Canadiens vs. Sabres Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Canadiens vs. Sabres NHL game on May 18, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
3
2
May 18, 11:30PM KeyBank Center
May 18, 11:30PM KeyBank Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Canadiens | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
Sabres | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Canadiens | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
Sabres | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
OT1 11:06 Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Jakub Dobes
OT1 10:55 Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Jakub Dobes
OT1 10:42 Shot missed by Konsta Helenius
OT1 09:29 Tage Thompson shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
OT1 06:55 Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Nick Suzuki
OT1 06:10 Ryan McLeod shot blocked by teammate
OT1 06:00 Shot missed by Tage Thompson
OT1 05:46 Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
OT1 05:21 Tage Thompson shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
OT1 05:07 Shot on goal by Conor Timmins saved by Jakub Dobes
OT1 04:31 Shot missed by Alex Newhook
OT1 00:46 Ivan Demidov shot blocked by Alex Tuch
OT1 00:25 Shot on goal by Zach Benson saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 18:02 Conor Timmins shot blocked by teammate
P3 17:05 Shot missed by Josh Anderson
P3 16:58 Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Josh Anderson
P3 15:18 Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 14:53 Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 12:41 Lane Hutson shot blocked by Rasmus Dahlin
P3 11:54 Shot on goal by Konsta Helenius saved by Jakub Dobes
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
OT
GOALS
ALL
End of 1st OT.
End of 1st OT.
Josh Norris won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Jakub Dobes
Josh Norris won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Konsta Helenius
SHOT
Tage Thompson shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Nick Suzuki
SHOT
Ryan McLeod shot blocked by teammate
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Tage Thompson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Tage Thompson shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot on goal by Conor Timmins saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Newhook
Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Phillip Danault in neutral zone
Zachary Bolduc credited with hit on Owen Power in offensive zone
Ryan McLeod credited with hit on Lane Hutson in offensive zone
SHOT
Ivan Demidov shot blocked by Alex Tuch
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Benson saved by Jakub Dobes
End of 3rd Period.
Josh Norris won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
SHOT
Conor Timmins shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot missed by Josh Anderson
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
SHOT
Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Josh Anderson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Jakub Dobes
Josh Norris won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Jakub Dobes
Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Lane Hutson shot blocked by Rasmus Dahlin
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Konsta Helenius in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Konsta Helenius saved by Jakub Dobes
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Konsta Helenius in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Bowen Byram
Alex Tuch credited with hit on Zachary Bolduc in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Newhook
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Evans saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Stoppage - Icing
Jake Evans won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Conor Timmins saved by Jakub Dobes
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Alex Newhook in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Konsta Helenius saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot missed by Phillip Danault
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in offensive zone
Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Rasmus Dahlin assisted by Owen Power and Ryan McLeod
2-2
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Tuch
Mike Matheson won faceoff against Sabres in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Konsta Helenius saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Bowen Byram shot blocked by Mike Matheson
SHOT
Shot missed by Mike Matheson
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Newhook
Josh Norris won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Beck Malenstyn saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Peyton Krebs shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
SHOT
Shorthanded - Alex Newhook shot blocked by Bowen Byram
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Jakub Dobes
Penalty to Phillip Danault 2 minutes for Misconduct
Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
SHOT
Noah Dobson shot blocked by Josh Doan
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
Josh Norris won faceoff against Jake Evans in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Jakub Dobes
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Zach Benson shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Tuch
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Shot missed by Lane Hutson
SHOT
Jordan Greenway shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
SHOT
Shot on goal by Peyton Krebs saved by Jakub Dobes
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Jason Zucker in neutral zone
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Josh Norris in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
SHOT
Alex Tuch shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Alexandre Texier in defensive zone
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Konsta Helenius in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Josh Doan shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Alex Tuch shot blocked by Mike Matheson
Jake Evans won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Konsta Helenius in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Stoppage - Net Dislodged Offensive Skater
SHOT
Shot missed by Josh Anderson
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
SHOT
Shot missed by Jack Quinn
Cole Caufield credited with hit on Jack Quinn in offensive zone
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Konsta Helenius in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Josh Norris won faceoff against Alexandre Texier in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
SHOT
Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Lane Hutson
SHOT
Shot missed by Jack Quinn
Kirby Dach credited with hit on Owen Power in offensive zone
Josh Norris won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in neutral zone
SHOT
Josh Anderson shot blocked by Owen Power
Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Phillip Danault in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zachary Bolduc saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Doan saved by Jakub Dobes
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
Canadiens won faceoff against Zach Benson in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexandre Carrier saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Bowen Byram
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Zach Benson
SHOT
Tage Thompson shot blocked by Juraj Slafkovský
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Mattias Samuelsson shot blocked by Phillip Danault
End of 1st Period.
Josh Norris won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Tuch
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Jakub Dobes
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bowen Byram saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Jakub Dobes
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Zachary Bolduc
Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
Penalty to Zach Benson 2 minutes for Delay of Game
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Shot missed by Rasmus Dahlin
Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Josh Doan
SHOT
Jack Quinn shot blocked by Lane Hutson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kaiden Guhle saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Shot missed by Jason Zucker
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Jakub Dobes
Josh Norris won faceoff against Alexandre Texier in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Kirby Dach credited with hit on Owen Power in offensive zone
Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Phillip Danault assisted by Kaiden Guhle and Alexandre Texier
1-0
Alexandre Carrier credited with hit on Tage Thompson in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan McLeod saved by Jakub Dobes
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Konsta Helenius in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Stoppage - Offside
Josh Norris won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
Stoppage - Icing
Ivan Demidov credited with hit on Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 25 | Shots on Goal | 39 | |||
| 46% | Faceoff Win % | 54% | |||
| 1/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 1/0 | |||
| 2 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 2 | |||
| 28 | Hits | 21 | |||
| 22 | Shots Blocked | 12 | |||
| 22 | Giveaways | 16 |
| |
|---|
| 25 | Shots on Goal | 39 | |||
| 46% | Faceoff Win % | 54% | |||
| 1/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 1/0 | |||
| 2 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 2 | |||
| 28 | Hits | 21 | |||
| 22 | Shots Blocked | 12 | |||
| 22 | Giveaways | 16 |
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Canadiens vs. Sabres: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Canadiens vs. Sabres
- Date: Monday, May 18, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: KeyBank Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Sabres favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 5.5
- Moneyline Odds: Canadiens +104, Sabres -105
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Canadiens: 48%
- Sabres: 52%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Canadiens a win probability of 48%, while the Sabres have a win probability of 52%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Sabres are more likely to beat the Canadiens in the NHL game at KeyBank Center on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Canadiens vs. Sabres predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
