Ducks vs. Oilers prediction: Why Edmonton is favored to win Game 5 [2026]

The Edmonton Oilers and Anaheim Ducks will meet in Game 5 of the NHL Playoffs at Rogers Place on Tuesday, with puck drop at 10:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model predicts the Oilers as the most likely winner of the Ducks vs. Oilers Game 5 matchup.

This article offers further insights into Tuesday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Ducks vs. Oilers prediction: Who will win Game 5?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's NHL Playoffs game between the Ducks and Oilers, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Oilers a 59% chance of beating the Ducks in Game 5 of the series.

According to our model, the Ducks (+1.5) have a 62% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has a 54% chance of going over.

Ducks vs. Oilers Game 5 odds

We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Ducks	Oilers
Puck Line	+1.5 (-175)	-1.5 (+145)
Moneyline	+135	-155
Total	o6.5 (-164)	u6.5 (+125)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Ducks vs. Oilers picks and best bet for Game 5

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Ducks +1.5	-175
Moneyline	Ducks	+135
Total	Under 6.5	+125

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Ducks vs. Oilers player props

Who will score a goal in Ducks vs. Oilers?

According to our model, Leon Draisaitl is most likely to score an anytime goal in Ducks vs. Oilers.

Our projections give Draisaitl a 50.2% chance of scoring a goal at Rogers Place, while the star is a 10.2% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Anaheim Ducks

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Cutter Gauthier	31.8%
Leo Carlsson	31.6%
Troy Terry	24.7%
Alex Killorn	24.1%
Mason McTavish	22.9%

Edmonton Oilers

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Leon Draisaitl	50.2%
Connor McDavid	40.3%
Zach Hyman	36.1%
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins	25.5%
Jack Roslovic	21.2%

First goal scorer predictions

Anaheim Ducks

Player	First Goal Probability
Leo Carlsson	5.6%
Cutter Gauthier	5.5%
Alex Killorn	4.1%
Mikael Granlund	4.0%
Mason McTavish	3.9%

Edmonton Oilers

Player	First Goal Probability
Leon Draisaitl	10.2%
Connor McDavid	7.5%
Zach Hyman	7.2%
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins	4.1%
Jack Roslovic	3.4%

Ducks vs. Oilers Game 5 updates and essential details

Tuesday's Game 5 between the Oilers and Ducks in the NHL Playoffs is scheduled to start at 10:00 PM ET.

• Who: Anaheim Ducks vs. Edmonton Oilers
• Date: Tuesday, April 28, 2026
• Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Venue: Rogers Place

The Stanley Cup Playoffs is the National Hockey League's postseason elimination tournament to determine the winner of the Stanley Cup.

A total of 16 teams, including the Ducks and Oilers, made the NHL Playoffs 2026, which includes four rounds: the First Round, Second Round, Conference Finals and Stanley Cup Finals.

Each round is played as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins moving on to the next round until a champion is crowned.

Conclusion

We predict the Oilers, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Ducks in Tuesday's NHL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.