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Alabama vs. Indiana prediction: Why Indiana is favored to win Rose Bowl [2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get Alabama vs Indiana predictions for college football Thursday.
Indiana will square off with Alabama in the 2026 Rose Bowl at Rose Bowl on New Year's Day, beginning at 4:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced college football model projects Indiana as the most likely winner of the Alabama vs. Indiana game.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Rose Bowl prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of the 2026 Rose Bowl 10,000 times as part of our college football predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives Indiana a 65% chance of defeating Alabama. Our predicted final score has Indiana winning 26-21.
According to our model, Alabama (+7.5) has a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the 46.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.
Rose Bowl odds
We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Alabama | Indiana |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +7.5 (-115) | -7.5 (-102) |
| Moneyline | +220 | -255 |
| Total | o46.5 (-110) | u46.5 (-106) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Alabama vs. Indiana picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Alabama +7.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Alabama | +220 |
| Total | Under 46.5 | -106 |
According to our best college football bets, the top play to make on this game is Alabama +7.5 at the spread.
Alabama vs. Indiana game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's college football game between Indiana and Alabama at Rose Bowl is scheduled to commence at 4:00 PM ET.
- Who: Alabama vs. Indiana
- Date: Thursday, January 1, 2026
- Time: 4:00 PM ET/1:00PM PT
- Venue: Rose Bowl
Conclusion
We predict Indiana, with a 65% win probability, will likely beat Alabama on New Year's Day.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Alabama vs. Indiana insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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