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Alexander Bublik vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas prediction, odds, picks for ATP Madrid Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Bublik vs Tsitsipas predictions for ATP Madrid Open.
Alexander Bublik will face Stefanos Tsitsipas in the round of 64 at the ATP Madrid event on Saturday.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Alexander Bublik as the most likely winner of the Bublik vs. Tsitsipas match.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Bublik vs. Tsitsipas prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 32?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's Bublik-Tsitsipas men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives Bublik a 62% chance of winning against Tsitsipas at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.
Additionally, Bublik has a 61% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Bublik (-2.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 24.5 games has a 55% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Alexander Bublik vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Bublik | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -190 | +168 |
| First Set | -175 | +137 |
| Game Spread | -2.5 (-112) | +2.5 (-118) |
| Total Games | o24.5 (-115) | u24.5 (-125) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Bublik vs. Tsitsipas picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Tsitsipas | +168 |
| First Set | Tsitsipas | -125 |
According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is Stefanos Tsitsipas to win.
Although Tsitsipas is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Bublik vs. Tsitsipas updates and essential details
The ATP Madrid Open match between Alexander Bublik and Stefanos Tsitsipas is scheduled to start on Saturday at 3:10 PM ET.
- Who: Alexander Bublik vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas
- Date: Saturday, April 25, 2026
- Approx. Time: 3:10 PM ET/12:10PM PT
- Tournament: ATP Madrid, Spain Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 64
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Alexander Bublik, with a 62% win probability, will likely beat Stefanos Tsitsipas at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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