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Avalanche vs. Stars Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Avalanche vs. Stars NHL game on March 6, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
5
4
Mar 7, 1AM American Airlines Center
Mar 7, 1AM American Airlines Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Avalanche | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
Stars | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Avalanche | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
Stars | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
OT1 04:54 Cale Makar shot blocked by Thomas Harley
OT1 04:44 Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Scott Wedgewood
OT1 03:31 Shot on goal by Devon Toews saved by Jake Oettinger
OT1 03:12 Jason Robertson shot blocked by Brock Nelson
OT1 02:49 Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Scott Wedgewood
OT1 01:33 Shot on goal by Brock Nelson saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 19:46 Goal scored by Valeri Nichushkin assisted by Martin Necas and Brock Nelson
P3 19:22 Shot missed by Nathan MacKinnon
P3 17:08 Shot on goal by Joel Kiviranta saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 16:02 Power play - Shot missed by Brock Nelson
P3 15:58 Power play - Shot on goal by Cale Makar saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 14:37 Sam Malinski shot blocked by Thomas Harley
P3 13:57 Devon Toews shot blocked by Esa Lindell
P3 09:47 Nathan MacKinnon shot blocked by Oskar Back
P3 09:40 Shot missed by Sam Malinski
P3 07:21 Power play - Shot missed by Jason Robertson
P3 07:13 Power play - Shot on goal by Matt Duchene saved by Scott Wedgewood
P3 03:54 Lian Bichsel shot blocked by Parker Kelly
P3 03:29 Shot on goal by Brent Burns saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 02:43 Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Scott Wedgewood
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
OT
GOALS
ALL
End of Shootout period.
End of Shootout period.
Shootout Goal scored by Martin Necas on Jake Oettinger
Shootout attempt by Matt Duchene saved by Scott Wedgewood
Shootout Goal scored by Valeri Nichushkin on Jake Oettinger
End of 1st OT.
SHOT
Cale Makar shot blocked by Thomas Harley
Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Matt Duchene in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Scott Wedgewood
Avalanche won faceoff against Stars in neutral zone
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot on goal by Devon Toews saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Jason Robertson shot blocked by Brock Nelson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Scott Wedgewood
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brock Nelson saved by Jake Oettinger
Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Justin Hryckowian in neutral zone
End of 3rd Period.
GOAL
Goal scored by Valeri Nichushkin assisted by Martin Necas and Brock Nelson
4-4
SHOT
Shot missed by Nathan MacKinnon
Avalanche won faceoff against Stars in neutral zone
Giveaway by Brett Kulak in offensive zone
Ross Colton credited with hit on Mavrik Bourque in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Joel Kiviranta saved by Jake Oettinger
Jack Drury won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Brock Nelson
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Cale Makar saved by Jake Oettinger
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Esa Lindell in defensive zone
Avalanche won faceoff against Stars in offensive zone
SHOT
Sam Malinski shot blocked by Thomas Harley
SHOT
Devon Toews shot blocked by Esa Lindell
Ross Colton credited with hit on Thomas Harley in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Justin Hryckowian in offensive zone
Colin Blackwell won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
SHOT
Nathan MacKinnon shot blocked by Oskar Back
SHOT
Shot missed by Sam Malinski
Shorthanded - Jack Drury won faceoff against Justin Hryckowian in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Jason Robertson
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Matt Duchene saved by Scott Wedgewood
Penalty to Ross Colton 2 minutes for Misconduct
Jack Drury won faceoff against Mavrik Bourque in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Power play - Matt Duchene won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
Penalty to Brett Kulak 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Justin Hryckowian)
SHOT
Lian Bichsel shot blocked by Parker Kelly
Matt Duchene won faceoff against Jack Drury in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brent Burns saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Scott Wedgewood
Gabriel Landeskog won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Hryckowian saved by Scott Wedgewood
SHOT
Power play - Wyatt Johnston shot blocked by Brent Burns
Power play - Matt Duchene won faceoff against Jack Drury in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Power play - Jason Robertson shot blocked by Valeri Nichushkin
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Devon Toews saved by Jake Oettinger
Power play - Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Brock Nelson in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Power play - Matt Duchene shot blocked by Cale Makar
Jack Drury won faceoff against Matt Duchene in defensive zone
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Matt Duchene in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
SHOT
Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Jake Oettinger
Gavin Brindley won faceoff against Stars in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Nathan MacKinnon
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jamie Benn saved by Scott Wedgewood
Mavrik Bourque won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Martin Necas
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Brent Burns shot blocked by Mavrik Bourque
Takeaway by Justin Hryckowian in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Nathan MacKinnon
SHOT
Shot on goal by Valeri Nichushkin saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Valeri Nichushkin shot blocked by Esa Lindell
Jamie Benn won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Avalanche
SHOT
Power play - Cale Makar shot blocked by teammate
Power play - Gabriel Landeskog won faceoff against Justin Hryckowian in offensive zone
Penalty to Sam Steel 2 minutes for Misconduct
SHOT
Shot missed by Martin Necas
Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Roope Hintz in offensive zone
Gabriel Landeskog won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Justin Hryckowian won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
SHOT
Gabriel Landeskog shot blocked by Miro Heiskanen
SHOT
Shot missed by Sam Steel
SHOT
Ross Colton shot blocked by Thomas Harley
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Hryckowian saved by Scott Wedgewood
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mavrik Bourque saved by Scott Wedgewood
Gabriel Landeskog won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Gabriel Landeskog in offensive zone
Jack Drury won faceoff against Oskar Back in defensive zone
SHOT
Lian Bichsel shot blocked by Gavin Brindley
Matt Duchene won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Puck Frzn-plyd bynd ctr
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sam Steel saved by Scott Wedgewood
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Matt Duchene in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Valeri Nichushkin
Gabriel Landeskog credited with hit on Esa Lindell in offensive zone
Takeaway by Esa Lindell in defensive zone
Avalanche won faceoff against Roope Hintz in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
Power play - Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Matt Duchene in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nathan MacKinnon
Power play - Gabriel Landeskog won faceoff against Colin Blackwell in offensive zone
Roope Hintz credited with hit on Sam Malinski in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Devon Toews saved by Jake Oettinger
Power play - Ross Colton won faceoff against Colin Blackwell in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Brock Nelson
Power play - Gabriel Landeskog won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Gabriel Landeskog
Power play - Brock Nelson won faceoff against Colin Blackwell in offensive zone
Penalty to Justin Hryckowian 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Cale Makar)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Gabriel Landeskog saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Shot on goal by Valeri Nichushkin saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Shot missed by Wyatt Johnston
SHOT
Shot missed by Ilya Lyubushkin
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ilya Lyubushkin saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
SHOT
Shot missed by Jamie Benn
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Matt Duchene in neutral zone
Justin Hryckowian won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nils Lundkvist saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
SHOT
Cale Makar shot blocked by Jason Robertson
Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in offensive zone
SHOT
Sam Malinski shot blocked by Roope Hintz
SHOT
Shot missed by Justin Hryckowian
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Duchene saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
Avalanche won faceoff against Stars in defensive zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Wyatt Johnston
1-2
SHOT
Shot missed by Avalanche
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ross Colton saved by Jake Oettinger
Gabriel Landeskog won faceoff against Justin Hryckowian in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Jason Robertson
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Roope Hintz in defensive zone
Power play - Roope Hintz won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
Penalty to Jack Drury 2 minutes for Holding
Avalanche won faceoff against Stars in neutral zone
Sam Steel credited with hit on Brent Burns in offensive zone
Jack Drury won faceoff against Matt Duchene in neutral zone
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Sam Steel in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Jake Oettinger
Shorthanded - Colin Blackwell won faceoff against Gabriel Landeskog in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicolas Roy saved by Jake Oettinger
Giveaway by Thomas Harley in offensive zone
Wyatt Johnston credited with hit on Nathan MacKinnon in offensive zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 29 | Shots on Goal | 21 | |||
| 53% | Faceoff Win % | 47% | |||
| 5/2 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 4/1 | |||
| 8 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 10 | |||
| 24 | Hits | 19 | |||
| 11 | Shots Blocked | 17 | |||
| 16 | Giveaways | 14 |
| |
|---|
| 29 | Shots on Goal | 21 | |||
| 53% | Faceoff Win % | 47% | |||
| 5/2 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 4/1 | |||
| 8 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 10 | |||
| 24 | Hits | 19 | |||
| 11 | Shots Blocked | 17 | |||
| 16 | Giveaways | 14 |
Game Prediction Article
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Avalanche vs. Stars: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Avalanche vs. Stars
- Date: Friday, March 6, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: American Airlines Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Avalanche favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6
- Moneyline Odds: Avalanche -120, Stars +106
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Avalanche: 52%
- Stars: 48%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Avalanche a win probability of 52%, while the Stars have a win probability of 48%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Avalanche are more likely to beat the Stars in the NHL game at American Airlines Center on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Avalanche vs. Stars predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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