Aston Villa vs. Burnley prediction, odds, Premier League picks [10/5/2025]

Aston Villa will take on Burnley in Premier League action at Villa Park on Sunday, commencing at 9:00AM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced Premier League model predicts Aston Villa as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Aston Villa-Burnley game," said Jason Bevilacqua from Dimers.

"After incorporating the most recent updates and numerous additional inputs, our prediction gives Aston Villa a 62.5% chance of winning, Burnley a 16.5% chance, and a 21.1% chance of a draw."

For a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Aston Villa vs. Burnley predictions page.

Aston Villa vs. Burnley prediction: Who will win?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's Premier League match between Aston Villa and Burnley 10,000 times as part of our Premier League predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently indicates a 62.5% chance of Aston Villa winning, a 16.5% chance for Burnley, and a 21.1% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 55% chance of going over, according to our model.

Aston Villa vs. Burnley odds

We have researched the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Aston Villa	Burnley	Draw
-180	+550	+310

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
-105	-115

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Aston Villa vs. Burnley picks and best bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Aston Villa vs. Burnley matchup is on the total.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best Premier League picks and Premier League best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Aston Villa vs. Burnley: Correct score and BTTS predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-0 Aston Villa win being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
AVL 1-0 BUR	11.1%
AVL 2-0 BUR	11%
AVL 1-1 BUR	10%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 51.3% chance that both Aston Villa and Burnley score, and a 48.7% probability of at least one team being held goalless.

These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations.

Aston Villa vs. Burnley game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's Premier League game between Aston Villa and Burnley at Villa Park is scheduled to start in the United States at 9:00AM ET.

• Who: Aston Villa vs. Burnley
• Date: Sunday, October 5, 2025
• Time: 9:00AM ET/6:00AM PT
• Venue: Villa Park

Dimers' in-depth preview of Sunday's Aston Villa vs. Burnley matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Burnley vs. Aston Villa picks, be sure to check out the latest Premier League predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

According to our computer model, Aston Villa has a 62.5% win probability on Sunday, Burnley has a 16.5% win probability, and there is a 21.1% chance that the game will end in a draw.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Aston Villa vs. Burnley insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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