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Maple Leafs vs. Wild Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Maple Leafs vs. Wild NHL game on March 15, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
4
2
Mar 15, 11:30PM Grand Casino Arena
Mar 15, 11:30PM Grand Casino Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Maple Leafs | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Wild | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Maple Leafs | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Wild | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
P3 18:34 Brock Faber shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P3 18:14 Shot on goal by Joel Eriksson Ek saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 16:50 Shot missed by Matt Boldy
P3 16:35 Shot on goal by Matt Boldy saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 16:25 Shot on goal by Ryan Hartman saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 15:55 Shot missed by Mats Zuccarello
P3 15:36 Quinn Hughes shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P3 13:12 Power play - Shot on goal by Quinn Hughes saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 11:47 Power play - Shot on goal by Joel Eriksson Ek saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 11:16 Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Jesper Wallstedt
P3 10:53 Shot missed by Dakota Joshua
P3 10:04 Brock Faber shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P3 09:18 Kirill Kaprizov shot blocked by William Nylander
P3 09:00 Shot on goal by Troy Stecher saved by Jesper Wallstedt
P3 08:17 Shot on goal by Mats Zuccarello saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 07:30 Michael McCarron shot blocked by Philippe Myers
P3 06:31 Marcus Johansson shot blocked by teammate
P3 05:52 Shot missed by Kirill Kaprizov
P3 04:07 Max Domi shot blocked by Brock Faber
P3 03:40 Shot on goal by Michael McCarron saved by Anthony Stolarz
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
End of 3rd Period.
Joel Eriksson Ek won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
John Tavares won faceoff against Joel Eriksson Ek in defensive zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Joel Eriksson Ek in neutral zone
SHOT
Brock Faber shot blocked by Jake McCabe
SHOT
Shot on goal by Joel Eriksson Ek saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot missed by Matt Boldy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Boldy saved by Anthony Stolarz
Joel Eriksson Ek won faceoff against Bo Groulx in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Hartman saved by Anthony Stolarz
John Tavares won faceoff against Ryan Hartman in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Mats Zuccarello
SHOT
Quinn Hughes shot blocked by Jake McCabe
Dakota Joshua credited with hit on Jonas Brodin in defensive zone
Ryan Hartman won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Ryan Hartman in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Quinn Hughes saved by Anthony Stolarz
Shorthanded - Bo Groulx won faceoff against Joel Eriksson Ek in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Joel Eriksson Ek saved by Anthony Stolarz
Penalty to Nicholas Robertson 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Nick Foligno)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Jesper Wallstedt
SHOT
Shot missed by Dakota Joshua
SHOT
Brock Faber shot blocked by Jake McCabe
Max Domi won faceoff against Ryan Hartman in defensive zone
SHOT
Kirill Kaprizov shot blocked by William Nylander
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Troy Stecher saved by Jesper Wallstedt
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mats Zuccarello saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Michael McCarron shot blocked by Philippe Myers
SHOT
Marcus Johansson shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot missed by Kirill Kaprizov
John Tavares won faceoff against Joel Eriksson Ek in neutral zone
Joel Eriksson Ek won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
Bo Groulx won faceoff against Mats Zuccarello in neutral zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Ryan Hartman in defensive zone
SHOT
Max Domi shot blocked by Brock Faber
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael McCarron saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Yakov Trenin shot blocked by Jacob Quillan
SHOT
Quinn Hughes shot blocked by Jake McCabe
Giveaway by Philippe Myers in neutral zone
SHOT
Vladimir Tarasenko shot blocked by Philippe Myers
SHOT
Shot missed by Joel Eriksson Ek
Max Domi won faceoff against Joel Eriksson Ek in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
Joel Eriksson Ek won faceoff against Steven Lorentz in neutral zone
Joel Eriksson Ek won faceoff against William Nylander in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Joel Eriksson Ek in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Joel Eriksson Ek in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Dakota Joshua saved by Jesper Wallstedt
SHOT
Power play - Max Domi shot blocked by Jared Spurgeon
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Wild in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by John Tavares
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Matthew Knies
Penalty to Yakov Trenin 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Matthew Knies)
SHOT
Shot missed by Vladimir Tarasenko
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Wild in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Troy Stecher saved by Jesper Wallstedt
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Hartman saved by Anthony Stolarz
Ryan Hartman won faceoff against Bo Groulx in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Brock Faber
John Tavares won faceoff against Joel Eriksson Ek in neutral zone
Penalty to Brandon Carlo 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by Mats Zuccarello)
Penalty to Mats Zuccarello 2 minutes for Cross Checking
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Wild in defensive zone
SHOT
Quinn Hughes shot blocked by Easton Cowan
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Wild in neutral zone
SHOT
William Nylander shot blocked by Jared Spurgeon
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Power play - Brock Faber shot blocked by Jacob Quillan
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Matt Boldy saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Quinn Hughes saved by Anthony Stolarz
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Power play - Joel Eriksson Ek won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in offensive zone
Bo Groulx won faceoff against Danila Yurov in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
Bo Groulx won faceoff against Danila Yurov in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Bo Groulx
3-0
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake McCabe saved by Jesper Wallstedt
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jonas Brodin saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jeff Petry saved by Anthony Stolarz
Ryan Hartman won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in offensive zone
SHOT
Quinn Hughes shot blocked by Troy Stecher
Yakov Trenin credited with hit on Simon Benoit in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Hartman
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Philippe Myers shot blocked by Kirill Kaprizov
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
John Tavares won faceoff against Ryan Hartman in offensive zone
SHOT
Simon Benoit shot blocked by Matt Boldy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Easton Cowan saved by Jesper Wallstedt
Jacob Quillan won faceoff against Danila Yurov in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Troy Stecher
2-0
Dakota Joshua won faceoff against Danila Yurov in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Mats Zuccarello
GOAL
Goal scored by Morgan Rielly assisted by Matias Maccelli and John Tavares
1-0
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Max Domi won faceoff against Joel Eriksson Ek in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kirill Kaprizov saved by Anthony Stolarz
Mats Zuccarello won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Hartman
SHOT
Quinn Hughes shot blocked by teammate
John Tavares won faceoff against Danila Yurov in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Foligno saved by Anthony Stolarz
Michael McCarron won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Calle Jarnkrok saved by Jesper Wallstedt
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Hartman
SHOT
Shot missed by Kirill Kaprizov
SHOT
Shot missed by Mats Zuccarello
SHOT
Shot missed by Marcus Johansson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yakov Trenin saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot missed by Michael McCarron
Stoppage - Icing
John Tavares won faceoff against Michael McCarron in offensive zone
Michael McCarron won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Matt Boldy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Boldy saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Bo Groulx shot blocked by Brock Faber
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nico Sturm saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Jared Spurgeon shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Carlo
SHOT
Shot on goal by Troy Stecher saved by Jesper Wallstedt
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jonas Brodin saved by Anthony Stolarz
Ryan Hartman won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
SHOT
Joel Eriksson Ek shot blocked by Jake McCabe
SHOT
Shot on goal by Quinn Hughes saved by Anthony Stolarz
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Wild in neutral zone
SHOT
Troy Stecher shot blocked by Jonas Brodin
Michael McCarron credited with hit on Brandon Carlo in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Giveaway by Marcus Johansson in offensive zone
Joel Eriksson Ek won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 26 | Shots on Goal | 38 | |||
| 53% | Faceoff Win % | 47% | |||
| 1/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 2/0 | |||
| 8 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 6 | |||
| 14 | Hits | 22 | |||
| 28 | Shots Blocked | 13 | |||
| 23 | Giveaways | 16 |
| |
|---|
| 26 | Shots on Goal | 38 | |||
| 53% | Faceoff Win % | 47% | |||
| 1/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 2/0 | |||
| 8 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 6 | |||
| 14 | Hits | 22 | |||
| 28 | Shots Blocked | 13 | |||
| 23 | Giveaways | 16 |
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Maple Leafs vs. Wild: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Maple Leafs vs. Wild
- Date: Sunday, March 15, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Grand Casino Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Wild favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5
- Moneyline Odds: Maple Leafs +222, Wild -250
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Maple Leafs: 35%
- Wild: 65%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Maple Leafs a win probability of 35%, while the Wild have a win probability of 65%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Wild are more likely to beat the Maple Leafs in the NHL game at Grand Casino Arena on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Maple Leafs vs. Wild predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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