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Aston Villa vs. Brighton prediction, odds, Premier League picks [2/11/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Aston Villa vs Brighton predictions for Premier League Wednesday.
Aston Villa and Brighton are scheduled to meet in the Premier League at Villa Park on Wednesday, with kickoff at 2:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced Premier League model predicts Aston Villa as the most likely winner of the Aston Villa vs. Brighton game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Aston Villa vs. Brighton prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's Premier League match between Aston Villa and Brighton 10,000 times as part of our Premier League predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently indicates a 47.2% chance of Aston Villa winning, a 29.0% chance for Brighton, and a 23.8% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 57% chance of going over, according to our model.
Aston Villa vs. Brighton odds
We have sourced the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Aston Villa | Brighton | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +105 | +250 | +275 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -158 | +128 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Aston Villa vs. Brighton picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Brighton | +250 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | +128 |
According to our best Premier League bets, the top play to make on this game is Brighton to win.
Aston Villa vs. Brighton: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| AVL 1-1 BRI | 11% |
| AVL 2-1 BRI | 9.4% |
| AVL 1-0 BRI | 8.6% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 59.1% chance of the yes hitting, and a 40.9% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Aston Villa vs. Brighton game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's Premier League game between Aston Villa and Brighton at Villa Park is scheduled to begin in the United States at 2:30 PM ET.
- Who: Aston Villa vs. Brighton
- Date: Wednesday, February 11, 2026
- Time: 2:30 PM ET/11:30AM PT
- Venue: Villa Park
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Aston Villa has a 47.2% win probability on Wednesday, Brighton has a 29.0% win probability, and there is a 23.8% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Aston Villa vs. Brighton insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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