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Read Article Andrey Rublev vs. Nikoloz Basilashvili prediction, odds, picks for ATP Italian Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Rublev vs Basilashvili predictions for ATP Italian Open.
Andrey Rublev will face Nikoloz Basilashvili in the round of 16 at the ATP Rome event on Tuesday.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Andrey Rublev as the most likely winner of the Rublev vs. Basilashvili match.
This article offers further insights into Tuesday's match, including best bets and picks.
Rublev vs. Basilashvili prediction: Who will win and advance to the quarterfinals?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's Rublev-Basilashvili men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives Rublev a 75% chance of defeating Basilashvili at the ATP Italian Open tournament.
Additionally, Rublev has a 71% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Rublev (-3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 56% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Andrey Rublev vs. Nikoloz Basilashvili odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Rublev | Basilashvili |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -275 | +240 |
| First Set | -227 | +175 |
| Game Spread | -3.5 (-112) | +3.5 (-118) |
| Total Games | o22.5 (-105) | u22.5 (-120) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Rublev vs. Basilashvili picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Rublev | -275 |
| First Set | Basilashvili | -120 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Andrey Rublev to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Rublev vs. Basilashvili updates and essential details
The ATP Italian Open match between Andrey Rublev and Nikoloz Basilashvili is scheduled to start on Tuesday at 10:20 AM ET.
- Who: Andrey Rublev vs. Nikoloz Basilashvili
- Date: Tuesday, May 12, 2026
- Approx. Time: 10:20 AM ET/7:20AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Rome, Italy Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 16
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Andrey Rublev, with a 75% win probability, will likely beat Nikoloz Basilashvili at the ATP Italian Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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