Arkansas State vs. Troy prediction: Why Troy is favored to win in college football Week 10, 2025

Troy will take on Arkansas State in Week 10 college football action at Veterans Memorial Stadium on Saturday, with kickoff at 8:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven college football model predicts the Troy as the most likely winner of the Arkansas State vs. Troy game.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Arkansas State vs. Troy prediction: Who will win, cover the spread?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Arkansas State vs. Troy 10,000 times as part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Troy a 66% chance of defeating Arkansas State. Our predicted final score has Troy winning 28-22.

According to our model, Arkansas State (+7.5) has a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the 52.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of going over.

Arkansas State vs. Troy odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Arkansas State	Troy
Spread	+7.5 (-108)	-7.5 (-110)
Moneyline	+250	-300
Total	o52.5 (-110)	u52.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Arkansas State vs. Troy picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Arkansas State +7.5	-108
Moneyline	Arkansas State	+250
Total	Over 52.5	-110

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Arkansas State to win.

Arkansas State vs. Troy game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's college football game between Troy and Arkansas State at Veterans Memorial Stadium is scheduled to begin at 8:00PM ET.

• Who: Arkansas State vs. Troy
• Date: Saturday, November 1, 2025
• Time: 8:00PM ET/5:00PM PT
• Venue: Veterans Memorial Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Troy, with a 66% win probability, will likely beat Arkansas State on Saturday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Arkansas State vs. Troy insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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