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Anhelina Kalinina vs. Naomi Osaka prediction, odds, picks for WTA Madrid Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Kalinina vs Osaka predictions for WTA Madrid Open.
Anhelina Kalinina and Naomi Osaka will lock horns in the round of 32 of the WTA Madrid Open event on Saturday.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Naomi Osaka as the most likely winner of the Kalinina vs. Osaka match.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Kalinina vs. Osaka prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's Kalinina-Osaka women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives Osaka a 54% chance of beating Kalinina at the WTA Madrid Open tournament.
Additionally, Osaka has a 53% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Kalinina (+2.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 21.5 games has a 51% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Anhelina Kalinina vs. Naomi Osaka odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Kalinina | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +133 | -152 |
| First Set | +110 | -139 |
| Game Spread | +2.5 (-118) | -2.5 (-112) |
| Total Games | o21.5 (-120) | u21.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Kalinina vs. Osaka picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Kalinina | +133 |
| First Set | Osaka | -105 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Anhelina Kalinina to win.
Although Kalinina is less than likely to win, she provides the best value at the current available odds.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Kalinina vs. Osaka updates and essential details
The WTA Madrid Open match between Anhelina Kalinina and Naomi Osaka is scheduled to begin on Saturday at 3:30 PM ET.
- Who: Anhelina Kalinina vs. Naomi Osaka
- Date: Saturday, April 25, 2026
- Approx. Time: 3:30 PM ET/12:30PM PT
- Tournament: WTA Madrid, Spain Women's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 32
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Naomi Osaka, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat Anhelina Kalinina at the WTA Madrid Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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