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Arsenal vs. Newcastle prediction, odds, Premier League picks [4/25/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Arsenal vs Newcastle predictions for Premier League Saturday.
Arsenal will take on Newcastle in Premier League action at Emirates Stadium on Saturday, commencing at 12:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced Premier League model predicts Arsenal as the most likely winner of the Arsenal vs. Newcastle game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Arsenal vs. Newcastle prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's Premier League match between Arsenal and Newcastle, forming part of our Premier League predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model indicates a 72.6% chance of Arsenal winning, a 10.2% chance for Newcastle, and a 17.2% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 58% chance of going over, according to our model.
Arsenal vs. Newcastle odds
We have researched the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Arsenal | Newcastle | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -205 | +550 | +375 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -175 | +138 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Arsenal vs. Newcastle picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Arsenal | -205 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | +138 |
According to our best Premier League bets, the top play to make on this game is Arsenal to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Arsenal vs. Newcastle: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 2-0 Arsenal win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| ARS 2-0 NEW | 12.9% |
| ARS 1-0 NEW | 11.3% |
| ARS 3-0 NEW | 9.8% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 46.2% chance of both sides finding the net and a 53.8% chance that at least one doesn’t.
Arsenal vs. Newcastle game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's Premier League game between Arsenal and Newcastle at Emirates Stadium is scheduled to start in the USA at 12:30 PM ET.
- Who: Arsenal vs. Newcastle
- Date: Saturday, April 25, 2026
- Time: 12:30 PM ET/9:30AM PT
- Venue: Emirates Stadium
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Arsenal has a 72.6% win probability on Saturday, Newcastle has a 10.2% win probability, and there is a 17.2% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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