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Diamondbacks vs. Mets prediction: Mets favored to win Thursday's MLB matchup [4/9/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Mets predictions for MLB Thursday.
The New York Mets and Arizona dbacks will lock horns in MLB action at Citi Field on Thursday, starting at 7:10 PM ET.
The Mets will have Nolan McLean (1-0, 2.61 ERA) as their starting pitcher, while the Diamondbacks will counter with Eduardo Rodriguez (0-0, 0.00 ERA).
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model projects the Mets as the most likely winner of the Diamondbacks vs. Mets game.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Diamondbacks vs. Mets prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's MLB game between the Diamondbacks and Mets, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Mets a 60% chance of beating the Diamondbacks.
According to our model, the Diamondbacks (+1.5) have a 60% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 6.5 runs has a 56% chance of going over.
Diamondbacks vs. Mets odds [4/9/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Diamondbacks | Mets |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-142) | -1.5 (+129) |
| Moneyline | +158 | -185 |
| Total | o6.5 (-118) | u6.5 (+100) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Diamondbacks vs. Mets picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Diamondbacks +1.5 | -142 |
| Moneyline | Diamondbacks | +158 |
| Total | Over 6.5 | -118 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 6.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Diamondbacks vs. Mets game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's MLB matchup between the Mets and Diamondbacks at Citi Field is scheduled to commence at 7:10 PM ET.
- Who: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets
- Date: Thursday, April 9, 2026
- Time: 7:10 PM ET/4:10PM PT
- Venue: Citi Field
Conclusion
We predict the Mets, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat the Diamondbacks in Thursday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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