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Read Article Alejandro Tabilo vs. Stan Wawrinka prediction, odds, picks for ATP Geneva Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get Tabilo vs Wawrinka predictions for ATP Geneva Open.
Alejandro Tabilo and Stan Wawrinka will lock horns in the round of 32 of the ATP Geneva Open event on Monday.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Alejandro Tabilo as the most likely winner of the Tabilo vs. Wawrinka match.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's match, including best bets and picks.
Tabilo vs. Wawrinka prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's Tabilo-Wawrinka men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives Tabilo a 68% chance of beating Wawrinka at the ATP Geneva Open tournament.
Additionally, Tabilo has a 65% chance of winning the first set, while the over 21.5 games has a 54% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Alejandro Tabilo vs. Stan Wawrinka odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Tabilo | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -272 | +220 |
| First Set | -227 | +175 |
| Total Games | o21.5 (-125) | u21.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Tabilo vs. Wawrinka picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Wawrinka | +220 |
| First Set | Wawrinka | -125 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Stan Wawrinka to win.
Although Wawrinka is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Tabilo vs. Wawrinka updates and essential details
The ATP Geneva Open match between Alejandro Tabilo and Stan Wawrinka is scheduled to start on Monday at 5:00 AM ET.
- Who: Alejandro Tabilo vs. Stan Wawrinka
- Date: Monday, May 18, 2026
- Approx. Time: 5:00 AM ET/2:00AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Geneva, Switzerland Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 32
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Alejandro Tabilo, with a 68% win probability, will likely beat Stan Wawrinka at the ATP Geneva Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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