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Capitals vs. Avalanche Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Capitals vs. Avalanche NHL game on January 19, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
2
5
Jan 19, 9PM Ball Arena
Jan 19, 9PM Ball Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Capitals | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Avalanche | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Capitals | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Avalanche | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
P3 19:51 Power play - Sam Malinski shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
P3 18:46 Sam Malinski shot blocked by Connor McMichael
P3 16:49 Shot missed by John Carlson
P3 16:43 Shot missed by Hendrix Lapierre
P3 14:45 Brent Burns shot blocked by Brandon Duhaime
P3 14:41 Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 13:58 Shot missed by Anthony Beauvillier
P3 13:19 Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Ross Colton
P3 12:54 Shot missed by Ilya Solovyov
P3 12:08 Shot on goal by Josh Manson saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 11:05 Goal scored by Cale Makar assisted by Nathan MacKinnon and Martin Necas
P3 10:55 Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 09:20 Dylan Strome shot blocked by Cale Makar
P3 08:41 Sam Malinski shot blocked by teammate
P3 08:32 Shot missed by Ross Colton
P3 08:26 Shot missed by Martin Necas
P3 08:10 Shot missed by Rasmus Sandin
P3 07:48 Shot on goal by Sam Malinski saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 07:42 Shot on goal by Brock Nelson saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 06:36 Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Charlie Lindgren
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
SHOT
Power play - Sam Malinski shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
Power play - Ivan Ivan won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Sam Malinski shot blocked by Connor McMichael
Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in offensive zone
John Carlson credited with hit on Jack Drury in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by John Carlson
SHOT
Shot missed by Hendrix Lapierre
Jack Drury won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in neutral zone
SHOT
Brent Burns shot blocked by Brandon Duhaime
Jack Drury won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Beauvillier
SHOT
Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Ross Colton
SHOT
Shot missed by Ilya Solovyov
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Hendrix Lapierre won faceoff against Parker Kelly in neutral zone
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Manson saved by Charlie Lindgren
Parker Kelly credited with hit on Nic Dowd in neutral zone
Capitals won faceoff against Jack Drury in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Cale Makar assisted by Nathan MacKinnon and Martin Necas
2-4
Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Dylan Strome in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Dylan Strome shot blocked by Cale Makar
Jack Drury won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Jakob Chychrun credited with hit on Artturi Lehkonen in defensive zone
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in defensive zone
SHOT
Sam Malinski shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot missed by Ross Colton
SHOT
Shot missed by Martin Necas
SHOT
Shot missed by Rasmus Sandin
Capitals won faceoff against Avalanche in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sam Malinski saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brock Nelson saved by Charlie Lindgren
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Jack Drury in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Charlie Lindgren
Power play - Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against John Carlson in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Cale Makar saved by Charlie Lindgren
Shorthanded - Connor McMichael won faceoff against Martin Necas in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Artturi Lehkonen saved by Charlie Lindgren
Power play - Brock Nelson won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
Penalty to Anthony Beauvillier 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Martin Necas)
Shorthanded - Nic Dowd won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Nathan MacKinnon
SHOT
Rasmus Sandin shot blocked by Josh Manson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Charlie Lindgren
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Brock Nelson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Scott Wedgewood
Jack Drury won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Giveaway by Nathan MacKinnon in defensive zone
SHOT
Brandon Duhaime shot blocked by teammate
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Artturi Lehkonen shot blocked by Jakob Chychrun
SHOT
Brent Burns shot blocked by Connor McMichael
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
SHOT
Shot missed by Declan Chisholm
Jack Drury won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
Jack Drury won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
Jack Drury won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Ethen Frank
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Brock Nelson in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Victor Olofsson assisted by Josh Manson
1-3
SHOT
Shot missed by Ivan Miroshnichenko
Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
SHOT
Sam Malinski shot blocked by Matt Roy
SHOT
Samuel Girard shot blocked by Ethen Frank
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nathan MacKinnon
Shorthanded - Nic Dowd credited with hit on Artturi Lehkonen in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Martin Necas
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brock Nelson saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nathan MacKinnon
SHOT
Brent Burns shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
SHOT
Samuel Girard shot blocked by Dylan Strome
Capitals won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ethen Frank saved by Scott Wedgewood
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ethen Frank saved by Scott Wedgewood
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Gavin Brindley in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot on goal by Aliaksei Protas saved by Scott Wedgewood
SHOT
Shot on goal by Avalanche saved by Charlie Lindgren
Penalty to Samuel Girard 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Ivan Miroshnichenko)
SHOT
Samuel Girard shot blocked by Ivan Miroshnichenko
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Ilya Solovyov
SHOT
Sam Malinski shot blocked by Jakob Chychrun
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Charlie Lindgren
Capitals won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
Shorthanded - Matt Roy credited with hit on Parker Kelly in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Ross Colton
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Cale Makar saved by Charlie Lindgren
Power play - Brock Nelson won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sam Malinski saved by Charlie Lindgren
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot missed by Ross Colton
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Brock Nelson in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Cale Makar
SHOT
Shot missed by Nathan MacKinnon
Capitals won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Duhaime
SHOT
Brandon Duhaime shot blocked by Samuel Girard
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Jack Drury in offensive zone
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Brock Nelson in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brent Burns saved by Charlie Lindgren
Takeaway by Cale Makar in offensive zone
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Shot missed by Sam Malinski
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Anthony Beauvillier
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Scott Wedgewood
Shorthanded - Jack Drury won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Anthony Beauvillier saved by Scott Wedgewood
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Cale Makar
Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Parker Kelly in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Brandon Duhaime won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cale Makar saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Cale Makar shot blocked by Matt Roy
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Brock Nelson
SHOT
Josh Manson shot blocked by Justin Sourdif
SHOT
Shot missed by Gavin Brindley
SHOT
Ilya Solovyov shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot missed by Artturi Lehkonen
SHOT
Martin Necas shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
Jack Drury won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Capitals won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Capitals won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Sourdif saved by Scott Wedgewood
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Drury saved by Charlie Lindgren
Jack Drury won faceoff against Dylan Strome in offensive zone
SHOT
Artturi Lehkonen shot blocked by John Carlson
Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in offensive zone
Aliaksei Protas won faceoff against Ivan Ivan in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Charlie Lindgren
Matt Roy credited with hit on Artturi Lehkonen in offensive zone
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in neutral zone
Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Jakob Chychrun
1-1
Power play - Ryan Leonard won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Jack Drury in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Parker Kelly saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Declan Chisholm shot blocked by Sam Malinski
SHOT
Shot on goal by Aliaksei Protas saved by Scott Wedgewood
Giveaway by Rasmus Sandin in defensive zone
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Brock Nelson saved by Charlie Lindgren
Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Jack Drury in offensive zone
Penalty to Ilya Solovyov 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Justin Sourdif)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sam Malinski saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Charlie Lindgren
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 24 | Shots on Goal | 44 | |||
| 52% | Faceoff Win % | 48% | |||
| 4/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 6/1 | |||
| 14 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 10 | |||
| 14 | Hits | 14 | |||
| 24 | Shots Blocked | 9 | |||
| 14 | Giveaways | 15 |
| |
|---|
| 24 | Shots on Goal | 44 | |||
| 52% | Faceoff Win % | 48% | |||
| 4/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 6/1 | |||
| 14 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 10 | |||
| 14 | Hits | 14 | |||
| 24 | Shots Blocked | 9 | |||
| 14 | Giveaways | 15 |
Game Prediction Article
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Capitals vs. Avalanche: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Capitals vs. Avalanche
- Date: Monday, January 19, 2026
- Time: 4:00 PM ET
- Venue: Ball Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Avalanche favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): Not Available
- Moneyline Odds: Capitals +205, Avalanche -210
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Capitals: 35%
- Avalanche: 65%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Capitals a win probability of 35%, while the Avalanche have a win probability of 65%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Avalanche are more likely to beat the Capitals in the NHL game at Ball Arena on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Capitals vs. Avalanche predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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