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Jazz vs. Spurs Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Jazz vs. Spurs NBA game on January 19, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Jazz
110
:
123
Jan 19, 10PM Frost Bank Center
Spurs
Jan 19, 10PM Frost Bank Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM1234T
Jazz
26 31 23 30 110
Spurs
34 27 35 27 123
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
JazzUTA
Win %
<1%
>99%
SpursSAS
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Jazz
26 31 23 30 110
Spurs
34 27 35 27 123
Q4 1:01 Jazz makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:21 Jazz makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:29 Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:45 Jazz misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:23 Spurs makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:39 Jazz makes three point jump shot
Q4 3:03 Jazz misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:22 Jazz makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:24 Spurs makes two point jump shot
Q4 4:00 Jazz misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Q4 00:42
Kyle Filipowski defensive rebound
Q4 00:44
Jazz personal foul
Q4 00:44
Kelly Olynyk misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q4 00:44
Spurs offensive rebound
Q4 00:44
Kelly Olynyk misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q4 1:01
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
110-123
Q4 1:09
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 1:21
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
108-123
Q4 1:21
Spurs 60 second timeout
Q4 1:21
Spurs lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, Jordan McLaughlin, Dylan Harper, Lindy Waters III, Carter Bryant)
Q4 1:21
Jazz lineup change (Ace Bailey, Kyle Anderson, Taylor Hendricks, Cody Williams, Walter Clayton Jr.)
Q4 1:21
Spurs lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, Jordan McLaughlin, Dylan Harper, Lindy Waters III, Carter Bryant)
Q4 1:29
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:43
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Q4 1:45
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:58
Stephon Castle misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q4 1:58
Jazz lineup change (Ace Bailey, Taylor Hendricks, Kyle Filipowski, Cody Williams, Walter Clayton Jr.)
Q4 2:13
+1
Kyle Filipowski makes regular free throw 1 of 2
105-120
Q4 2:23
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
104-120
Q4 2:39
+3
Jazz makes three point jump shot
104-118
Q4 2:46
Spurs turnover
Q4 2:54
Jazz turnover
Q4 3:00
Kyle Filipowski offensive rebound
Q4 3:03
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:10
Jazz personal foul
Q4 3:10
+1
Luke Kornet makes regular free throw 2 of 2
101-118
Q4 3:22
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
101-117
Q4 3:24
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
99-117
Q4 3:50
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox, Luke Kornet, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie)
Q4 3:56
Cody Williams offensive rebound
Q4 4:00
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:09
Spurs personal foul
Q4 4:14
Spurs personal foul
Q4 4:14
Instant replay
Q4 4:17
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:40
+3
Jazz makes three point jump shot
96-115
Q4 4:55
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 5:12
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
93-115
Q4 5:12
Spurs 60 second timeout
Q4 5:12
Jazz lineup change (Keyonte George, Taylor Hendricks, Kyle Filipowski, Cody Williams, Walter Clayton Jr.)
Q4 5:12
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie)
Q4 5:50
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Q4 6:12
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q4 6:46
Jusuf Nurkic defensive rebound
Q4 6:49
Jazz personal foul
Q4 6:49
Stephon Castle misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q4 6:49
Spurs offensive rebound
Q4 6:49
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie)
Q4 7:11
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
89-112
Q4 7:23
+1
Svi Mykhailiuk makes regular free throw 1 of 2
88-109
Q4 7:23
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie)
Q4 8:00
Jazz offensive rebound
Q4 8:00
Jazz turnover
Q4 8:24
Jazz personal foul
Q4 8:24
+1
Carter Bryant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
87-105
Q4 8:47
Spurs 60 second timeout
Q4 8:54
Jusuf Nurkic defensive rebound
Q4 8:56
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q4 9:08
Carter Bryant defensive rebound
Q4 9:11
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Q4 9:28
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
84-103
Q4 9:28
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
84-104
Q4 10:01
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Q4 10:15
Spurs personal foul
Q4 10:54
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Q4 11:12
Jazz personal foul
Q4 11:12
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
82-97
Q4 11:25
Jazz personal foul
Q4 11:41
Spurs turnover
Q4 11:44
Jazz turnover
Q3 00:00
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:00
End of 3rd Quarter.
Q3 00:02
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
80-96
Q3 00:22
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 00:25
Kevin Love offensive rebound
Q3 00:27
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Q3 00:38
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
Q3 00:39
Kevin Love offensive rebound
Q3 1:15
+1
Keyonte George makes regular free throw 2 of 2
80-91
Q3 1:36
+1
Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 2 of 2
78-91
Q3 1:40
Jazz turnover
Q3 1:46
Kyle Filipowski offensive rebound
Q3 1:50
Keyonte George misses two point jump shot
Q3 1:54
Keldon Johnson turnover (Isaiah Collier steals)
Q3 2:02
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Q3 2:24
Keyonte George defensive rebound
Q3 2:42
Carter Bryant defensive rebound
Q3 2:46
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Q3 2:49
Kevin Love offensive rebound
Q3 2:57
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Q3 2:59
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
78-89
Q3 2:59
Spurs turnover
Q3 3:22
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
76-89
Q3 3:31
Kevin Love offensive rebound
Q3 4:17
Jazz personal foul
Q3 4:17
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
73-85
Q3 4:24
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
73-83
Q3 4:54
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
71-83
Q3 5:01
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Q3 5:12
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Q3 5:20
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Q3 5:40
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Q3 5:40
Spurs 60 second timeout
Q3 5:40
Spurs challenge timeout
Q3 5:43
Spurs turnover
Q3 6:08
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson, Harrison Barnes)
Q3 6:18
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
69-81
Q3 6:30
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Q3 6:46
Spurs personal foul
Q3 6:56
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Q3 6:58
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Q3 7:15
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
69-77
Q3 7:15
Jazz personal foul
Q3 7:15
Jazz lineup change (Keyonte George, Kyle Filipowski, Jusuf Nurkic, Walter Clayton Jr., Isaiah Collier)
Q3 7:36
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
67-75
Q3 7:45
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Q3 8:06
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Q3 8:31
+3
Jazz makes three point jump shot
67-70
Q3 8:50
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q3 9:15
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
61-70
Q3 9:23
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q3 9:23
Spurs offensive rebound
Q3 9:40
Jazz personal foul
Q3 9:40
Instant replay
Q3 9:40
Jazz 60 second timeout
Q3 9:52
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
61-68
Q3 9:52
Victor Wembanyama misses two point layup
Q3 9:52
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 10:11
Spurs violation
Q3 10:11
Spurs personal foul
Q3 10:18
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Q3 10:20
Cody Williams misses two point jump shot
Q3 10:36
Jazz personal foul
Q3 10:52
Keyonte George turnover (offensive foul)
Q3 11:24
+1
Keyonte George makes regular free throw 1 of 2
58-61
Q3 11:24
+1
Keyonte George makes regular free throw 2 of 2
59-61
Q3 11:40
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q3 12:00
Jazz lineup change (Ace Bailey, Keyonte George, Cody Williams, Jusuf Nurkic, Svi Mykhailiuk)
Q2 00:06
Jusuf Nurkic defensive rebound
Q2 00:08
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q2 00:29
+1
Keyonte George makes regular free throw 1 of 2
56-61
Q2 00:29
+1
Keyonte George makes regular free throw 2 of 2
57-61
Q2 00:50
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
55-61
Q2 1:00
Jusuf Nurkic defensive rebound
Q2 1:02
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q2 1:20
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
55-59
Q2 1:31
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 2:00
Cody Williams defensive rebound
Q2 2:02
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q2 2:07
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 2:38
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
51-59
Q2 2:44
Jazz personal foul
Q2 2:57
Spurs personal foul
Q2 2:57
Spurs personal foul
Q2 2:57
+1
Kyle Filipowski makes regular free throw 2 of 2
51-57
Q2 2:57
Jazz lineup change (Ace Bailey, Keyonte George, Kyle Filipowski, Walter Clayton Jr., Svi Mykhailiuk)
Q2 2:59
Cody Williams offensive rebound
Q2 3:01
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Q2 3:26
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Q2 3:49
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
48-55
Q2 4:02
+1
Keyonte George makes regular free throw 2 of 2
48-53
Q2 4:32
+1
Kyle Filipowski makes regular free throw 1 of 2
46-50
Q2 4:32
Kyle Filipowski misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q2 5:13
+3
Jazz makes three point jump shot
45-48
Q2 5:41
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
42-48
Q2 5:42
Jazz 60 second timeout
Q2 5:42
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Harrison Barnes, Julian Champagnie)
Q2 5:54
Jusuf Nurkic offensive rebound
Q2 5:56
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Q2 6:04
Keyonte George defensive rebound
Q2 6:16
Spurs personal foul
Q2 6:16
Keyonte George misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q2 6:16
Jazz offensive rebound
Q2 6:16
+1
Keyonte George makes regular free throw 2 of 2
42-46
Q2 6:51
Jazz lineup change (Ace Bailey, Keyonte George, Jusuf Nurkic, Walter Clayton Jr., Kevin Love)
Q2 6:57
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Q2 6:59
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q2 7:26
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
41-43
Q2 7:33
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Q2 7:50
Victor Wembanyama blocks Walter Clayton Jr.'s two point jump shot
Q2 8:02
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
41-40
Q2 8:20
Spurs turnover
Q2 8:33
+3
Ace Bailey makes three point jump shot
41-38
Q2 8:52
Jusuf Nurkic defensive rebound
Q2 8:56
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q2 9:22
Ace Bailey defensive rebound
Q2 9:38
+1
Kevin Love makes regular free throw 2 of 3
34-38
Q2 9:51
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
32-38
Q2 9:55
Kevin Love offensive rebound
Q2 10:35
+3
Jazz makes three point jump shot
30-36
Q2 10:52
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q2 10:55
Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
Q2 11:15
Jazz offensive rebound
Q2 11:15
+1
Isaiah Collier makes regular free throw 2 of 2
27-36
Q2 11:27
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
26-36
Q2 11:31
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Q2 11:43
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:00
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q1 00:00
Spurs offensive rebound
Q2 12:00
Jazz lineup change (Ace Bailey, Walter Clayton Jr., Isaiah Collier, Kevin Love, Svi Mykhailiuk)
Q1 00:06
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
26-34
Q1 00:29
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Q1 00:42
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Q1 1:20
Carter Bryant defensive rebound
Q1 1:23
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Q1 1:49
Walter Clayton Jr. defensive rebound
Q1 1:57
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Q1 2:01
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Q1 2:30
Jazz turnover
Q1 2:38
Jazz personal foul
Q1 2:38
Jazz 60 second timeout
Q1 2:38
Jazz challenge timeout
Q1 2:38
Instant replay
Q1 3:30
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
20-25
Q1 3:51
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Q1 3:51
Jazz 60 second timeout
Q1 3:51
Jazz lineup change (Keyonte George, Kyle Filipowski, Isaiah Collier, Kevin Love, Svi Mykhailiuk)
Q1 3:58
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Q1 4:01
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Q1 4:29
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Q1 4:46
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
18-23
Q1 5:17
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
15-20
Q1 5:21
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Q1 5:35
Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
Q1 5:44
Keyonte George defensive rebound
Q1 6:04
Spurs 60 second timeout
Q1 6:04
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Harrison Barnes, Julian Champagnie)
Q1 6:04
Jazz lineup change (Keyonte George, Kyle Filipowski, Cody Williams, Isaiah Collier, Kevin Love)
Q1 6:16
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Q1 6:49
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
13-15
Q1 7:01
Kyle Filipowski defensive rebound
Q1 7:14
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Q1 7:54
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
10-13
Q1 7:54
Spurs personal foul
Q1 7:54
+1
Keyonte George makes regular free throw 1 of 1
11-13
Q1 7:54
Jazz lineup change (Ace Bailey, Keyonte George, Kyle Filipowski, Cody Williams, Svi Mykhailiuk)
Q1 8:08
Jazz turnover
Q1 8:15
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
8-13
Q1 8:48
Jazz defensive rebound
Q1 8:48
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 9:00
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Q1 9:14
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
8-10
Q1 9:40
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Q1 9:44
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Q1 10:05
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
5-7
Q1 10:14
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Q1 10:20
Spurs personal foul
Q1 10:35
Jazz personal foul
Q1 10:35
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
5-3
Q1 10:58
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q1 11:02
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Q1 11:09
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 11:26
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
2-2
Q1 11:44
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
2-0
Q1 12:00
Jusuf Nurkic vs. Victor Wembanyama (Keyonte George gains possession)
Q1 12:00
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Harrison Barnes, Julian Champagnie)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
Jazz
PosPlayerPtsRebAst
C22 K. Filipowski1362
G13 W. Clayton Jr.837
F19 A. Bailey844
F0 T. Hendricks000
F5 C. Williams530
Spurs
PosPlayerPtsRebAst
F11 C. Bryant1230
G2 D. Harper1535
F43 L. Waters III000
G0 J. McLaughlin000
F-C8 K. Olynyk000

Game Prediction Article

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Jazz vs. Spurs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Jazz vs. Spurs
  • Date: Monday, January 19, 2026
  • Time: 5:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Frost Bank Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Spurs favored at -16.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 236.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Jazz +700, Spurs -950

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Jazz: 12%
  • Spurs: 88%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Jazz 111-125 Spurs.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Jazz a win probability of 12%, while the Spurs have a win probability of 88%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Spurs are more likely to beat the Jazz in the NBA game at Frost Bank Center on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Jazz vs. Spurs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.

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