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Lightning vs. Canadiens Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lightning vs. Canadiens NHL game on May 1, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
1
0
May 1, 11PM Bell Centre
May 1, 11PM Bell Centre
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lightning | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Canadiens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lightning | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Canadiens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
OT1 09:00 Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by Jakub Dobes
OT1 08:34 Kirby Dach shot blocked by Oliver Bjorkstrand
OT1 07:37 Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jakub Dobes
OT1 06:41 Power play - Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
OT1 05:38 Power play - Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
OT1 05:17 Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
OT1 05:15 Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Phillip Danault
OT1 01:56 Shot missed by Kaiden Guhle
OT1 01:54 Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
OT1 00:47 Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 18:27 Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P3 18:17 Power play - Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
P3 17:53 Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P3 17:30 Power play - Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 17:06 Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P3 17:01 Power play - Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Alex Newhook
P3 12:40 Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 12:22 Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Mike Matheson
P3 12:16 Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Lane Hutson
P3 11:11 Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
OT
GOALS
ALL
End of 1st OT.
End of 1st OT.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Kirby Dach shot blocked by Oliver Bjorkstrand
Jake Evans won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Phillip Danault
Giveaway by Darren Raddysh in neutral zone
Nick Paul won faceoff against Alex Newhook in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Kaiden Guhle
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Lightning won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
End of 3rd Period.
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
SHOT
Power play - Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
SHOT
Power play - Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Alex Newhook
Penalty to Ivan Demidov 2 minutes for Misconduct
Jake Evans won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
Jayden Struble credited with hit on Brayden Point in neutral zone
Erik Cernak credited with hit on Ivan Demidov in defensive zone
Josh Anderson credited with hit on Brandon Hagel in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Mike Matheson
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Lane Hutson
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
Penalty to Jayden Struble 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by J.J. Moser)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Nick Suzuki shot blocked by Brandon Hagel
SHOT
Gage Goncalves shot blocked by Lane Hutson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zachary Bolduc saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Anderson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dominic James saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot missed by Lane Hutson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kaiden Guhle saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Newhook saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Nick Paul won faceoff against Alex Newhook in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Mike Matheson shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
SHOT
Mike Matheson shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Alex Newhook in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Ivan Demidov
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Lightning won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Cole Caufield
SHOT
Shot on goal by Arber Xhekaj saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Ivan Demidov credited with hit on J.J. Moser in defensive zone
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by teammate
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
SHOT
Nick Paul shot blocked by Alexandre Texier
SHOT
Shot missed by Yanni Gourde
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Jakub Dobes
Nick Paul won faceoff against Zachary Bolduc in offensive zone
Brendan Gallagher credited with hit on Charle-Edouard D'Astous in offensive zone
Dominic James won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot missed by Dominic James
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Jakub Dobes
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Canadiens in offensive zone
Stoppage - Offside
Jake Evans won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Brayden Point won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Emil Lilleberg
SHOT
Mike Matheson shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Zemgus Girgensons shot blocked by Nick Suzuki
SHOT
Power play - Nick Paul shot blocked by Mike Matheson
Lightning won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Alexandre Carrier
Lightning won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
Lightning won faceoff against Canadiens in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
Brayden Point won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot missed by Phillip Danault
SHOT
Phillip Danault shot blocked by Emil Lilleberg
SHOT
Shot on goal by Emil Lilleberg saved by Jakub Dobes
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
Gage Goncalves won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
End of 1st Period.
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
SHOT
Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by teammate
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Brandon Hagel in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Ivan Demidov
SHOT
Alex Newhook shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
SHOT
Emil Lilleberg shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Lane Hutson
SHOT
Zemgus Girgensons shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Evans saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Mike Matheson
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Lane Hutson
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Phillip Danault in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexandre Texier saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Alexandre Carrier
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Evans saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Lightning won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
SHOT
Nick Paul shot blocked by Phillip Danault
SHOT
Emil Lilleberg shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
J.J. Moser shot blocked by Juraj Slafkovský
SHOT
Shot missed by Ivan Demidov
SHOT
Shot missed by Jayden Struble
SHOT
Brendan Gallagher shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
SHOT
Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Giveaway by Phillip Danault in defensive zone
Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Phillip Danault in offensive zone
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Jake Evans in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Brayden Point won faceoff against Alex Newhook in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Zachary Bolduc credited with hit on J.J. Moser in offensive zone
Yanni Gourde credited with hit on Lane Hutson in neutral zone
SHOT
Nick Suzuki shot blocked by Nick Paul
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kaiden Guhle saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Josh Anderson credited with hit on Erik Cernak in offensive zone
Phillip Danault credited with hit on Ryan McDonagh in offensive zone
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 33 | Shots on Goal | 30 | |||
| 49% | Faceoff Win % | 51% | |||
| 3/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/0 | |||
| 8 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 8 | |||
| 37 | Hits | 50 | |||
| 13 | Shots Blocked | 22 | |||
| 17 | Giveaways | 20 |
| |
|---|
| 33 | Shots on Goal | 30 | |||
| 49% | Faceoff Win % | 51% | |||
| 3/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/0 | |||
| 8 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 8 | |||
| 37 | Hits | 50 | |||
| 13 | Shots Blocked | 22 | |||
| 17 | Giveaways | 20 |
Game Prediction Article
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Lightning vs. Canadiens: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Lightning vs. Canadiens
- Date: Friday, May 1, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Bell Centre
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 5.5
- Moneyline Odds: Lightning -113, Canadiens +109
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Lightning: 52%
- Canadiens: 48%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 52%, while the Canadiens have a win probability of 48%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Canadiens in the NHL game at Bell Centre on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Lightning vs. Canadiens predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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