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Maple Leafs vs. Wild Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Maple Leafs vs. Wild NHL game on March 15, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Maple Leafs
4
2
Mar 15, 11:30PM Grand Casino Arena
Wild
Mar 15, 11:30PM Grand Casino Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Maple Leafs
0 3 1 4
Wild
0 0 2 2
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Maple LeafsTOR
Win %
100%
0%
WildMIN
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Maple Leafs
0 3 1 4
Wild
0 0 2 2
P3 18:34 Brock Faber shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P3 18:14 Shot on goal by Joel Eriksson Ek saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 16:50 Shot missed by Matt Boldy
P3 16:35 Shot on goal by Matt Boldy saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 16:25 Shot on goal by Ryan Hartman saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 15:55 Shot missed by Mats Zuccarello
P3 15:36 Quinn Hughes shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P3 13:12 Power play - Shot on goal by Quinn Hughes saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 11:47 Power play - Shot on goal by Joel Eriksson Ek saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 11:16 Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Jesper Wallstedt
P3 10:53 Shot missed by Dakota Joshua
P3 10:04 Brock Faber shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P3 09:18 Kirill Kaprizov shot blocked by William Nylander
P3 09:00 Shot on goal by Troy Stecher saved by Jesper Wallstedt
P3 08:17 Shot on goal by Mats Zuccarello saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 07:30 Michael McCarron shot blocked by Philippe Myers
P3 06:31 Marcus Johansson shot blocked by teammate
P3 05:52 Shot missed by Kirill Kaprizov
P3 04:07 Max Domi shot blocked by Brock Faber
P3 03:40 Shot on goal by Michael McCarron saved by Anthony Stolarz
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:48
Joel Eriksson Ek won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
P3 19:48
Stoppage - Icing
P3 19:41
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 19:34
John Tavares won faceoff against Joel Eriksson Ek in defensive zone
P3 19:23
John Tavares won faceoff against Joel Eriksson Ek in neutral zone
P3 18:34
SHOT
Brock Faber shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P3 18:14
SHOT
Shot on goal by Joel Eriksson Ek saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 16:50
SHOT
Shot missed by Matt Boldy
P3 16:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Boldy saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 16:28
Joel Eriksson Ek won faceoff against Bo Groulx in offensive zone
P3 16:25
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Hartman saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 15:57
John Tavares won faceoff against Ryan Hartman in defensive zone
P3 15:55
SHOT
Shot missed by Mats Zuccarello
P3 15:36
SHOT
Quinn Hughes shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P3 14:29
Dakota Joshua credited with hit on Jonas Brodin in defensive zone
P3 13:53
Ryan Hartman won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
P3 13:29
John Tavares won faceoff against Ryan Hartman in neutral zone
P3 13:12
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Quinn Hughes saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 12:17
Shorthanded - Bo Groulx won faceoff against Joel Eriksson Ek in defensive zone
P3 11:47
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Joel Eriksson Ek saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 11:22
Penalty to Nicholas Robertson 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Nick Foligno)
P3 11:16
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Jesper Wallstedt
P3 10:53
SHOT
Shot missed by Dakota Joshua
P3 10:04
SHOT
Brock Faber shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P3 09:34
Max Domi won faceoff against Ryan Hartman in defensive zone
P3 09:18
SHOT
Kirill Kaprizov shot blocked by William Nylander
P3 09:03
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 09:00
SHOT
Shot on goal by Troy Stecher saved by Jesper Wallstedt
P3 08:17
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mats Zuccarello saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 07:30
SHOT
Michael McCarron shot blocked by Philippe Myers
P3 06:31
SHOT
Marcus Johansson shot blocked by teammate
P3 05:52
SHOT
Shot missed by Kirill Kaprizov
P3 05:31
John Tavares won faceoff against Joel Eriksson Ek in neutral zone
P3 05:14
Joel Eriksson Ek won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
P3 04:51
Bo Groulx won faceoff against Mats Zuccarello in neutral zone
P3 04:45
John Tavares won faceoff against Ryan Hartman in defensive zone
P3 04:07
SHOT
Max Domi shot blocked by Brock Faber
P3 03:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael McCarron saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 03:26
SHOT
Yakov Trenin shot blocked by Jacob Quillan
P3 02:30
SHOT
Quinn Hughes shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P3 01:40
Giveaway by Philippe Myers in neutral zone
P3 01:07
SHOT
Vladimir Tarasenko shot blocked by Philippe Myers
P3 00:40
SHOT
Shot missed by Joel Eriksson Ek
P3 00:00
Max Domi won faceoff against Joel Eriksson Ek in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:28
Joel Eriksson Ek won faceoff against Steven Lorentz in neutral zone
P2 19:21
Joel Eriksson Ek won faceoff against William Nylander in defensive zone
P2 19:21
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P2 19:19
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
P2 19:11
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Joel Eriksson Ek in offensive zone
P2 19:11
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 19:07
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Joel Eriksson Ek in offensive zone
P2 19:05
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Dakota Joshua saved by Jesper Wallstedt
P2 18:37
SHOT
Power play - Max Domi shot blocked by Jared Spurgeon
P2 18:13
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Wild in neutral zone
P2 17:37
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by John Tavares
P2 17:23
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Matthew Knies
P2 17:18
Penalty to Yakov Trenin 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Matthew Knies)
P2 16:54
SHOT
Shot missed by Vladimir Tarasenko
P2 16:37
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Wild in neutral zone
P2 16:34
SHOT
Shot on goal by Troy Stecher saved by Jesper Wallstedt
P2 16:32
Stoppage - Icing
P2 15:44
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Hartman saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 15:05
Ryan Hartman won faceoff against Bo Groulx in defensive zone
P2 14:49
SHOT
Shot missed by Brock Faber
P2 14:13
John Tavares won faceoff against Joel Eriksson Ek in neutral zone
P2 14:13
Penalty to Brandon Carlo 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by Mats Zuccarello)
P2 14:13
Penalty to Mats Zuccarello 2 minutes for Cross Checking
P2 14:12
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Wild in defensive zone
P2 13:05
SHOT
Quinn Hughes shot blocked by Easton Cowan
P2 13:00
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Wild in neutral zone
P2 12:28
SHOT
William Nylander shot blocked by Jared Spurgeon
P2 11:37
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 11:23
SHOT
Power play - Brock Faber shot blocked by Jacob Quillan
P2 10:53
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Matt Boldy saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 09:41
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Quinn Hughes saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 09:37
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 09:29
Power play - Joel Eriksson Ek won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in offensive zone
P2 08:30
Bo Groulx won faceoff against Danila Yurov in neutral zone
P2 08:30
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P2 08:18
Bo Groulx won faceoff against Danila Yurov in neutral zone
P2 08:18
GOAL
Goal scored by Bo Groulx
3-0
P2 07:49
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake McCabe saved by Jesper Wallstedt
P2 06:30
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jonas Brodin saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 05:48
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jeff Petry saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 05:30
Ryan Hartman won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in offensive zone
P2 05:28
SHOT
Quinn Hughes shot blocked by Troy Stecher
P2 04:53
Yakov Trenin credited with hit on Simon Benoit in offensive zone
P2 04:49
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 04:28
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Hartman
P2 04:19
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 04:10
SHOT
Philippe Myers shot blocked by Kirill Kaprizov
P2 04:07
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 04:05
John Tavares won faceoff against Ryan Hartman in offensive zone
P2 04:03
SHOT
Simon Benoit shot blocked by Matt Boldy
P2 03:09
SHOT
Shot on goal by Easton Cowan saved by Jesper Wallstedt
P2 02:19
Jacob Quillan won faceoff against Danila Yurov in neutral zone
P2 02:17
GOAL
Goal scored by Troy Stecher
2-0
P2 01:59
Dakota Joshua won faceoff against Danila Yurov in defensive zone
P2 01:55
SHOT
Shot missed by Mats Zuccarello
P2 01:05
GOAL
Goal scored by Morgan Rielly assisted by Matias Maccelli and John Tavares
1-0
P2 00:47
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 00:14
Max Domi won faceoff against Joel Eriksson Ek in defensive zone
P2 00:14
Stoppage - Icing
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:53
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kirill Kaprizov saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 19:24
Mats Zuccarello won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
P1 19:21
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Hartman
P1 18:21
SHOT
Quinn Hughes shot blocked by teammate
P1 16:54
John Tavares won faceoff against Danila Yurov in defensive zone
P1 16:53
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Foligno saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 16:43
Michael McCarron won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in defensive zone
P1 16:41
SHOT
Shot on goal by Calle Jarnkrok saved by Jesper Wallstedt
P1 15:53
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Hartman
P1 15:27
SHOT
Shot missed by Kirill Kaprizov
P1 15:12
SHOT
Shot missed by Mats Zuccarello
P1 14:30
SHOT
Shot missed by Marcus Johansson
P1 13:46
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yakov Trenin saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 13:01
SHOT
Shot missed by Michael McCarron
P1 12:42
Stoppage - Icing
P1 12:30
John Tavares won faceoff against Michael McCarron in offensive zone
P1 12:17
Michael McCarron won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in neutral zone
P1 10:30
SHOT
Shot missed by Matt Boldy
P1 10:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Boldy saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 08:53
SHOT
Bo Groulx shot blocked by Brock Faber
P1 08:29
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nico Sturm saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 07:08
SHOT
Jared Spurgeon shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
P1 06:32
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Carlo
P1 06:06
SHOT
Shot on goal by Troy Stecher saved by Jesper Wallstedt
P1 04:06
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jonas Brodin saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 03:27
Ryan Hartman won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
P1 03:04
SHOT
Joel Eriksson Ek shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P1 02:38
SHOT
Shot on goal by Quinn Hughes saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 01:59
Maple Leafs won faceoff against Wild in neutral zone
P1 01:18
SHOT
Troy Stecher shot blocked by Jonas Brodin
P1 00:38
Michael McCarron credited with hit on Brandon Carlo in offensive zone
P1 00:28
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 00:20
Giveaway by Marcus Johansson in offensive zone
P1 00:00
Joel Eriksson Ek won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
Stats
Maple Leafs
STATS
Wild
26Shots on Goal38
53% Faceoff Win % 47%
1/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
8Penalty Infraction Mins6
14Hits22
28Shots Blocked13
23Giveaways16
Maple LeafsTOR
WildMIN
26Shots on Goal38
53% Faceoff Win % 47%
1/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
8Penalty Infraction Mins6
14Hits22
28Shots Blocked13
23Giveaways16

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Maple Leafs vs. Wild: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Maple Leafs vs. Wild
  • Date: Sunday, March 15, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Grand Casino Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Wild favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Maple Leafs +222, Wild -250

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Maple Leafs: 35%
  • Wild: 65%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Maple Leafs a win probability of 35%, while the Wild have a win probability of 65%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Wild are more likely to beat the Maple Leafs in the NHL game at Grand Casino Arena on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Maple Leafs vs. Wild predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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