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Read Article Andrea Pellegrino vs. Arthur Fils prediction, odds, picks for ATP Italian Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Pellegrino vs Fils predictions for ATP Italian Open.
Andrea Pellegrino and Arthur Fils will meet in the round of 64 of the ATP Italian Open event on Saturday.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Arthur Fils as the most likely winner of the Pellegrino vs. Fils match.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Pellegrino vs. Fils prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 32?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's Pellegrino-Fils men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives Fils an 88% chance of winning against Pellegrino at the ATP Italian Open tournament.
Additionally, Fils has an 83% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Fils (-5.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 19.5 games has a 51% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Andrea Pellegrino vs. Arthur Fils odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Pellegrino | Fils |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +860 | -1205 |
| First Set | +400 | -625 |
| Game Spread | +5.5 (+100) | -5.5 (-134) |
| Total Games | o19.5 (-104) | u19.5 (-128) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Pellegrino vs. Fils picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Pellegrino | +860 |
| First Set | Fils | -104 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Andrea Pellegrino to win.
Although Pellegrino is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Pellegrino vs. Fils updates and essential details
The ATP Italian Open match between Andrea Pellegrino and Arthur Fils is scheduled to start on Saturday at 3:10 PM ET.
- Who: Andrea Pellegrino vs. Arthur Fils
- Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
- Approx. Time: 3:10 PM ET/12:10PM PT
- Tournament: ATP Rome, Italy Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 64
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Arthur Fils, with an 88% win probability, will likely beat Andrea Pellegrino at the ATP Italian Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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