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Avalanche vs. Islanders Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Avalanche vs. Islanders NHL game on December 4, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
3
6
Dec 5, 12AM UBS Arena
Dec 5, 12AM UBS Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Avalanche | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Islanders | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Avalanche | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Islanders | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
P3 19:29 Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 18:45 Goal scored by Casey Cizikas (Empty Net)
P3 18:34 Shorthanded - Shot missed by Casey Cizikas
P3 18:14 Power play - Nathan MacKinnon shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
P3 18:06 Power play - Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 17:09 Power play - Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 16:59 Power play - Cale Makar shot blocked by Simon Holmstrom
P3 16:47 Power play - Shot on goal by Artturi Lehkonen saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 16:46 Power play - Nathan MacKinnon shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
P3 16:30 Martin Necas shot blocked by Scott Mayfield
P3 16:06 Shot on goal by Parker Kelly saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 15:50 Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 15:25 Sam Malinski shot blocked by Tony DeAngelo
P3 15:20 Shot missed by Samuel Girard
P3 14:46 Nathan MacKinnon shot blocked by Bo Horvat
P3 14:27 Shot on goal by Emil Heineman saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 14:20 Shot missed by Kyle MacLean
P3 13:09 Shot on goal by Anthony Duclair saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 12:15 Shot missed by Nathan MacKinnon
P3 12:10 Shot missed by Devon Toews
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Jack Drury in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Casey Cizikas (Empty Net)
3-6
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Casey Cizikas
SHOT
Power play - Nathan MacKinnon shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Ilya Sorokin
Shorthanded - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Gabriel Landeskog in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Power play - Cale Makar shot blocked by Simon Holmstrom
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Artturi Lehkonen saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Power play - Nathan MacKinnon shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
Gabriel Landeskog won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
Penalty to Scott Mayfield 2 minutes for Tripping
SHOT
Martin Necas shot blocked by Scott Mayfield
Gabriel Landeskog won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
Stoppage - Skater Puck Frozen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Parker Kelly saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
Jack Drury won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Sam Malinski shot blocked by Tony DeAngelo
SHOT
Shot missed by Samuel Girard
SHOT
Nathan MacKinnon shot blocked by Bo Horvat
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Emil Heineman saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Kyle MacLean
Casey Cizikas credited with hit on Martin Necas in defensive zone
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in defensive zone
Stoppage - Net Dislodged Offensive Skater
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Duclair saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
SHOT
Shot missed by Nathan MacKinnon
SHOT
Shot missed by Devon Toews
SHOT
Devon Toews shot blocked by Bo Horvat
SHOT
Devon Toews shot blocked by Emil Heineman
Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Samuel Girard
SHOT
Joel Kiviranta shot blocked by Travis Mitchell
Ross Colton credited with hit on Scott Mayfield in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Devon Toews saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Power play - Valeri Nichushkin shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Emil Heineman saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
Power play - Artturi Lehkonen credited with hit on Scott Mayfield in offensive zone
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
Shorthanded - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Gabriel Landeskog in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Penalty to Matthew Schaefer 2 minutes for Delay of Game
SHOT
Josh Manson shot blocked by teammate
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Anders Lee
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Shabanov saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Gabriel Landeskog
SHOT
Shot missed by Gabriel Landeskog
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
SHOT
Ryan Pulock shot blocked by Zakhar Bardakov
Zakhar Bardakov won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sam Malinski saved by Ilya Sorokin
Zakhar Bardakov won faceoff against Calum Ritchie in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Josh Manson
SHOT
Shot missed by Valeri Nichushkin
SHOT
Samuel Girard shot blocked by Travis Mitchell
Jack Drury won faceoff against Calum Ritchie in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Artturi Lehkonen
SHOT
Cale Makar shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
SHOT
Nathan MacKinnon shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in neutral zone
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson
SHOT
Brent Burns shot blocked by Anders Lee
SHOT
Shot missed by Gabriel Landeskog
Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Brock Nelson in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Shot missed by Cale Makar
Casey Cizikas credited with hit on Samuel Girard in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Adam Pelech
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Mathew Barzal assisted by Max Shabanov and Bo Horvat
2-5
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Max Shabanov
Shorthanded - Jack Drury won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Shabanov saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Max Shabanov shot blocked by Brock Nelson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Valeri Nichushkin saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Mathew Barzal shot blocked by Josh Manson
Kyle MacLean credited with hit on Brent Burns in offensive zone
Gabriel Landeskog won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in neutral zone
Stoppage - Hand Pass - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Artturi Lehkonen
SHOT
Max Shabanov shot blocked by Devon Toews
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
SHOT
Tony DeAngelo shot blocked by Samuel Girard
SHOT
Cale Makar shot blocked by Anthony Duclair
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cale Makar saved by Ilya Sorokin
Jack Drury won faceoff against Calum Ritchie in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot missed by Artturi Lehkonen
Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Maxim Tsyplakov saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
Anders Lee won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Marc Gatcomb
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Zakhar Bardakov in neutral zone
SHOT
Travis Mitchell shot blocked by Martin Necas
SHOT
Shot on goal by Simon Holmstrom saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
SHOT
Shot missed by Nathan MacKinnon
SHOT
Shot on goal by Devon Toews saved by Ilya Sorokin
Gabriel Landeskog won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sam Malinski saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Adam Pelech
0-3
Jack Drury won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in neutral zone
Jack Drury won faceoff against Simon Holmstrom in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Bo Horvat
0-3
SHOT
Shot missed by Matthew Schaefer
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
SHOT
Nathan MacKinnon shot blocked by Adam Pelech
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anders Lee saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Scott Mayfield saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
Zakhar Bardakov credited with hit on Casey Cizikas in defensive zone
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Zakhar Bardakov in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Adam Pelech
Calum Ritchie won faceoff against Victor Olofsson in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Penalty Benches
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
SHOT
Ryan Pulock shot blocked by Brent Burns
SHOT
Shot missed by Maxim Tsyplakov
Shorthanded - Anders Lee won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in neutral zone
Stoppage - High Stick
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Matthew Schaefer
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sam Malinski saved by Ilya Sorokin
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
Shorthanded - Parker Kelly won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
Penalty to Artturi Lehkonen 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by Matthew Schaefer)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Pulock saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Brent Burns shot blocked by Max Shabanov
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brent Burns saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Shot missed by Josh Manson
Jack Drury won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Gabriel Landeskog saved by Ilya Sorokin
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sam Malinski saved by Ilya Sorokin
Calum Ritchie won faceoff against Jack Drury in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Manson saved by Ilya Sorokin
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brock Nelson saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Maxim Tsyplakov shot blocked by Cale Makar
SHOT
Shot missed by Nathan MacKinnon
SHOT
Shot on goal by Samuel Girard saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Shot on goal by Joel Kiviranta saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Shot missed by Emil Heineman
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Emil Heineman saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
Shorthanded - Jack Drury won faceoff against Calum Ritchie in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Anders Lee saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
Shorthanded - Brock Nelson won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
Penalty to Martin Necas 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Matthew Schaefer)
Takeaway by Matthew Schaefer in defensive zone
SHOT
Artturi Lehkonen shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Ilya Sorokin
Casey Cizikas credited with hit on Sam Malinski in offensive zone
Marc Gatcomb credited with hit on Samuel Girard in offensive zone
Jack Drury won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
Calum Ritchie won faceoff against Jack Drury in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Calum Ritchie shot blocked by Brock Nelson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Duclair saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Duclair saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
SHOT
Shot on goal by Gabriel Landeskog saved by Ilya Sorokin
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Devon Toews shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
Shorthanded - Josh Manson credited with hit on Mathew Barzal in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Brent Burns credited with hit on Max Shabanov in defensive zone
SHOT
Mathew Barzal shot blocked by Brent Burns
SHOT
Shot missed by Joel Kiviranta
Joel Kiviranta won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Jack Drury in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Kyle MacLean
0-1
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Pulock saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
Giveaway by Calum Ritchie in offensive zone
Giveaway by Samuel Girard in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sam Malinski saved by Ilya Sorokin
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Shot missed by Bo Horvat
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Avalanche saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Shot missed by Scott Mayfield
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anders Lee saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
SHOT
Shot missed by Cale Makar
SHOT
Zakhar Bardakov shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
SHOT
Shot missed by Scott Mayfield
Giveaway by Cale Makar in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Ilya Sorokin
Artturi Lehkonen credited with hit on Tony DeAngelo in offensive zone
Giveaway by Brent Burns in neutral zone
Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Brock Nelson in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 38 | Shots on Goal | 42 | |||
| 55% | Faceoff Win % | 46% | |||
| 3/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 4/1 | |||
| 10 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 6 | |||
| 26 | Hits | 18 | |||
| 12 | Shots Blocked | 20 | |||
| 16 | Giveaways | 10 |
| |
|---|
| 38 | Shots on Goal | 42 | |||
| 55% | Faceoff Win % | 46% | |||
| 3/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 4/1 | |||
| 10 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 6 | |||
| 26 | Hits | 18 | |||
| 12 | Shots Blocked | 20 | |||
| 16 | Giveaways | 10 |
Game Prediction Article
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Avalanche vs. Islanders: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Avalanche vs. Islanders
- Date: Thursday, December 4, 2025
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: UBS Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Avalanche favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6
- Moneyline Odds: Avalanche -178, Islanders +160
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Avalanche: 61%
- Islanders: 39%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Avalanche a win probability of 61%, while the Islanders have a win probability of 39%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Avalanche are more likely to beat the Islanders in the NHL game at UBS Arena on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Avalanche vs. Islanders predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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