)
Timberwolves lineup change (Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Rudy Gobert, Jaden McDaniels, Terrence Shannon Jr.)
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Other)
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
18-17
Devin Vassell personal foul
Devin Vassell turnover (offensive foul)
Spurs personal foul
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 1 of 2
18-13
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 2 of 2
18-14
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 1 of 2
17-12
+1
Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 2 of 2
18-12
Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Keldon Johnson)
Timberwolves lineup change (Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle, Jaden McDaniels, Terrence Shannon Jr.)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
16-12
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
14-12
Julius Randle offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
14-10
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
12-10
Timberwolves personal foul
Spurs personal foul
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 1 of 2
10-9
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 2 of 2
10-10
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves turnover
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves turnover
Spurs turnover
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
10-8
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
10-6
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
7-5
Spurs personal foul
+1
Rudy Gobert makes regular free throw 1 of 1
7-6
Ayo Dosunmu defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves personal foul
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
7-3
Timberwolves personal foul
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
5-3
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
5-0
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
2-0
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama (Stephon Castle gains possession)
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie)
Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Rudy Gobert, Ayo Dosunmu, Julius Randle, Jaden McDaniels)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 24 | D. Vassell | 14 | 1 | 3 |
| F | 30 | J. Champagnie | 8 | 5 | 3 |
| G | 4 | D. Fox | 24 | 4 | 3 |
| G | 5 | S. Castle | 20 | 6 | 4 |
| G | 2 | D. Harper | 24 | 7 | 1 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 3 | J. McDaniels | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| C-F | 11 | N. Reid | 15 | 9 | 4 |
| G | 13 | A. Dosunmu | 10 | 5 | 3 |
| G | 5 | A. Edwards | 36 | 6 | 2 |
| F | 30 | J. Randle | 12 | 8 | 3 |
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Spurs vs. Timberwolves: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Spurs vs. Timberwolves
- Date: Sunday, May 10, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Target Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Spurs favored at -5.5
- Total (Over/Under): 218.5
- Moneyline Odds: Spurs -178, Timberwolves +182
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Spurs: 70%
- Timberwolves: 30%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Spurs 112-107 Timberwolves.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Spurs a win probability of 70%, while the Timberwolves have a win probability of 30%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Spurs are more likely to beat the Timberwolves in the NBA game at Target Center on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Spurs vs. Timberwolves predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
