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Anastasia Potapova vs. Elena Rybakina prediction, odds, picks for WTA Madrid Open 2026

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Written by Mac Douglass

Get Potapova vs Rybakina predictions for WTA Madrid Open.

Anastasia Potapova vs Elena Rybakina Tennis Prediction.
Our Anastasia Potapova and Elena Rybakina tennis prediction is based on thousands of simulations of the upcoming match.

Anastasia Potapova will square off with Elena Rybakina in the round of 16 at the WTA Madrid event on Monday.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Elena Rybakina as the most likely winner of the Potapova vs. Rybakina match.

This article offers a closer look at Monday's match, including best bets and picks.

Potapova vs. Rybakina prediction: Who will win and advance to the quarterfinals?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Monday's Potapova-Rybakina women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Rybakina an 82% chance of winning against Potapova at the WTA Madrid Open tournament.

Additionally, Rybakina has a 77% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Rybakina (-5.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 19.5 games has a 51% chance of hitting, according to our model.

 

Anastasia Potapova vs. Elena Rybakina odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type Potapova Rybakina
Moneyline +510 -714
First Set +350 -500
Game Spread +5.5 (-122) -5.5 (-110)
Total Games o19.5 (-110) u19.5 (-125)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Potapova vs. Rybakina picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Moneyline Potapova +510
First Set Rybakina -110

According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is Anastasia Potapova to win.

Although Potapova is less than likely to win, she provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Potapova vs. Rybakina updates and essential details

The WTA Madrid Open match between Anastasia Potapova and Elena Rybakina is scheduled to begin on Monday at 4:00 PM ET.

  • Who: Anastasia Potapova vs. Elena Rybakina
  • Date: Monday, April 27, 2026
  • Approx. Time: 4:00 PM ET/1:00PM PT
  • Tournament: WTA Madrid, Spain Women's Singles 2026
  • Round: Round of 16

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Elena Rybakina, with an 82% win probability, will likely beat Anastasia Potapova at the WTA Madrid Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Mac Douglass
Senior Editor

Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.

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